
759 
FNUS54 KMRX 040631
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
231 AM EDT TUE SEP 4 2012

.DISCUSSION...
THE UPPER LEVEL TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE OVER THE AREA WILL WEAKEN AND 
SHIFT SLOWLY EAST THROUGH WEDNESDAY. THE WEATHER PATTERN WILL REMAIN 
UNSETTLED THROUGH THE END OF THE WORK WEEK AS A SUCCESSION OF 
DISTURBANCES MOVE THROUGH THE AREA. THIS WILL RESULT IN THE 
POSSIBILITY OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EACH DAY. 


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-050745-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
231 AM EDT TUE SEP 4 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      78-83 (0)    64-69 (+1)   82-87        
RH % (24H TREND)      66-71 (+1)   95-100 (+2)  55-60        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           50           30           
PRECIP DURATION       2            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.14         0.10         0.04         
LAL                   3            2            3            
LASI                  3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5300                      6600         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 14                     W  5         
DISPERSION            39 FAIR                   18 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...A QUICK INCH OR MORE OF RAIN WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH
ANY THUNDERSTORMS.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 60S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST AFTER
MIDNIGHT. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS AROUND 60.
HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO UPPER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-050745-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
231 AM EDT TUE SEP 4 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      75-80 (0)    63-68 (+1)   81-86        
RH % (24H TREND)      68-73 (+1)   95-100 (+5)  58-63        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  5         LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           50           40           
PRECIP DURATION       3            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.21         0.10         0.09         
LAL                   3            2            3            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4800                      6700         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 17                      NW  6        
DISPERSION            31 FAIR                   20 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...A QUICK INCH OR MORE OF RAIN WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH
ANY THUNDERSTORMS.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO UPPER 80S. WEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID
60S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE 70S TO UPPER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS AROUND 60.
HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-050745-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
231 AM EDT TUE SEP 4 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      74-79 (+1)   63-68 (0)    80-85        
RH % (24H TREND)      69-74 (-5)   95-100 (+5)  58-63        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           50           40           
PRECIP DURATION       3            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.18         0.07         0.06         
LAL                   3            2            3            
LASI                  3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4700                      6600         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S  9                      NW  3        
DISPERSION            12 POOR                   11 POOR      

REMARKS...A QUICK INCH OR MORE OF RAIN WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH
ANY THUNDERSTORMS.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO LOWER 90S. WEST WINDS UP
TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO LOWER 90S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS AROUND 60.
HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO UPPER 70S. NORTH WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-050745-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
231 AM EDT TUE SEP 4 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      78-83 (0)    65-70 (+1)   83-88        
RH % (24H TREND)      68-73 (-2)   95-100 (+8)  56-61        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           40           30           
PRECIP DURATION       3            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.19         0.05         0.06         
LAL                   3            2            3            
LASI                  3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4500                      5500         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S  8                      W  3         
DISPERSION            18 GEN POOR               11 POOR      

REMARKS...A QUICK INCH OR MORE OF RAIN WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH
ANY THUNDERSTORMS.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO LOWER 90S. WEST WINDS UP
TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 60S. WEST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO LOWER 90S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE LOWER
60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO MID 80S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. NORTH WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID
60S TO UPPER 70S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-050745-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
231 AM EDT TUE SEP 4 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      78-83 (0)    65-70 (+1)   82-87        
RH % (24H TREND)      72-77 (+1)   95-100 (+7)  59-64        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           40           30           
PRECIP DURATION       3            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.25         0.06         0.09         
LAL                   3            2            3            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5400                      7500         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 12                      W  3         
DISPERSION            30 FAIR                   16 GEN POOR  
MAX LVORI             4                         5            

REMARKS...A QUICK INCH OR MORE OF RAIN WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH
ANY THUNDERSTORMS.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH
EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO LOWER 90S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 60S. WEST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO LOWER 90S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE LOWER
60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S
TO UPPER 70S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-050745-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
231 AM EDT TUE SEP 4 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      80-85 (0)    65-70 (+1)   83-88        
RH % (24H TREND)      63-68 (+1)   95-100 (+5)  57-62        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           40           30           
PRECIP DURATION       2            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.15         0.10         0.05         
LAL                   3            2            3            
LASI                  3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4500                      5900         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 12                     W  3         
DISPERSION            32 FAIR                   14 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...A QUICK INCH OR MORE OF RAIN WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH
ANY THUNDERSTORMS.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE 80S TO LOWER 90S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP
TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 60S. SOUTH WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE MID TO UPPER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE LOWER
60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. WEST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO UPPER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-050745-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
231 AM EDT TUE SEP 4 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      81-86 (+2)   66-71 (0)    84-89        
RH % (24H TREND)      62-67 (-5)   95-100 (+6)  55-60        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           30           20           
PRECIP DURATION       2            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.08         0.05         0.03         
LAL                   3            2            3            
LASI                  3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4200                      5400         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW  7                     SW  3        
DISPERSION            18 GEN POOR               14 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...A QUICK INCH OR MORE OF RAIN WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH
ANY THUNDERSTORMS.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S TO LOWER 90S. SOUTHWEST WINDS
UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE LOWER
60S. HIGHS NEAR 80. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 50S. HIGHS NEAR 80. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID
TO UPPER 70S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-050745-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
231 AM EDT TUE SEP 4 2012 /131 AM CDT TUE SEP 4 2012/

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      81-86 (+1)   66-71 (-1)   86-91        
RH % (24H TREND)      63-68 (-3)   95-100 (+6)  54-59        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           30           20           
PRECIP DURATION       2            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.10         0.03         0.02         
LAL                   3            2            3            
LASI                  3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3900                      5100         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW  3                     S  5         
DISPERSION            9 POOR                    14 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...A QUICK INCH OR MORE OF RAIN WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH
ANY THUNDERSTORMS.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS NEAR 70. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 90S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER
70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING
BECOMING LIGHT. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE MID 80S TO LOWER 90S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID
60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 80S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 60S. HIGHS NEAR 80. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS NEAR 80.
NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

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