
076 
FNUS54 KMRX 201718 AAB
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...UPDATED
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
118 PM EDT FRI JUL 20 2012

.DISCUSSION...
A WEAK COLD FRONT WILL MOVE INTO THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIAN REGION 
THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING...TRIGGERING ADDITIONAL SHOWERS AND 
THUNDERSTORMS. THIS FRONTAL BOUNDARY WILL THEN STALL OUT AROUND THE 
APPALACHIAN MOUNTAINS FOR THE WEEKEND...AND WILL HELP TO CREATE 
SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EACH DAY. TEMPERATURES ARE 
EXPECTED TO REMAIN NEAR NORMAL THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK.


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-211830-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
118 PM EDT FRI JUL 20 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      75-80 (-7)   65-70 (0)    80-85        
RH % (24H TREND)      66-71 (+8)   95-100 (0)   57-62        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW  5                     LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  5        SW  5        LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           60           30           
PRECIP DURATION       2            2            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.29         0.07         0.10         
LAL                   4            4            3            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3600                      5400         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 15                      W  9         
DISPERSION            20 GEN POOR               27 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 60S. LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHWEST
LESS THAN 10 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE 70S TO UPPER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE 70S TO UPPER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 80S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO UPPER 80S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-211830-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
118 PM EDT FRI JUL 20 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      76-81 (-2)   64-69 (0)    79-84        
RH % (24H TREND)      63-68 (+7)   93-98 (-1)   58-63        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W  6                      LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           60           40           
PRECIP DURATION       2            2            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.26         0.11         0.21         
LAL                   4            4            3            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4000                      5500         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 15                      W  9         
DISPERSION            16 GEN POOR               22 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO UPPER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 60S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO UPPER 80S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO UPPER 80S. WEST WINDS UP
TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO UPPER 80S. WEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO LOWER 90S. WEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-211830-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
118 PM EDT FRI JUL 20 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      77-82 (0)    65-70 (0)    78-83        
RH % (24H TREND)      60-65 (+5)   93-98 (-1)   57-62        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW  6                     LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  6        SW  8 G17    LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           60           40           
PRECIP DURATION       2            2            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.34         0.14         0.20         
LAL                   4            4            3            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4200                      5500         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 15                      W  9         
DISPERSION            15 GEN POOR               20 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE 70S TO 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 90S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 90S. WEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 90S. WEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 90S. WEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-211830-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
118 PM EDT FRI JUL 20 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      79-84 (-2)   65-70 (0)    81-86        
RH % (24H TREND)      60-65 (+3)   95-100 (+1)  61-66        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  7                      LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  7        S  8 G16     LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           60           40           
PRECIP DURATION       2            2            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.45         0.15         0.20         
LAL                   4            4            3            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4000                      5500         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 14                     SW 10        
DISPERSION            22 FAIR                   30 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 90S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 90S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO LOWER 90S. WEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 90S. WEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO LOWER 90S. WEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-211830-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
118 PM EDT FRI JUL 20 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      79-84 (-1)   64-69 (0)    80-85        
RH % (24H TREND)      59-64 (+4)   95-100 (+1)  63-68        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW  5                     LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  5        SW  5        LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           60           40           
PRECIP DURATION       2            2            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.56         0.16         0.28         
LAL                   4            4            3            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4000                      5500         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 12                      SW  9        
DISPERSION            17 GEN POOR               26 FAIR      
MAX LVORI             5                         4            

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH
EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO UPPER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH
EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO LOWER 90S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO LOWER 90S. WEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 90S. WEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 80S TO LOWER 90S. WEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-211830-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
118 PM EDT FRI JUL 20 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      79-84 (-7)   66-71 (0)    83-88        
RH % (24H TREND)      61-66 (+11)  92-97 (0)    56-61        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW  6                     LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  5        LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           60           30           
PRECIP DURATION       2            2            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.25         0.11         0.14         
LAL                   4            4            3            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3500                      5500         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 16                      W  9         
DISPERSION            28 FAIR                   32 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING
LIGHT. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE 80S TO LOWER 90S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 80S TO LOWER 90S. WEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 80S TO LOWER 90S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 80S TO LOWER 90S. WEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-211830-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
118 PM EDT FRI JUL 20 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      81-86 (-5)   67-72 (0)    83-88        
RH % (24H TREND)      59-64 (+7)   93-98 (+2)   56-61        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW  5                     LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  6        SW  6 G15    LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           60           20           
PRECIP DURATION       2            2            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.35         0.09         0.10         
LAL                   4            4            3            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3300                      5400         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 16                      SW  9        
DISPERSION            28 FAIR                   35 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE 80S TO LOWER 90S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE MID 80S TO LOWER 90S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS AROUND 70. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S TO LOWER 90S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS AROUND 70. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S TO LOWER 90S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS AROUND 70. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S TO LOWER 90S. WEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-211830-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
118 PM EDT FRI JUL 20 2012 /1218 PM CDT FRI JUL 20 2012/

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      80-85 (-6)   68-73 (0)    84-89        
RH % (24H TREND)      60-65 (+7)   92-97 (0)    56-61        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW  7                     LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  7         SW  8 G16    S  6         
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           60           40           
PRECIP DURATION       2            2            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.47         0.11         0.13         
LAL                   4            4            3            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3700                      5200         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 16                     SW  9        
DISPERSION            35 FAIR                   34 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE MID 80S TO LOWER 90S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS NEAR 70. SOUTH WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE MID 80S TO LOWER 90S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 70S. HIGHS NEAR 90. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 70S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S TO MID 90S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 70S. HIGHS NEAR 90. WEST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 

$$

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