
647 
FNUS54 KMRX 160743
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
343 AM EDT SUN SEP 16 2012

.DISCUSSION...
A WEAK COLD FRONT WILL LINGER ACROSS THE SOUTHERN 
APPALACHIAN REGION FOR A FEW DAYS...AS IT DOES...MOISTURE WILL 
SPREAD ACROSS THE REGION...INCREASING OUR CHANCES FOR SHOWERS AND 
THUNDERSTORMS TODAY AND MONDAY. ANOTHER COLD FRONT WILL SWEEP 
THROUGH THE AREA ON TUESDAY...PRODUCING WIDESPREAD PRECIPITATION. 
DRY CONDITIONS WILL RETURN BY MIDWEEK. 


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-170845-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
343 AM EDT SUN SEP 16 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       
TEMP (24H TREND)      73-78 (-1)   58-63 (+4)   69-74        
RH % (24H TREND)      49-54 (+3)   93-98 (+4)   67-72        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           30           80           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            8            
PRECIP BEGIN          2 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.02         0.31         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5800                      3400         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W  5                      SW 12        
DISPERSION            14 GEN POOR               14 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO
LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COOLER. LOWS
IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 60S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO UPPER 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-170845-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
343 AM EDT SUN SEP 16 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       
TEMP (24H TREND)      70-75 (-2)   56-61 (+4)   69-74        
RH % (24H TREND)      51-56 (+3)   95-100 (+10) 65-70        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         TSTMS        SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           30           80           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            8            
PRECIP BEGIN          2 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.02         0.34         
LAL                   1            2            1            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6200                      4300         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W  5                      SW 10        
DISPERSION            15 GEN POOR               13 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S
TO LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COOLER. LOWS
IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S
TO MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO UPPER 70S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-170845-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
343 AM EDT SUN SEP 16 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       
TEMP (24H TREND)      71-76 (-2)   57-62 (+5)   70-75        
RH % (24H TREND)      50-55 (+4)   88-93 (+2)   59-64        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           40           80           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            8            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.04         0.03         0.34         
LAL                   2            2            2            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6000                      4400         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W  5                      S  9         
DISPERSION            11 POOR                   9 POOR       

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH
WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO
MID 70S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COLDER.
LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S
TO MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO UPPER 70S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO MID 70S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-170845-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
343 AM EDT SUN SEP 16 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       
TEMP (24H TREND)      77-82 (-2)   61-66 (+7)   72-77        
RH % (24H TREND)      45-50 (+6)   85-90 (+4)   60-65        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           50           80           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            8            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.06         0.06         0.46         
LAL                   2            2            2            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5600                      3200         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W  3                      S  9         
DISPERSION            11 POOR                   9 POOR       

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
60S TO MID 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COOLER.
LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. EAST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID
60S TO UPPER 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO UPPER 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S TO MID 70S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.

$$

NCZ060-061-170845-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
343 AM EDT SUN SEP 16 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       
TEMP (24H TREND)      76-81 (-2)   60-65 (+7)   72-77        
RH % (24H TREND)      46-51 (+8)   84-89 (-1)   59-64        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           60           80           
PRECIP DURATION       1            2            8            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.06         0.05         0.44         
LAL                   2            2            2            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5900                      3700         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W  5                      S 12         
DISPERSION            14 GEN POOR               14 GEN POOR  
MAX LVORI             5                         4            

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
60S TO MID 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COOLER.
LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S.
EAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO MID 70S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-170845-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
343 AM EDT SUN SEP 16 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       
TEMP (24H TREND)      75-80 (-2)   59-64 (+5)   71-76        
RH % (24H TREND)      47-52 (+5)   92-97 (+5)   66-71        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         TSTMS        SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           30           80           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            8            
PRECIP BEGIN          2 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.02         0.34         
LAL                   1            2            1            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5600                      3200         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W  3                      S  9         
DISPERSION            13 GEN POOR               14 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
60S TO MID 70S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COOLER.
LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. EAST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER TO MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 50.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-170845-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
343 AM EDT SUN SEP 16 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       
TEMP (24H TREND)      77-82 (-1)   60-65 (+3)   72-77        
RH % (24H TREND)      44-49 (+3)   89-94 (+6)   64-69        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         TSTMS        SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           40           80           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            8            
PRECIP BEGIN          2 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.03         0.50         
LAL                   2            2            2            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5400                      3400         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW  3                     S  8         
DISPERSION            12 POOR                   15 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. EAST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.TUESDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
TO MID 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COOLER.
LOWS NEAR 50. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS NEAR 70. EAST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S.
SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-170845-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
343 AM EDT SUN SEP 16 2012 /243 AM CDT SUN SEP 16 2012/

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       
TEMP (24H TREND)      78-83 (-1)   62-67 (+4)   73-78        
RH % (24H TREND)      45-50 (+4)   86-91 (+3)   64-69        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           60           80           
PRECIP DURATION       1            2            8            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.05         0.08         0.75         
LAL                   2            2            2            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5100                      3800         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW  3                     S  8         
DISPERSION            12 POOR                   17 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 60S. SOUTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.TUESDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 70S.
NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COOLER.
LOWS AROUND 50. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S.
NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID
TO UPPER 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID
50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

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