
261 
FNUS54 KMRX 141857
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
257 PM EDT FRI SEP 14 2012

.DISCUSSION...
A WEAK COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH THE AREA TONIGHT...BUT DO TO A LACK
OF MOISTURE...THIS SYSTEM WILL LIKELY PROVIDE LITTLE MORE THAN CLOUD 
COVER...AND PERHAPS A FEW SHOWERS ON SATURDAY. THIS SYSTEM WILL 
LINGER ACROSS THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIAN REGION FOR A FEW DAYS...AS IT 
DOES...MOISTURE WILL SPREAD ACROSS THE REGION...INCREASING OUR 
CHANCES FOR RAIN ON SUNDAY AND MONDAY. ANOTHER COLD FRONT WILL SWEEP 
THROUGH THE AREA ON TUESDAY...PRODUCING WIDESPREAD PRECIPITATION. 
DRY CONDITIONS WILL RETURN BY MIDWEEK. 


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-152000-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
257 PM EDT FRI SEP 14 2012

                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      54-59 (+2)   74-79 (-2)   54-59        72-77        
RH % (24H TREND)      92-97 (+3)   42-47 (0)    84-89        45-50        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      TSTMS        NONE         SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            40           
PRECIP DURATION                                              1            
PRECIP BEGIN                                                 8 AM         
PRECIP END                                                   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.09         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6200                      5900         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                N  6                      W  3         
DISPERSION                         20 GEN POOR               13 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
60S TO MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS
IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
TO MID 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-152000-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
257 PM EDT FRI SEP 14 2012

                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      51-56 (+1)   74-79 (-1)   53-58        72-77        
RH % (24H TREND)      89-94 (+1)   43-48 (+3)   89-94        48-53        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      TSTMS        SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            20           30           50           
PRECIP DURATION                    1            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN                       CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.07         0.02         0.24         
LAL                   1            3            1            1            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6300                      6000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                N  6                      SW  6        
DISPERSION                         17 GEN POOR               16 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
60S TO MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS
IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO LOWER 80S. WEST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-152000-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
257 PM EDT FRI SEP 14 2012

                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      50-55 (0)    75-80 (+3)   53-58        73-78        
RH % (24H TREND)      91-96 (+2)   42-47 (-1)   88-93        45-50        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         TSTMS        SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            30           30           50           
PRECIP DURATION                    1            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN                       8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.05         0.02         0.14         
LAL                   1            3            1            1            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6400                      6100         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NE  5                     W  6         
DISPERSION                         13 GEN POOR               14 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
60S TO MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS
IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S
TO UPPER 70S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-152000-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
257 PM EDT FRI SEP 14 2012

                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      53-58 (0)    79-84 (+2)   56-61        77-82        
RH % (24H TREND)      86-91 (-6)   37-42 (-3)   82-87        42-47        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         TSTMS        SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            20           20           40           
PRECIP DURATION                    1            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN                       8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.03         0.01         0.13         
LAL                   1            3            1            1            
LASI                               3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6400                      6100         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NE  3                     W  5         
DISPERSION                         15 GEN POOR               16 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 70S.
SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS
IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH
SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE 60S TO UPPER 70S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 60S TO MID 70S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S
TO UPPER 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-152000-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
257 PM EDT FRI SEP 14 2012

                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      52-57 (-1)   78-83 (+2)   55-60        77-82        
RH % (24H TREND)      88-93 (-9)   36-41 (-2)   82-87        43-48        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         TSTMS        SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            20           20           50           
PRECIP DURATION                    1            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN                       8 AM         CONTINUING   8 AM         
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   2 AM         CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.09         0.01         0.17         
LAL                   1            3            1            1            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6700                      6400         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW  3                     W  5         
DISPERSION                         13 GEN POOR               18 GEN POOR  
MAX LVORI                          5                         4            

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS NEAR 60. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 70S.
SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS
NEAR 60. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST
AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE 70S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S
TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S
TO UPPER 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-152000-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
257 PM EDT FRI SEP 14 2012

                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      53-58 (+1)   77-82 (-2)   55-60        75-80        
RH % (24H TREND)      91-96 (-4)   38-43 (-1)   85-90        46-51        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      TSTMS        SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            10           20           50           
PRECIP DURATION                    1            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN                       CONTINUING   CONTINUING   8 AM         
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   2 AM         CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.01         0.01         0.13         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5900                      5600         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                N  5                      SW  3        
DISPERSION                         18 GEN POOR               13 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. EAST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO
MID 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
SOUTHWEST EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS
IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN
THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO MID 70S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S
TO LOWER 70S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-152000-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
257 PM EDT FRI SEP 14 2012

                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      55-60 (0)    78-83 (-1)   57-62        76-81        
RH % (24H TREND)      90-95 (-3)   38-43 (-4)   83-88        44-49        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         TSTMS        SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            20           0            50           
PRECIP DURATION                    1                         1            
PRECIP BEGIN                       2 PM                      8 AM         
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING                CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.01         0.00         0.09         
LAL                   1            3            1            1            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6200                      5900         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                N  5                      W  3         
DISPERSION                         20 GEN POOR               14 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. LIGHT WINDS. 
.MONDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S.
EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH EARLY IN THE
AFTERNOON. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. WEST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE 70S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS NEAR 70.
EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID
TO UPPER 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP
TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-152000-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
257 PM EDT FRI SEP 14 2012 /157 PM CDT FRI SEP 14 2012/

                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      57-62 (+2)   80-85 (0)    58-63        78-83        
RH % (24H TREND)      84-89 (-9)   37-42 (-2)   84-89        43-48        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         TSTMS        NONE         SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            20           0            40           
PRECIP DURATION                    1                         1            
PRECIP BEGIN                       2 PM                      8 AM         
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING                CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.01         0.00         0.09         
LAL                   1            2            1            1            
LASI                               4                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6300                      6000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NE  5                     W  3         
DISPERSION                         20 GEN POOR               15 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 60S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. NORTH WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 70S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP
TO 10 MPH. 

$$

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