
985 
FNUS54 KMRX 151842
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
242 PM EDT WED AUG 15 2012

.DISCUSSION...
HIGH PRESSURE TO BUILD ACROSS THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIAN REGION 
OVERNIGHT...RESULTING IN DRY CONDITIONS...AND SEASONAL TEMPERATURES 
THROUGH THURSDAY. RAIN CHANCES INCREASE AGAIN FRIDAY AS A LOW 
PRESSURE SYSTEM APPROACHES FROM THE WEST.   


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-161945-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
242 PM EDT WED AUG 15 2012

                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          

CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       PCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      54-59 (-6)   82-87 (+7)   60-65        77-82        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+3)  35-40 (-20)  88-93        52-57        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   SW  7        
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SW  5        
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            60           
PRECIP DURATION                                              2            
PRECIP BEGIN                                                 8 AM         
PRECIP END                                                   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.31         
LAL                   1            1            1            4            
LASI                               5                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 7500                      5300         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW  3                     W 17         
DISPERSION                         18 GEN POOR               48 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. NORTHWEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS
IN THE MID TO UPPER 50S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN
THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. NORTHEAST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO
LOWER 80S. LIGHT WINDS. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S
TO LOWER 80S. LIGHT WINDS. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE
70S TO MID 80S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-161945-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
242 PM EDT WED AUG 15 2012

                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          

CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       PCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      54-59 (-4)   78-83 (+3)   57-62        76-81        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+5)  37-42 (-16)  86-91        49-54        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   W  7 G16     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      W  8 G17     
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            60           
PRECIP DURATION                                              2            
PRECIP BEGIN                                                 8 AM         
PRECIP END                                                   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.28         
LAL                   1            1            1            4            
LASI                               5                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 8100                      6600         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W  3                      W 17         
DISPERSION                         16 GEN POOR               56 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS
IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE 70S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER
80S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S
TO LOWER 80S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S TO
MID 80S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-161945-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
242 PM EDT WED AUG 15 2012

                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          

CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       PCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      54-59 (-5)   78-83 (+1)   60-65        76-81        
RH % (24H TREND)      91-96 (+3)   37-42 (-12)  82-87        48-53        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   SW  9 G17    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SW  9 G19    
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            60           
PRECIP DURATION                                              2            
PRECIP BEGIN                                                 CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                                                   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.34         
LAL                   1            1            1            4            
LASI                               5                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 7500                      5700         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W  5                      W 16         
DISPERSION                         19 GEN POOR               39 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH
DECREASING TO LESS THAN 10 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO LOWER 80S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO LOWER 80S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER
80S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO
MID 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S TO
MID 80S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-161945-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
242 PM EDT WED AUG 15 2012

                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          

CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      56-61 (-6)   82-87 (0)    62-67        81-86        
RH % (24H TREND)      92-97 (+9)   37-42 (-7)   81-86        48-53        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   SW  8 G15    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SW  8 G15    
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            20           60           
PRECIP DURATION                                 1            2            
PRECIP BEGIN                                    2 AM         CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.02         0.37         
LAL                   1            1            2            4            
LASI                               5                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 7400                      5500         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W  7                      SW 15        
DISPERSION                         31 FAIR                   46 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS
IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S TO
MID 80S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S TO
MID 80S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-161945-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
242 PM EDT WED AUG 15 2012

                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          

CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      54-59 (-7)   82-87 (+1)   61-66        80-85        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+11) 39-44 (-9)   81-86        47-52        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   SW  6 G15    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SW  7 G16    
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            60           
PRECIP DURATION                                              2            
PRECIP BEGIN                                                 CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                                                   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.27         
LAL                   1            1            1            4            
LASI                               4                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 8200                      6600         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W  8                      W 14         
DISPERSION                         41 GEN GOOD               54 GEN GOOD  
MAX LVORI                          4                         3            

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 60S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS
IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER
80S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO MID
80S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE
OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S
TO MID 80S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-161945-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
242 PM EDT WED AUG 15 2012

                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          

CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       PCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      55-60 (-5)   84-89 (+5)   60-65        80-85        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+3)  34-39 (-16)  89-94        48-53        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   SW  8 G20    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      W  7 G20     
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            60           
PRECIP DURATION                                              2            
PRECIP BEGIN                                                 8 AM         
PRECIP END                                                   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.36         
LAL                   1            1            1            4            
LASI                               5                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6500                      5400         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW  3                     W 18         
DISPERSION                         15 GEN POOR               63 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS
UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. NORTH WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS
IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. LIGHT WINDS. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AND SLIGHT
CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. NORTHEAST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID
70S TO LOWER 80S. LIGHT WINDS. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 60. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO MID
80S. LIGHT WINDS. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 70S TO MID 80S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-161945-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
242 PM EDT WED AUG 15 2012

                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          

CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       PCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      58-63 (-3)   85-90 (+3)   64-69        81-86        
RH % (24H TREND)      92-97 (+2)   32-37 (-11)  84-89        50-55        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   SW  8 G16    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SW  6 G15    
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            20           70           
PRECIP DURATION                                 1            2            
PRECIP BEGIN                                    2 AM         CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.02         0.41         
LAL                   1            1            3            4            
LASI                               5                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6700                      5000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW  5                     W 17         
DISPERSION                         20 GEN POOR               55 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO MID 80S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS
IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO MID 80S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S
TO MID 80S. LIGHT WINDS. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S
TO UPPER 80S. LIGHT WINDS. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 70S TO MID 80S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-161945-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
242 PM EDT WED AUG 15 2012 /142 PM CDT WED AUG 15 2012/

                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          

CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       PCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      60-65 (-4)   87-92 (+2)   65-70        83-88        
RH % (24H TREND)      91-96 (+6)   33-38 (-7)   87-92        50-55        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   SW  7 G15    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SW  6        
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            30           60           
PRECIP DURATION                                 1            3            
PRECIP BEGIN                                    2 AM         CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.06         0.44         
LAL                   1            1            3            4            
LASI                               4                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6800                      4700         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW  5                     W 15         
DISPERSION                         25 FAIR                   44 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 80S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID
60S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 80S. NORTH WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 70S TO MID 80S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S
TO UPPER 80S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE
80S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

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