
413 
FNUS54 KMRX 010339 AAB
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...UPDATED
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
1139 PM EDT TUE JUL 31 2012

.DISCUSSION...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL BEGIN TO DOMINATE THE WEATHER PATTERN ACROSS THE 
SOUTHERN APPALACHIAN REGION OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS. SHOWERS AND 
THUNDERSTORMS WILL STILL DEVELOP EACH AFTERNOON...BUT GENERALLY 
WEAKEN AND DISSIPATE AFTER SUNSET. AFTERNOON HIGH TEMPERATURES WILL 
BE WARMER THAN NORMAL...WITH MORNING LOWS REMAINING NEAR NORMAL 
THROUGH THE END OF THE WORK WEEK. 


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-020445-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
1139 PM EDT TUE JUL 31 2012

                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      60-65 (-2)   84-89 (+3)   59-64        84-89        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+3)  42-47 (-12)  92-97        39-44        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           20           0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       1            1                                      
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         12 PM                                  
PRECIP END            2 AM         8 PM                                   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.05         0.04         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   3            3            1            1            
LASI                               3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 7700                      8100         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W  8                      W  3         
DISPERSION                         41 GEN GOOD               20 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S.
LIGHT WINDS. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 80S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 80S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE 80S.
WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-020445-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
1139 PM EDT TUE JUL 31 2012

                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      58-63 (-2)   82-87 (+4)   57-62        83-88        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+3)  41-46 (-15)  93-98        38-43        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        NONE         TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           20           0            20           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1                         1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         12 PM                     2 PM         
PRECIP END            2 AM         8 PM                      8 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.09         0.03         0.00         0.01         
LAL                   3            3            1            2            
LASI                               4                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 8100                      8900         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW  9                     W  6         
DISPERSION                         44 GEN GOOD               30 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID
60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING
BECOMING LIGHT. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO UPPER 80S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 80S. WEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE
80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-020445-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
1139 PM EDT TUE JUL 31 2012

                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      60-65 (-2)   83-88 (+5)   56-61        84-89        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+5)  39-44 (-21)  90-95        32-37        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      NW  6        LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        NONE         TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           20           0            20           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1                         1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         12 PM                     2 PM         
PRECIP END            2 AM         8 PM                      8 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.01         0.00         0.01         
LAL                   3            3            1            2            
LASI                               4                         5            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 7800                      8200         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 13                     W  6         
DISPERSION                         51 GEN GOOD               23 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S.
NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH AFTER
MIDNIGHT. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE 80S TO LOWER 90S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE 70S TO UPPER 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO UPPER 80S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO UPPER 80S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S
TO UPPER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-020445-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
1139 PM EDT TUE JUL 31 2012

                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      62-67 (-2)   87-92 (+6)   58-63        87-92        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+1)  38-43 (-24)  92-97        34-39        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      NW  5        LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           20           0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       1            1                                      
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         2 PM                                   
PRECIP END            2 AM         8 PM                                   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.01         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   3            2            1            1            
LASI                               4                         5            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 7200                      7400         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW  9                     NW  7        
DISPERSION                         41 GEN GOOD               33 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID
60S. LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHEAST LESS THAN 10 MPH AFTER
MIDNIGHT. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE 80S TO LOWER 90S. SOUTHWEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE 70S TO UPPER 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO UPPER 80S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE 80S
TO LOWER 90S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-020445-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
1139 PM EDT TUE JUL 31 2012

                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      61-66 (-2)   86-91 (+5)   56-61        86-91        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (0)   39-44 (-23)  92-97        33-38        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      NW  6        LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           20           0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       1            1                                      
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         2 PM                                   
PRECIP END            2 AM         8 PM                                   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.01         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   3            2            1            1            
LASI                               4                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 7900                      8500         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 12                     W  8         
DISPERSION                         55 GEN GOOD               44 GEN GOOD  
MAX LVORI                          4                         4            

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S.
NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT.
.FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE 80S TO LOWER 90S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO UPPER 80S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS AROUND 60. HIGHS IN THE 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE
80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-020445-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
1139 PM EDT TUE JUL 31 2012

                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      61-66 (-2)   86-91 (+2)   59-64        86-91        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+2)  42-47 (-12)  90-95        36-41        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           10           0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       1            1                                      
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         2 PM                                   
PRECIP END            12 AM        8 PM                                   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.05         0.01         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   3            1            1            1            
LASI                               4                         5            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 7000                      7600         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW  7                     W  3         
DISPERSION                         35 FAIR                   21 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S.
LIGHT WINDS. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE 80S TO LOWER 90S. SOUTHWEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO UPPER 80S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE 80S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-020445-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
1139 PM EDT TUE JUL 31 2012

                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      64-69 (-2)   88-93 (+3)   60-65        88-93        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+6)  40-45 (-11)  90-95        34-39        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      W  5         LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            
PRECIP DURATION                                                           
PRECIP BEGIN                                                              
PRECIP END                                                                
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   3            1            1            1            
LASI                               4                         5            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 7000                      7100         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 10                     NW  3        
DISPERSION                         52 GEN GOOD               19 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 60S. LIGHT WINDS. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS NEAR 90. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE MID 80S TO LOWER 90S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 80S TO LOWER 90S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID
80S TO LOWER 90S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-020445-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
1139 PM EDT TUE JUL 31 2012 /1039 PM CDT TUE JUL 31 2012/

                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      66-71 (-2)   90-95 (+4)   62-67        90-95        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+3)  38-43 (-14)  92-97        33-38        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        NONE         NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           0            0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       1                                                   
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM                                                
PRECIP END            12 AM                                               
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.00         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   3            1            1            1            
LASI                               4                         5            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6300                      7400         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW  9                     NW  9        
DISPERSION                         42 GEN GOOD               48 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. LIGHT WINDS BECOMING
SOUTH LESS THAN 10 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S TO MID 90S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE MID 80S TO LOWER 90S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 80S TO LOWER 90S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 80S TO LOWER 90S. NORTHEAST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID
80S TO LOWER 90S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

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