
404 
FNUS54 KMRX 170745
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
345 AM EDT MON SEP 17 2012

.DISCUSSION...
A WEAK FRONTAL BOUNDARY WILL LINGER ACROSS THE SOUTHERN 
APPALACHIAN REGION TODAY AND TONIGHT. AS IT DOES...MOISTURE WILL 
SPREAD ACROSS THE REGION...INCREASING OUR CHANCES FOR SHOWERS AND 
PERHAPS ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS TODAY. ANOTHER COLD FRONT WILL SWEEP 
THROUGH THE AREA ON TUESDAY...PRODUCING WIDESPREAD PRECIPITATION. 
LOCALIZED FLOODING WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH AREAS OF HEAVY RAINFALL 
TODAY THROUGH TUESDAY. DRY CONDITIONS WILL RETURN BY MIDWEEK. 


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-180845-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
345 AM EDT MON SEP 17 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       CLOUDY       
TEMP (24H TREND)      69-74 (-2)   60-65 (+1)   67-72        
RH % (24H TREND)      69-74 (+14)  95-100 (+3)  68-73        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      E  5         W  8 G15     
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     90           100          100          
PRECIP DURATION       4            8            8            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.33         1.45         1.02         
LAL                   2            2            2            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3200                      3300         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW  9                     W 15         
DISPERSION            9 POOR                    17 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S. NORTH
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 40S. EAST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID
60S TO LOWER 70S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-180845-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
345 AM EDT MON SEP 17 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       CLOUDY       
TEMP (24H TREND)      68-73 (0)    60-65 (+1)   67-72        
RH % (24H TREND)      70-75 (+11)  95-100 (+8)  66-71        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   S  8 G17     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE  5        SE  6        SW  9 G18    
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     90           100          100          
PRECIP DURATION       4            8            8            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.38         1.27         1.20         
LAL                   2            2            2            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3400                      4500         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW  9                     SW 17        
DISPERSION            5 VERY POOR               25 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 60S. NORTH WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO
LOWER 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-180845-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
345 AM EDT MON SEP 17 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       CLOUDY       
TEMP (24H TREND)      69-74 (0)    61-66 (+2)   66-71        
RH % (24H TREND)      65-70 (+5)   95-100 (+13) 68-73        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   SW  7 G16    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE  6        S  7 G16     NW  9 G17    
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          100          90           
PRECIP DURATION       5            8            5            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.54         1.73         0.94         
LAL                   2            2            2            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3600                      4200         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 12                      W 14         
DISPERSION            5 VERY POOR               14 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. NORTHEAST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO UPPER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO UPPER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP
TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
50S TO LOWER 70S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-180845-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
345 AM EDT MON SEP 17 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       CLOUDY       
TEMP (24H TREND)      72-77 (-4)   65-70 (+3)   69-74        
RH % (24H TREND)      67-72 (+18)  85-90 (+5)   64-69        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SE  5                     NW  6        
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  7         SE  8 G15    NW  8 G15    
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          100          80           
PRECIP DURATION       5            8            5            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.61         1.84         0.73         
LAL                   2            2            2            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    2900                      3400         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 13                      NW 13        
DISPERSION            8 POOR                    15 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS NEAR 50.
NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. NORTH WINDS
5 TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 40S. EAST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO UPPER 70S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S TO MID 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID
50S TO LOWER 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-180845-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
345 AM EDT MON SEP 17 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       CLOUDY       
TEMP (24H TREND)      71-76 (-5)   65-70 (+5)   68-73        
RH % (24H TREND)      68-73 (+18)  84-89 (-1)   68-73        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SE  5                     S  6         
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE  6        SE  6        NW  8        
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          100          90           
PRECIP DURATION       5            8            5            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.49         1.73         0.78         
LAL                   2            2            2            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    2900                      3700         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 14                      NW 13        
DISPERSION            8 POOR                    15 GEN POOR  
MAX LVORI             5                         4            

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS NEAR 50.
NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. NORTH WINDS
5 TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S.
SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO MID 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 50S TO LOWER 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-180845-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
345 AM EDT MON SEP 17 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       CLOUDY       
TEMP (24H TREND)      71-76 (-2)   62-67 (+3)   69-74        
RH % (24H TREND)      70-75 (+17)  92-97 (+1)   66-71        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      E  5         NW  8 G15    
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     90           100          90           
PRECIP DURATION       4            8            5            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.41         1.56         1.01         
LAL                   2            2            2            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3100                      2900         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S  7                      W 15         
DISPERSION            10 POOR                   19 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 60S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 40S. EAST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID
60S TO LOWER 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-180845-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
345 AM EDT MON SEP 17 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       CLOUDY       
TEMP (24H TREND)      72-77 (-3)   63-68 (+2)   70-75        
RH % (24H TREND)      67-72 (+17)  93-98 (+5)   66-71        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SE  6        NW  7        
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          100          90           
PRECIP DURATION       5            8            5            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.71         2.07         0.64         
LAL                   2            2            2            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    2800                      2800         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S  9                      NW 16        
DISPERSION            12 POOR                   21 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS NEAR 50.
NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. NORTHEAST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID TO UPPER 40S.
NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-180845-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
345 AM EDT MON SEP 17 2012 /245 AM CDT MON SEP 17 2012/

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       CLOUDY       
TEMP (24H TREND)      73-78 (-4)   64-69 (+1)   71-76        
RH % (24H TREND)      64-69 (+15)  88-93 (+5)   63-68        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   N  5 G15     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  6         S  6         NW  9 G16    
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          100          80           
PRECIP DURATION       5            8            5            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.89         2.11         0.50         
LAL                   2            2            2            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    2500                      2800         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 13                      NW 15        
DISPERSION            15 GEN POOR               22 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS
NEAR 50. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS NEAR 70. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER
50S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE MID TO UPPER 70S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER TO MID 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

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