
981 
FNUS54 KMRX 160154 AAA
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...UPDATED
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
954 PM EDT SAT SEP 15 2012

.DISCUSSION...
A WEAK COLD FRONT WILL STALL SOUTH OF THE AREA TONIGHT. THIS SYSTEM 
WILL LINGER ACROSS THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIAN REGION FOR A FEW 
DAYS...AS IT DOES...MOISTURE WILL SPREAD ACROSS THE 
REGION...INCREASING OUR CHANCES FOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ON 
SUNDAY AND MONDAY. ANOTHER COLD FRONT WILL SWEEP THROUGH THE AREA ON 
TUESDAY...PRODUCING WIDESPREAD PRECIPITATION. DRY CONDITIONS WILL 
RETURN BY MIDWEEK. 


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-161800-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
954 PM EDT SAT SEP 15 2012

                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       CLOUDY       
TEMP (24H TREND)      53-58 (-1)   72-77 (-2)   56-61        69-74        
RH % (24H TREND)      93-98 (-2)   49-54 (+3)   93-98        69-74        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         TSTMS        SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            40           40           80           
PRECIP DURATION                    1            1            8            
PRECIP BEGIN                       8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.03         0.02         0.29         
LAL                   1            3            1            1            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5400                      3700         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W  5                      SW 10        
DISPERSION                         14 GEN POOR               15 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO
LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COOLER. LOWS
IN THE UPPER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 60S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-161800-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
954 PM EDT SAT SEP 15 2012

                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       CLOUDY       
TEMP (24H TREND)      52-57 (0)    72-77 (0)    55-60        69-74        
RH % (24H TREND)      89-94 (-2)   49-54 (+1)   95-100       66-71        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         TSTMS        SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            50           40           80           
PRECIP DURATION                    1            1            8            
PRECIP BEGIN                       8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.14         0.03         0.34         
LAL                   1            4            1            1            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6600                      4600         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W  8                      SW  8        
DISPERSION                         25 FAIR                   12 POOR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S
TO LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COOLER. LOWS
IN THE UPPER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 50.
HIGHS IN THE 60S TO MID 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-161800-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
954 PM EDT SAT SEP 15 2012

                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       CLOUDY       
TEMP (24H TREND)      52-57 (+2)   74-79 (+1)   56-61        70-75        
RH % (24H TREND)      91-96 (-3)   45-50 (-1)   89-94        60-65        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         TSTMS        SHOWERS      TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            50           40           80           
PRECIP DURATION                    1            1            8            
PRECIP BEGIN                       8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.05         0.02         0.32         
LAL                   1            4            1            2            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6600                      4700         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W  6                      SW  6        
DISPERSION                         18 GEN POOR               7 POOR       

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS
5 TO 15 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO
MID 70S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COOLER.
LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO UPPER 70S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO MID 70S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-161800-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
954 PM EDT SAT SEP 15 2012

                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       CLOUDY       
TEMP (24H TREND)      55-60 (+4)   78-83 (-1)   58-63        72-77        
RH % (24H TREND)      84-89 (-10)  39-44 (0)    87-92        62-67        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         TSTMS        SHOWERS      TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            40           40           80           
PRECIP DURATION                    1            1            8            
PRECIP BEGIN                       8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.03         0.02         0.40         
LAL                   1            4            1            2            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6300                      3500         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W  5                      SW  3        
DISPERSION                         18 GEN POOR               4 VERY POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
60S TO MID 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COOLER.
LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. EAST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S
TO UPPER 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO UPPER 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID
50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S TO MID 70S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.

$$

NCZ060-061-161800-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
954 PM EDT SAT SEP 15 2012

                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       CLOUDY       
TEMP (24H TREND)      54-59 (+5)   78-83 (0)    57-62        72-77        
RH % (24H TREND)      89-94 (-7)   40-45 (+2)   87-92        62-67        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         TSTMS        SHOWERS      TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            40           40           80           
PRECIP DURATION                    1            1            8            
PRECIP BEGIN                       8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.05         0.02         0.43         
LAL                   1            4            1            2            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 7300                      3900         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W  7                      S  6         
DISPERSION                         31 FAIR                   8 POOR       
MAX LVORI                          4                         5            

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 60S. SOUTHEAST
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
60S TO MID 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COOLER.
LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S.
EAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S
TO UPPER 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID
50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO MID 70S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-161800-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
954 PM EDT SAT SEP 15 2012

                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       CLOUDY       
TEMP (24H TREND)      54-59 (0)    76-81 (-1)   58-63        71-76        
RH % (24H TREND)      89-94 (-6)   45-50 (+3)   92-97        67-72        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         TSTMS        SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            40           40           80           
PRECIP DURATION                    1            1            8            
PRECIP BEGIN                       8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.04         0.02         0.33         
LAL                   1            3            1            1            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5900                      3500         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W  6                      SW  8        
DISPERSION                         21 FAIR                   13 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S
TO LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COOLER.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. EAST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
TO MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-161800-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
954 PM EDT SAT SEP 15 2012

                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       CLOUDY       
TEMP (24H TREND)      56-61 (+2)   77-82 (-1)   59-64        72-77        
RH % (24H TREND)      85-90 (-12)  43-48 (+2)   91-96        65-70        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         TSTMS        SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            40           40           80           
PRECIP DURATION                    1            1            8            
PRECIP BEGIN                       8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.02         0.02         0.47         
LAL                   1            3            1            2            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5500                      3700         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW  6                     SW  7        
DISPERSION                         19 GEN POOR               14 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. EAST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.TUESDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
TO MID 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COOLER.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS NEAR 70. EAST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S.
SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID
50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO MID 70S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-161800-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
954 PM EDT SAT SEP 15 2012 /854 PM CDT SAT SEP 15 2012/

                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       CLOUDY       
TEMP (24H TREND)      57-62 (+2)   79-84 (0)    61-66        73-78        
RH % (24H TREND)      87-92 (-8)   41-46 (0)    87-92        62-67        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         TSTMS        SHOWERS      TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            40           50           80           
PRECIP DURATION                    1            1            8            
PRECIP BEGIN                       8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.02         0.03         0.77         
LAL                   1            3            1            2            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5800                      4100         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW  3                     E  3         
DISPERSION                         14 GEN POOR               9 POOR       

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 60S. SOUTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.TUESDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 70S.
NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COOLER.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S.
NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID
70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.

$$

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