
752 
FNUS54 KMRX 310838
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
438 AM EDT THU MAY 31 2012

.DISCUSSION...
A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL MOVE NORTHEASTWARD ACROSS THE OHIO RIVER 
VALLEY TODAY...WITH ITS ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT TRIGGERING SHOWERS AND 
THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE TENNESSEE RIVER VALLEY FROM LATE THIS 
AFTERNOON INTO FRIDAY MORNING. THIS SYSTEM WILL BE FAIRLY STRONG FOR 
THIS TIME OF YEAR...WITH SOME STORMS THIS EVENING AND FRIDAY MORNING 
POSSIBLY BECOMING SEVERE AND CAPABLE OF PRODUCING DAMAGING WINDS... 
LARGE HAIL...AN EVEN A FEW ISOLATED TORNADOES. UNSEASONABLY COOL AIR 
WILL THEN MOVE INTO THE REGION FOR SATURDAY IN WAKE OF THIS SYSTEM.


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-312100-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
438 AM EDT THU MAY 31 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      83-88 (+3)   58-63 (+5)   70-75        
RH % (24H TREND)      29-34 (-4)   89-94 (+5)   50-55        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   SW  9 G21    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  6        LGT/VAR      W 10 G20     
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           50           70           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            2            
PRECIP BEGIN          2 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   8 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.23         0.29         
LAL                   3            4            5            
LASI                  5                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    7900                      4900         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 12                      SW 22        
DISPERSION            61 GOOD                   53 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S.
NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S TO MID 70S. WEST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO LOWER 80S. WEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO
LOWER 80S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO LOWER 80S. NORTH
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER
80S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-312100-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
438 AM EDT THU MAY 31 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      80-85 (+2)   56-61 (+5)   69-74        
RH % (24H TREND)      31-36 (-2)   93-98 (+4)   47-52        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   SW  8 G20    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  5         LGT/VAR      W  9 G20     
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           40           80           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            4            
PRECIP BEGIN          2 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   8 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.19         0.39         
LAL                   3            3            5            
LASI                  4                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    8200                      4800         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 14                      SW 20        
DISPERSION            65 GOOD                   35 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S.
NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S TO MID 70S.
NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO MID 80S. WEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO
MID 80S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 80S.
NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER
80S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-312100-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
438 AM EDT THU MAY 31 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      79-84 (0)    56-61 (+5)   69-74        
RH % (24H TREND)      34-39 (+1)   92-97 (-3)   46-51        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   SW 11 G23    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  6         SW  5        W  7 G15     
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           60           70           
PRECIP DURATION       1            2            4            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   8 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.04         0.34         0.21         
LAL                   3            4            5            
LASI                  4                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    8600                      5000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 10                     SW 18        
DISPERSION            49 GEN GOOD               31 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S.
NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 70S.
NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS
UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S TO MID 80S. WEST WINDS UP
TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO MID
80S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 80S. NORTH
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO
MID 80S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-312100-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
438 AM EDT THU MAY 31 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      82-87 (-1)   59-64 (+5)   73-78        
RH % (24H TREND)      32-37 (+2)   89-94 (0)    46-51        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   SW  8 G17    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  7        SW  5        NW  6        
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           60           70           
PRECIP DURATION       1            3            2            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   8 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.06         0.42         0.17         
LAL                   3            4            4            
LASI                  4                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    7200                      4600         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW  9                     W 17         
DISPERSION            39 FAIR                   38 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S.
NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO 70S. NORTHWEST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID
50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S TO MID 80S.
NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO 80S.
NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S TO MID 80S. NORTH
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S TO
MID 80S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-312100-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
438 AM EDT THU MAY 31 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      82-87 (-1)   59-64 (+6)   73-78        
RH % (24H TREND)      32-37 (+2)   89-94 (-3)   45-50        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   SW  8 G16    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  7        LGT/VAR      W  7         
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           60           70           
PRECIP DURATION       1            3            2            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   8 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.04         0.39         0.18         
LAL                   3            4            5            
LASI                  4                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    8300                      4900         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW  9                     W 18         
DISPERSION            48 GEN GOOD               42 GEN GOOD  
MAX LVORI             4                         4            

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS NEAR 50. NORTH WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO UPPER 70S.
NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS NEAR 50. SOUTHWEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S TO MID 80S.
NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS AROUND 60. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S TO MID 80S.
NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S TO MID 80S. NORTH
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO MID
80S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-312100-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
438 AM EDT THU MAY 31 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      84-89 (+2)   59-64 (+5)   72-77        
RH % (24H TREND)      31-36 (+1)   88-93 (+2)   47-52        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   SW  8 G18    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      W  9 G19     
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           50           70           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            2            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   8 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.26         0.28         
LAL                   3            4            5            
LASI                  5                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6800                      4500         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W  9                      W 18         
DISPERSION            44 GEN GOOD               48 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S.
WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO UPPER 70S. WEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 80S. WEST WINDS UP
TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS AROUND 60. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S TO MID 80S.
WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S TO MID 80S. NORTH
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER
80S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-312100-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
438 AM EDT THU MAY 31 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      84-89 (0)    60-65 (+4)   70-75        
RH % (24H TREND)      31-36 (+1)   86-91 (+2)   47-52        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   W  8 G16     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  6        SW  5        NW  8        
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           70           70           
PRECIP DURATION       1            3            2            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   8 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.05         0.50         0.11         
LAL                   3            5            5            
LASI                  5                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    7200                      4700         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW  8                     W 18         
DISPERSION            43 GEN GOOD               55 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS NEAR 50. NORTHWEST WINDS UP
TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO UPPER 70S. WEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO MID 80S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO
UPPER 80S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO MID 80S. NORTH WINDS
UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS AROUND 60. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO MID 80S. NORTH
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-312100-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
438 AM EDT THU MAY 31 2012 /338 AM CDT THU MAY 31 2012/

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      86-91 (0)    61-66 (+3)   72-77        
RH % (24H TREND)      31-36 (+2)   85-90 (+2)   46-51        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   W  7 G17     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  8 G15    SW  5        NW  7        
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           80           70           
PRECIP DURATION       1            5            2            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   8 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.08         0.54         0.08         
LAL                   3            5            4            
LASI                  4                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    8000                      4500         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW  9                     W 17         
DISPERSION            55 GEN GOOD               51 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S.
NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 80S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE 80S. NORTHWEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE 80S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 80S. NORTH
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

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