
787 
FNUS54 KMRX 150710
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
310 AM EDT WED AUG 15 2012

.DISCUSSION...
JUST ENOUGH MOISTURE WILL BE IN PLACE OVER THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIAN 
REGION FOR THE POSSIBILITY OF A SHOWER...MAINLY ACROSS SOUTHWEST 
VIRGINIA AND NORTHEAST TENNESSEE TODAY...AS A TROUGH OF LOW 
PRESSURE MOVES INTO THE AREA. BY THE AFTERNOON SKIES WILL BECOME 
PARTLY TO MOSTLY SUNNY AS THE AREA OF LIGHT RAIN MOVES EAST. THE 
CHANCE FOR RAIN WILL INCREASE AGAIN LATE THURSDAY NIGHT AND 
FRIDAY WHEN ANOTHER LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM APPROACHES FROM THE WEST. 


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-160815-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
310 AM EDT WED AUG 15 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       
TEMP (24H TREND)      76-81 (-1)   54-59 (-6)   81-86        
RH % (24H TREND)      50-55 (-5)   95-100 (+5)  40-45        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SW  6        
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       1                                      
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM                                   
PRECIP END            2 PM                                   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   2            1            1            
LASI                  3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    7300                      7500         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW  7                     W  5         
DISPERSION            33 FAIR                   23 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 60S. SOUTH WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO
MID 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. WEST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. NORTHEAST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO
LOWER 80S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S
TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-160815-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
310 AM EDT WED AUG 15 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       
TEMP (24H TREND)      75-80 (0)    52-57 (-6)   79-84        
RH % (24H TREND)      46-51 (-10)  95-100 (+3)  38-43        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  6        LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       1                                      
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM                                   
PRECIP END            2 PM                                   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.03         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   2            1            1            
LASI                  3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    7300                      7600         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 13                      NW  5        
DISPERSION            50 GEN GOOD               18 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID
60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
70S TO MID 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE 70S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO
LOWER 80S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S
TO LOWER 80S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-160815-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
310 AM EDT WED AUG 15 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      76-81 (+2)   53-58 (-6)   78-83        
RH % (24H TREND)      42-47 (-15)  95-100 (+1)  38-43        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  6        LGT/VAR      W  5         
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       1                                      
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM                                   
PRECIP END            2 PM                                   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   2            1            1            
LASI                  3                         5            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    7300                      7600         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 16                      W  5         
DISPERSION            56 GEN GOOD               20 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
60S TO MID 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO LOWER 80S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO LOWER 80S. WEST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
60S TO MID 80S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 60S TO MID 80S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-160815-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
310 AM EDT WED AUG 15 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      81-86 (+2)   57-62 (-5)   84-89        
RH % (24H TREND)      40-45 (-14)  87-92 (-1)   35-40        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  6        LGT/VAR      W  5         
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       1                                      
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM                                   
PRECIP END            12 PM                                  
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   2            1            1            
LASI                  3                         5            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    7300                      6900         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 14                      NW  6        
DISPERSION            64 GOOD                   25 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO
80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 60S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 70S TO MID 80S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 60. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S
TO MID 80S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-160815-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
310 AM EDT WED AUG 15 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      80-85 (+2)   55-60 (-6)   84-89        
RH % (24H TREND)      41-46 (-13)  91-96 (+3)   35-40        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  7        LGT/VAR      W  5         
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       1                                      
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM                                   
PRECIP END            12 PM                                  
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    7400                      7200         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 16                      NW  6        
DISPERSION            74 GOOD                   27 FAIR      
MAX LVORI             4                         4            

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO
MID 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 60S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S
TO MID 80S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S
TO MID 80S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-160815-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
310 AM EDT WED AUG 15 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       
TEMP (24H TREND)      79-84 (0)    54-59 (-6)   83-88        
RH % (24H TREND)      44-49 (-9)   95-100 (+5)  36-41        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       1                                      
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM                                   
PRECIP END            2 PM                                   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   2            1            1            
LASI                  3                         5            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    7100                      7200         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 10                      SW  3        
DISPERSION            51 GEN GOOD               18 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S.
SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
70S TO MID 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. NORTHEAST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID
70S TO LOWER 80S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S
TO MID 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-160815-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
310 AM EDT WED AUG 15 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       
TEMP (24H TREND)      82-87 (+2)   58-63 (-3)   84-89        
RH % (24H TREND)      39-44 (-16)  89-94 (-2)   38-43        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SW  5        
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       1                                      
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM                                   
PRECIP END            12 PM                                  
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   2            1            1            
LASI                  4                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    7200                      7200         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 12                     W  5         
DISPERSION            59 GEN GOOD               25 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 80S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 60S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO MID 80S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO MID 80S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 70S TO MID 80S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 60. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S
TO MID 80S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-160815-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
310 AM EDT WED AUG 15 2012 /210 AM CDT WED AUG 15 2012/

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      84-89 (+4)   60-65 (-4)   85-90        
RH % (24H TREND)      36-41 (-20)  86-91 (-1)   37-42        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  5        LGT/VAR      SW  6        
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       1                                      
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM                                   
PRECIP END            12 PM                                  
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  4                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    7000                      6600         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 13                     W  6         
DISPERSION            67 GOOD                   25 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 80S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 80S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 80S. NORTHWEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 70S TO MID 80S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S
TO UPPER 80S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

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