
938 
FNUS54 KMRX 161915
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
315 PM EDT MON JUL 16 2012

.DISCUSSION...
A WEAK AREA OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL BE PRESENT THROUGH THE EARLY PART 
OF THE WEEK...AS WELL AS A CHANCE FOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS 
BECAUSE OF THE ABUNDANT MOISTURE THAT IS IN PLACE ACROSS THE 
SOUTHERN APPALACHIAN REGION. TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN NEAR NORMAL.

VAZ001-002-005-006-008-172015-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
315 PM EDT MON JUL 16 2012

                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      64-69 (0)    86-91 (+3)   66-71        84-89        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+3)  45-50 (-11)  93-98        51-56        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           30           20           50           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         8 AM         CONTINUING   8 AM         
PRECIP END            2 AM         CONTINUING   12 AM        CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.03         0.09         0.01         0.25         
LAL                   3            3            2            3            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6800                      7300         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW  7                     W  8         
DISPERSION                         29 FAIR                   36 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
70S TO MID 80S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE 70S TO MID 80S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO MID 80S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO UPPER
80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO
UPPER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-172015-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
315 PM EDT MON JUL 16 2012

                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      63-68 (+1)   84-89 (+4)   64-69        82-87        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+2)  45-50 (-11)  94-99        51-56        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           30           20           50           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         8 AM         CONTINUING   8 AM         
PRECIP END            2 AM         CONTINUING   12 AM        CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.03         0.11         0.03         0.26         
LAL                   3            3            2            3            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6900                      7700         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                N  7                      NW  8        
DISPERSION                         25 FAIR                   33 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID TO UPPER 60S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
70S TO MID 80S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID TO UPPER 60S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
70S TO MID 80S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTHEAST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S TO MID
80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO
80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-172015-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
315 PM EDT MON JUL 16 2012

                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      63-68 (+1)   82-87 (+3)   65-70        81-86        
RH % (24H TREND)      91-96 (-3)   44-49 (-12)  87-92        48-53        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           30           20           50           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         8 AM         CONTINUING   8 AM         
PRECIP END            2 AM         CONTINUING   12 AM        CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.14         0.03         0.26         
LAL                   2            3            2            3            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6600                      7700         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                N  5                      NW  6        
DISPERSION                         14 GEN POOR               25 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE MID
60S TO UPPER 80S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO
80S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO 80S.
SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO
LOWER 90S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-172015-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
315 PM EDT MON JUL 16 2012

                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      64-69 (0)    86-91 (+2)   66-71        86-91        
RH % (24H TREND)      89-94 (-5)   46-51 (-8)   85-90        48-53        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           30           20           50           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         8 AM         CONTINUING   8 AM         
PRECIP END            2 AM         CONTINUING   12 AM        CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.15         0.04         0.23         
LAL                   2            3            2            3            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5300                      7000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                N  5                      NW  5        
DISPERSION                         14 GEN POOR               21 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 90S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO
80S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 90S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER
90S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S
TO LOWER 90S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-172015-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
315 PM EDT MON JUL 16 2012

                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      63-68 (-1)   85-90 (+2)   65-70        85-90        
RH % (24H TREND)      88-93 (-6)   45-50 (-7)   85-90        48-53        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           30           20           40           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         8 AM         CONTINUING   8 AM         
PRECIP END            2 AM         CONTINUING   12 AM        CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.15         0.05         0.27         
LAL                   2            3            2            3            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6700                      7100         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                N  3                      N  6         
DISPERSION                         14 GEN POOR               25 FAIR      
MAX LVORI                          4                         4            

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 90S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S
TO UPPER 80S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 90S. SOUTHEAST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER
90S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID
70S TO LOWER 90S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-172015-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
315 PM EDT MON JUL 16 2012

                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      65-70 (0)    88-93 (+3)   67-72        86-91        
RH % (24H TREND)      92-97 (+1)   44-49 (-9)   88-93        49-54        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           30           20           50           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         8 AM         CONTINUING   8 AM         
PRECIP END            2 AM         CONTINUING   12 AM        CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.12         0.02         0.22         
LAL                   3            3            2            3            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5400                      7300         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW  5                     NW  7        
DISPERSION                         16 GEN POOR               32 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO
UPPER 80S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO
UPPER 80S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO UPPER
80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO UPPER
80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S
TO UPPER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-172015-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
315 PM EDT MON JUL 16 2012

                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      66-71 (0)    88-93 (+1)   69-74        87-92        
RH % (24H TREND)      93-98 (0)    45-50 (-6)   86-91        48-53        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           30           20           50           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         8 AM         CONTINUING   8 AM         
PRECIP END            2 AM         CONTINUING   12 AM        CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.14         0.01         0.22         
LAL                   3            3            2            3            
LASI                               4                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5500                      7000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                N  5                      W  7         
DISPERSION                         15 GEN POOR               32 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS NEAR 70. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 80S TO
LOWER 90S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS NEAR 70. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 80S.
NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 80S TO LOWER
90S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 80S TO LOWER
90S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID
80S TO LOWER 90S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-172015-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
315 PM EDT MON JUL 16 2012 /215 PM CDT MON JUL 16 2012/

                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          

CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      66-71 (-1)   89-94 (+1)   69-74        89-94        
RH % (24H TREND)      92-97 (+1)   43-48 (-7)   87-92        48-53        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           30           20           50           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         8 AM         CONTINUING   8 AM         
PRECIP END            2 AM         CONTINUING   12 AM        CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.15         0.02         0.17         
LAL                   2            3            2            3            
LASI                               4                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5600                      6500         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                N  3                      W  6         
DISPERSION                         15 GEN POOR               28 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE MID 80S TO LOWER 90S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S
TO LOWER 90S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 70S. HIGHS NEAR 90. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 70S. HIGHS NEAR 90. SOUTH WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 70S. HIGHS NEAR 90.
SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

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