
331 
FNUS54 KMRX 150755
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
355 AM EDT SAT SEP 15 2012

.DISCUSSION...
A WEAK COLD FRONT WILL TRACK THROUGH THE AREA TODAY...BUT DUE TO 
A LACK OF MOISTURE...THIS SYSTEM WILL LIKELY PROVIDE LITTLE MORE 
THAN CLOUD COVER...AND PERHAPS A FEW SHOWERS TODAY. THIS SYSTEM 
WILL LINGER ACROSS THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIAN REGION FOR A FEW 
DAYS...AS IT DOES...MOISTURE WILL SPREAD ACROSS THE 
REGION...INCREASING OUR CHANCES FOR RAIN ON SUNDAY AND MONDAY. 
ANOTHER COLD FRONT WILL SWEEP THROUGH THE AREA ON 
TUESDAY...PRODUCING WIDESPREAD PRECIPITATION. DRY CONDITIONS WILL 
RETURN BY MIDWEEK. 


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-160900-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
355 AM EDT SAT SEP 15 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      74-79 (-2)   55-60 (+1)   72-77        
RH % (24H TREND)      43-48 (+1)   83-88 (-8)   46-51        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            40           
PRECIP DURATION                                 1            
PRECIP BEGIN                                    8 AM         
PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.07         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6600                      4700         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   N  5                      W  3         
DISPERSION            19 GEN POOR               8 POOR       

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
60S TO MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS
IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE
60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
60S TO MID 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO UPPER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-160900-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
355 AM EDT SAT SEP 15 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      72-77 (-3)   57-62 (+5)   72-77        
RH % (24H TREND)      43-48 (+3)   83-88 (-1)   49-54        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      NONE         SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           0            50           
PRECIP DURATION       1                         1            
PRECIP BEGIN          2 PM                      8 AM         
PRECIP END            8 PM                      CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.00         0.17         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    7100                      4800         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   N  5                      W  7         
DISPERSION            19 GEN POOR               12 POOR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
60S TO MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS
IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE
60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO LOWER 80S. WEST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-160900-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
355 AM EDT SAT SEP 15 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      73-78 (+1)   57-62 (+7)   73-78        
RH % (24H TREND)      39-44 (-4)   82-87 (-5)   47-52        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      NONE         SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           0            50           
PRECIP DURATION       1                         1            
PRECIP BEGIN          2 PM                      8 AM         
PRECIP END            8 PM                      CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.00         0.13         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6800                      5000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NE  3                     W  8         
DISPERSION            11 POOR                   12 POOR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO
UPPER 70S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS
IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE 60S TO MID 70S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S
TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S
TO MID 70S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO UPPER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-160900-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
355 AM EDT SAT SEP 15 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      79-84 (+2)   58-63 (+7)   77-82        
RH % (24H TREND)      36-41 (-4)   80-85 (-3)   45-50        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      NONE         SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           0            40           
PRECIP DURATION       1                         1            
PRECIP BEGIN          2 PM                      8 AM         
PRECIP END            8 PM                      CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.00         0.09         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6500                      4900         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW  3                     W  6         
DISPERSION            13 GEN POOR               14 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO
UPPER 70S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS
IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH
SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE 60S TO UPPER 70S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
60S TO LOWER 70S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S
TO UPPER 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-160900-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
355 AM EDT SAT SEP 15 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      78-83 (+2)   56-61 (+7)   77-82        
RH % (24H TREND)      35-40 (-3)   83-88 (-2)   46-51        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      NONE         SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           0            50           
PRECIP DURATION       1                         1            
PRECIP BEGIN          2 PM                      8 AM         
PRECIP END            8 PM                      CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.04         0.00         0.12         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6800                      5200         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW  3                     SW  6        
DISPERSION            14 GEN POOR               16 GEN POOR  
MAX LVORI             5                         4            

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS NEAR 60. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
60S TO MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS
NEAR 60. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST
AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE 70S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S
TO UPPER 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO UPPER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-160900-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
355 AM EDT SAT SEP 15 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      77-82 (-2)   57-62 (+3)   75-80        
RH % (24H TREND)      39-44 (0)    84-89 (-6)   47-52        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            50           
PRECIP DURATION                                 1            
PRECIP BEGIN                                    8 AM         
PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.08         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6400                      4400         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NE  5                     W  5         
DISPERSION            18 GEN POOR               12 POOR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. EAST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO
UPPER 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
SOUTHWEST EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS
IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN
THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID
60S TO LOWER 70S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
TO MID 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-160900-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
355 AM EDT SAT SEP 15 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      78-83 (-1)   58-63 (+4)   76-81        
RH % (24H TREND)      39-44 (-3)   81-86 (-5)   45-50        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            50           
PRECIP DURATION                                 1            
PRECIP BEGIN                                    8 AM         
PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.06         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6300                      4700         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NE  3                     W  5         
DISPERSION            16 GEN POOR               15 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. LIGHT WINDS. 
.MONDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 70S.
EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH EARLY IN THE
AFTERNOON. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS
IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN
THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE 70S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS NEAR 70.
EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S.
SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-160900-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
355 AM EDT SAT SEP 15 2012 /255 AM CDT SAT SEP 15 2012/

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      79-84 (-1)   59-64 (+4)   79-84        
RH % (24H TREND)      39-44 (0)    84-89 (+1)   44-49        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            40           
PRECIP DURATION                                 1            
PRECIP BEGIN                                    8 AM         
PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.06         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6100                      4800         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   E  5                      W  3         
DISPERSION            18 GEN POOR               12 POOR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 60S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS
IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH
SHIFTING TO THE WEST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE 70S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 70S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP
TO 10 MPH. 

$$

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