
820 
FNUS54 KMRX 091918
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
320 PM EDT THU AUG 9 2012

.DISCUSSION...
AN UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE WILL CONTINUE TO PRODUCE SCATTERED 
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIAN REGION 
TONIGHT...AS A COLD FRONT SLOWLY APPROACHES THE AREA. THIS COLD 
FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE AREA ON FRIDAY...WITH SCATTERED SHOWERS 
AND THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUING. DRIER AND SLIGHTLY COOLER AIR WILL THEN 
MOVE INTO THE REGION BEHIND THIS FRONT FOR THE WEEKEND.


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-102000-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
320 PM EDT THU AUG 9 2012

                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      64-69 (+4)   78-83 (-3)   57-62        79-84        
RH % (24H TREND)      93-98 (-2)   56-61 (0)    94-99        42-47        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW  9 G17                 W  5         
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  5        SW  9 G17    SW  5        W  5         
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           70           30           20           
PRECIP DURATION       2            3            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   8 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.23         0.36         0.04         0.02         
LAL                   4            4            3            3            
LASI                               3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3000                      6900         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 22                     W  9         
DISPERSION                         19 GEN POOR               41 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...A FEW STORMS THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT MAY PRODUCE LOCALLY 
HEAVY RAINFALL UP TO AN INCH OR TWO.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 50S. WEST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE EAST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.SUNDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO MID 80S. WEST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING
LIGHT. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE 80S. WEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO UPPER
80S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE 80S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-102000-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
320 PM EDT THU AUG 9 2012

                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      61-66 (+1)   76-81 (-2)   57-62        77-82        
RH % (24H TREND)      94-99 (+1)   58-63 (-2)   94-99        42-47        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW  6 G15                 W  6         
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      W  7 G16     LGT/VAR      W  5         
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           70           40           20           
PRECIP DURATION       2            3            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   8 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.15         0.37         0.12         0.02         
LAL                   4            4            3            3            
LASI                               3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3200                      6700         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 20                     W 10         
DISPERSION                         7 POOR                    34 FAIR      

REMARKS...A FEW STORMS THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT MAY PRODUCE LOCALLY 
HEAVY RAINFALL UP TO AN INCH OR TWO.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 50S. WEST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.SUNDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S TO MID 80S. NORTHWEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID TO UPPER 50S. 
NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 80S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 
MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO
MID 80S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO
UPPER 80S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S
TO UPPER 80S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-102000-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
320 PM EDT THU AUG 9 2012

                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      62-67 (-2)   76-81 (-1)   58-63        77-82        
RH % (24H TREND)      94-99 (+4)   61-66 (0)    95-100       44-49        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW  9 G18                 LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  7         SW  9 G17    SW  7 G16    NW  5        
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           70           40           20           
PRECIP DURATION       2            3            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   8 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.13         0.36         0.05         0.02         
LAL                   4            4            3            2            
LASI                               3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3600                      6900         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 22                     NW  7        
DISPERSION                         9 POOR                    24 FAIR      

REMARKS...A FEW STORMS THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT MAY PRODUCE LOCALLY 
HEAVY RAINFALL UP TO AN INCH OR TWO.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S.
LIGHT WINDS BECOMING EAST LESS THAN 10 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.SUNDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO MID 80S. NORTH WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S.
NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST AFTER
MIDNIGHT. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO UPPER 80S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO
UPPER 80S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO 80S.
NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID
70S TO UPPER 80S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-102000-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
320 PM EDT THU AUG 9 2012

                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      63-68 (-2)   79-84 (-1)   60-65        80-85        
RH % (24H TREND)      94-99 (+1)   60-65 (0)    95-100       45-50        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW  8 G16                 LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  6         SW  9 G17    SW  6 G16    LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           70           30           0            
PRECIP DURATION       2            3            1                         
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING                
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   8 AM                      
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.14         0.45         0.04         0.00         
LAL                   4            4            3            1            
LASI                               3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3100                      7000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 21                     NW  7        
DISPERSION                         18 GEN POOR               30 FAIR      

