
134 
FNUS54 KMRX 110714
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
314 AM EDT WED JUL 11 2012

.DISCUSSION...
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP ACROSS THE SOUTHERN 
APPALACHIAN REGION AGAIN TODAY IN THE VICINITY OF A STALLED 
FRONTAL BOUNDARY. DUE TO THE RELATIVELY SLOW MOVEMENT AND 
PERSISTENCE OF THE SHOWERS AND STORMS THERE WILL BE A POTENTIAL 
FOR SOME LOCALIZED FLOODING.


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-120815-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
314 AM EDT WED JUL 11 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      75-80 (-3)   64-69 (+1)   75-80        
RH % (24H TREND)      61-66 (-1)   95-100 (+4)  66-71        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           60           70           
PRECIP DURATION       3            3            3            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.18         0.13         0.28         
LAL                   5            4            5            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4100                      4200         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   E  8                      SE 14        
DISPERSION            14 GEN POOR               25 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
70S TO MID 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE 70S TO UPPER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO UPPER 80S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO LOWER 90S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO LOWER 90S. WEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-120815-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
314 AM EDT WED JUL 11 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      74-79 (-3)   63-68 (+1)   73-78        
RH % (24H TREND)      60-65 (0)    95-100 (+1)  64-69        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           70           70           
PRECIP DURATION       8            3            3            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.36         0.27         0.37         
LAL                   5            4            4            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4200                      4200         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SE  5                     SE 12        
DISPERSION            6 VERY POOR               14 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO
LOWER 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO UPPER 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO UPPER 80S. WEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 90S. WEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 90S. WEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-120815-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
314 AM EDT WED JUL 11 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      74-79 (-3)   63-68 (+2)   72-77        
RH % (24H TREND)      56-61 (-4)   95-100 (-2)  61-66        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     90           60           80           
PRECIP DURATION       8            3            3            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.45         0.18         0.48         
LAL                   5            4            5            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4400                      4400         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW  3                     SE  8        
DISPERSION            4 VERY POOR               8 POOR       

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHEAST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
60S TO MID 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE 70S TO 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 90S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 90S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 90S. WEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-120815-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
314 AM EDT WED JUL 11 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      78-83 (-5)   67-72 (+3)   77-82        
RH % (24H TREND)      64-69 (+10)  90-95 (-7)   63-68        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   SE  5        
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SE  5        
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     90           70           80           
PRECIP DURATION       8            3            8            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.53         0.27         0.59         
LAL                   5            4            5            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4200                      4200         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S  3                      SE 10        
DISPERSION            7 POOR                    20 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
70S TO MID 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 90S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO LOWER 90S. SOUTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 90S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS AROUND 70. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 90S. WEST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-120815-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
314 AM EDT WED JUL 11 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      77-82 (-5)   65-70 (+2)   76-81        
RH % (24H TREND)      63-68 (+8)   92-97 (-5)   62-67        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   SE  5        
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SE  5        
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     90           70           80           
PRECIP DURATION       8            3            8            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.61         0.29         0.57         
LAL                   5            4            5            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4300                      4200         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S  3                      SE 10        
DISPERSION            6 VERY POOR               18 GEN POOR  
MAX LVORI             6                         5            

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
70S TO MID 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO UPPER 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 80S TO LOWER 90S. SOUTH WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 90S. NORTHWEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 90S. WEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-120815-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
314 AM EDT WED JUL 11 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      77-82 (-3)   65-70 (+1)   77-82        
RH % (24H TREND)      61-66 (0)    95-100 (+1)  65-70        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           60           70           
PRECIP DURATION       8            3            3            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.30         0.16         0.38         
LAL                   5            4            5            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4100                      4200         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SE  5                     SE  9        
DISPERSION            9 POOR                    21 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.FRIDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO
MID 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO UPPER 80S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 80S TO LOWER 90S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS AROUND 70. HIGHS IN THE 80S TO LOWER 90S. WEST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-120815-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
314 AM EDT WED JUL 11 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      77-82 (-4)   67-72 (+2)   76-81        
RH % (24H TREND)      61-66 (+3)   93-98 (-2)   65-70        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           60           80           
PRECIP DURATION       8            3            8            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.33         0.20         0.57         
LAL                   5            4            5            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4100                      4100         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S  3                      SE  8        
DISPERSION            9 POOR                    21 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.FRIDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
70S TO MID 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 80S TO LOWER 90S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS AROUND 70. HIGHS IN THE 80S TO LOWER 90S. SOUTHWEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 70S. HIGHS IN THE 80S TO LOWER 90S. WEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-120815-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
314 AM EDT WED JUL 11 2012 /214 AM CDT WED JUL 11 2012/

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      79-84 (-5)   67-72 (+1)   77-82        
RH % (24H TREND)      59-64 (+5)   92-97 (-5)   65-70        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   SE  6        
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SE  5        
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     90           70           80           
PRECIP DURATION       8            3            8            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.48         0.36         0.73         
LAL                   5            4            5            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4200                      4100         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S  6                      SE 14        
DISPERSION            14 GEN POOR               34 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS NEAR 70. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO
MID 80S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE MID 80S TO LOWER 90S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS AROUND 70. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S TO LOWER 90S. SOUTH WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS AROUND 70. HIGHS IN THE 80S TO MID 90S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 70S. HIGHS IN THE 80S TO MID 90S. WEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

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