
046 
FNUS54 KMRX 250831
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
431 AM EDT WED JUL 25 2012

.DISCUSSION...
A WEAK COLD FRONT WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE INTO THE 
SOUTHERN APPALACHIAN REGION TODAY. THIS FRONT WILL HELP TO TRIGGER 
MORE SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS MAINLY OVER OUR NORTHERN AREAS 
TODAY. ANOTHER WEAK COLD FRONT WILL MOVE INTO THE REGION ON 
FRIDAY... BRINGING ANOTHER GOOD CHANCE FOR SHOWERS AND 
THUNDERSTORMS. TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TO BE SLIGHTLY ABOVE NORMAL 
THROUGHOUT THE WEEK.


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-260945-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
431 AM EDT WED JUL 25 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      85-90 (0)    66-71 (+1)   90-95        
RH % (24H TREND)      47-52 (-5)   95-100 (0)   41-46        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   SW  8 G17    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  6        LGT/VAR      SW 11 G19    
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           30           20           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   12 PM        
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   2 AM         CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.11         0.01         0.02         
LAL                   3            3            2            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4800                      5800         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 17                      W 18         
DISPERSION            41 GEN GOOD               59 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS
5 TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 80S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE 80S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE 80S.
NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE 80S. SOUTH WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO UPPER 80S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-260945-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
431 AM EDT WED JUL 25 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      84-89 (0)    64-69 (+1)   88-93        
RH % (24H TREND)      46-51 (0)    95-100 (+3)  41-46        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   W  8 G16     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  5        LGT/VAR      W  9         
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           30           20           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   12 PM        
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   2 AM         CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.14         0.01         0.02         
LAL                   3            3            2            
LASI                  3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5000                      6000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 16                     W 17         
DISPERSION            29 FAIR                   49 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS 5 TO
15 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 80S.
WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 60S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE 80S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 80S.
NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 80S. SOUTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO UPPER 80S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-260945-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
431 AM EDT WED JUL 25 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      84-89 (-1)   64-69 (-1)   88-93        
RH % (24H TREND)      42-47 (0)    92-97 (+8)   41-46        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   W  8 G18     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      S  6         W 10 G17     
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           20           20           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   12 PM        
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   2 AM         CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.13         0.01         0.02         
LAL                   3            3            2            
LASI                  4                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5000                      6000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W  7                      W 16         
DISPERSION            11 POOR                   40 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS
5 TO 15 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S
TO LOWER 90S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO
15 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 90S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID
70S TO LOWER 90S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER
90S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO UPPER 80S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-260945-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
431 AM EDT WED JUL 25 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      88-93 (0)    66-71 (-2)   90-95        
RH % (24H TREND)      44-49 (-3)   95-100 (+12) 41-46        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   SW  6        
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      S  5         SW  9        
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           20           20           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   12 PM        
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   11 PM        CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.05         0.01         0.02         
LAL                   3            2            2            
LASI                  4                         5            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5000                      6000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW  5                     W 14         
DISPERSION            13 GEN POOR               46 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 80S TO
LOWER 90S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE 80S TO LOWER 90S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE 80S TO
LOWER 90S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE 80S TO LOWER
90S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO UPPER 80S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-260945-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
431 AM EDT WED JUL 25 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      88-93 (0)    65-70 (-1)   88-93        
RH % (24H TREND)      42-47 (-3)   95-100 (+7)  44-49        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   W  5         
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE  5        LGT/VAR      SW  8        
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           20           20           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   12 PM        
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   2 AM         CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.07         0.01         0.02         
LAL                   3            2            2            
LASI                  4                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5100                      6100         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW  5                     W 13         
DISPERSION            11 POOR                   42 GEN GOOD  
MAX LVORI             6                         4            

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 80S.
WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 60S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE 80S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE 80S.
NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE 80S. SOUTHEAST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO UPPER 80S. NORTHWEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-260945-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
431 AM EDT WED JUL 25 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      88-93 (+1)   67-72 (+1)   92-97        
RH % (24H TREND)      44-49 (-5)   95-100 (0)   41-46        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   SW  8 G16    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  5         LGT/VAR      SW 10 G17    
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           30           20           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   12 PM        
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   2 AM         CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.07         0.01         0.02         
LAL                   3            3            2            
LASI                  3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4800                      5800         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 12                      W 17         
DISPERSION            34 FAIR                   63 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS NEAR 70. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 80S TO
LOWER 90S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS
UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE 80S TO LOWER 90S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE 80S TO
LOWER 90S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE 80S TO LOWER
90S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-260945-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
431 AM EDT WED JUL 25 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      90-95 (+1)   69-74 (0)    92-97        
RH % (24H TREND)      42-47 (-6)   90-95 (+1)   41-46        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   SW  7 G15    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  5         LGT/VAR      SW 10 G18    
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           20           20           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   12 PM        
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   11 PM        CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.07         0.01         0.02         
LAL                   3            3            2            
LASI                  4                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4800                      5700         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W  7                      W 16         
DISPERSION            23 FAIR                   63 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS
5 TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 80S TO
LOWER 90S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS
UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE 80S TO LOWER 90S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 80S
TO LOWER 90S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 80S TO LOWER
90S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS AROUND 70. HIGHS IN THE 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-260945-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
431 AM EDT WED JUL 25 2012 /331 AM CDT WED JUL 25 2012/

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      92-97 (+1)   69-74 (-1)   92-97        
RH % (24H TREND)      39-44 (-5)   92-97 (+5)   41-46        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   SW  7 G15    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  5         LGT/VAR      SW  9 G17    
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           20           20           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   12 PM        
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   11 PM        CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.01         0.02         
LAL                   2            2            2            
LASI                  4                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4900                      5900         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW  7                     W 15         
DISPERSION            23 FAIR                   63 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S
TO LOWER 90S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE MID 80S TO LOWER 90S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID
80S TO LOWER 90S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S TO
LOWER 90S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 70S. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S TO LOWER 90S. SOUTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

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