REMARKS...A FEW STORMS THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT MAY PRODUCE LOCALLY 
HEAVY RAINFALL UP TO AN INCH OR TWO.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S.
EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO UPPER 80S. NORTHWEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. WEST 
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 90S. SOUTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO UPPER
80S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO UPPER
80S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 70S TO LOWER 90S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-102000-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
320 PM EDT THU AUG 9 2012

                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      63-68 (0)    78-83 (-2)   59-64        79-84        
RH % (24H TREND)      94-99 (-1)   62-67 (+4)   94-99        46-51        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW  6                     NW  5        
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SW  8        SW  5        LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           70           40           0            
PRECIP DURATION       2            3            1                         
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING                
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   8 AM                      
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.16         0.37         0.10         0.00         
LAL                   4            4            3            1            
LASI                               3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3100                      7700         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 20                     NW  8        
DISPERSION                         14 GEN POOR               38 FAIR      
MAX LVORI                          6                         4            

REMARKS...A FEW STORMS THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT MAY PRODUCE LOCALLY 
HEAVY RAINFALL UP TO AN INCH OR TWO.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO UPPER 80S. NORTH WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. WEST 
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO UPPER 80S. WEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO UPPER
80S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO UPPER
80S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 70S TO LOWER 90S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-102000-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
320 PM EDT THU AUG 9 2012

                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      64-69 (+1)   80-85 (-2)   59-64        81-86        
RH % (24H TREND)      94-99 (+1)   56-61 (-2)   94-99        42-47        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW  8 G16                 W  5         
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SW  8 G16    LGT/VAR      W  5         
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           70           30           20           
PRECIP DURATION       2            3            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   8 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.15         0.37         0.04         0.01         
LAL                   4            4            3            2            
LASI                               3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3000                      6700         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 22                     W  8         
DISPERSION                         28 FAIR                   38 FAIR      

REMARKS...A FEW STORMS THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT MAY PRODUCE LOCALLY 
HEAVY RAINFALL UP TO AN INCH OR TWO.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S.
WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE EAST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.SUNDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 80S. WEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S.
LIGHT WINDS. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE 80S. WEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO UPPER
80S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE
80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-102000-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
320 PM EDT THU AUG 9 2012

                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      65-70 (-2)   80-85 (-2)   60-65        81-86        
RH % (24H TREND)      94-99 (+5)   58-63 (0)    94-99        42-47        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW  9 G17                 LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  6        SW  8 G15    LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           70           30           0            
PRECIP DURATION       2            3            1                         
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING                
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   8 AM                      
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.13         0.34         0.03         0.00         
LAL                   4            4            3            1            
LASI                               3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 2900                      6700         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 22                     NW  8        
DISPERSION                         30 FAIR                   35 FAIR      

REMARKS...A FEW STORMS THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT MAY PRODUCE LOCALLY 
HEAVY RAINFALL UP TO AN INCH OR TWO.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S.
EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS NEAR 60. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS 
THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID TO UPPER
80S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE 80S TO LOWER
90S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 80S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-102000-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
320 PM EDT THU AUG 9 2012 /220 PM CDT THU AUG 9 2012/

                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      66-71 (-2)   81-86 (-1)   61-66        82-87        
RH % (24H TREND)      94-99 (+4)   57-62 (-2)   94-99        42-47        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW  8 G16                 LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  6         SW  8 G16    LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           70           30           0            
PRECIP DURATION       2            3            1                         
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING                
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   8 AM                      
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.12         0.56         0.03         0.00         
LAL                   4            4            3            1            
LASI                               3                         5            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 2600                      7100         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 20                     N  6         
DISPERSION                         25 FAIR                   31 FAIR      

REMARKS...A FEW STORMS THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT MAY PRODUCE LOCALLY 
HEAVY RAINFALL UP TO AN INCH OR TWO.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S.
NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 80S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS 
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS NEAR 90. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND 
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. WEST 
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND 
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S TO LOWER 
90S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 70. HIGHS NEAR 90. WEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

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