
379 
FNUS54 KMRX 230259 AAA
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...UPDATED
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
1059 PM EDT TUE MAY 22 2012

.DISCUSSION...
AN UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE WILL GRADUALLY LIFT OUT OF THE REGION 
OVERNIGHT...AND WEDNESDAY...BRINGING TO AN END THE PERIOD OF 
WIDESPREAD AFTERNOON SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. HIGH PRESSURE WILL 
BUILD ACROSS THE REGION THROUGH THE WEEKEND...RESULTING IN ABOVE 
NORMAL TEMPERATURES...WITH ONLY ISOLATED AFTERNOON THUNDERSTORM 
ACTIVITY ANTICIPATED BY THEN. 


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-240400-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
1059 PM EDT TUE MAY 22 2012

                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      53-58 (0)    73-78 (+3)   53-58        80-85        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+8)  51-56 (-8)   92-97        35-40        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           50           30           20           
PRECIP DURATION       2            1            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   8 AM         
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   2 AM         8 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.12         0.15         0.01         0.01         
LAL                   2            2            3            2            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5900                      5800         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S  6                      S 12         
DISPERSION                         19 GEN POOR               40 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER
60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 80S TO LOWER 90S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S.
LIGHT WINDS. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S TO LOWER 90S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS NEAR 90.
SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 80S TO LOWER
90S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO
MID 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-240400-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
1059 PM EDT TUE MAY 22 2012

                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      53-58 (+2)   71-76 (+7)   52-57        77-82        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+14) 47-52 (-18)  90-95        36-41        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           50           30           20           
PRECIP DURATION       2            1            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   8 AM         
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   2 AM         8 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.20         0.10         0.01         0.02         
LAL                   2            2            3            2            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6700                      6100         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S  6                      S 13         
DISPERSION                         21 FAIR                   35 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER
60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING
LIGHT. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO LOWER 90S. WEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S.
LIGHT WINDS. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE 80S TO LOWER 90S. SOUTHEAST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS AROUND 60. HIGHS IN THE 80S TO LOWER 90S.
SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS AROUND 60. HIGHS IN THE 80S TO LOWER 90S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO
UPPER 80S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-240400-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
1059 PM EDT TUE MAY 22 2012

                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      54-59 (+2)   71-76 (+9)   54-59        78-83        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+22) 43-48 (-24)  82-87        32-37        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SW  5        
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           50           20           20           
PRECIP DURATION       2            1            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   2 PM         
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   2 AM         8 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.04         0.05         0.01         0.01         
LAL                   2            2            2            2            
LASI                               3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6700                      7000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W  3                      SW 12        
DISPERSION                         11 POOR                   40 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S TO MID
60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO LOWER 90S. WEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. LIGHT
WINDS. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE 80S TO LOWER 90S. SOUTHEAST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 80S TO LOWER
90S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO UPPER
80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO MID
80S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-240400-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
1059 PM EDT TUE MAY 22 2012

                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      55-60 (+1)   76-81 (+10)  56-61        82-87        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+15) 43-48 (-23)  82-87        30-35        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SW  5        
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        NONE         TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           40           0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       1            1                                      
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING                             
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   8 PM                                   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.02         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   2            2            1            2            
LASI                               3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6600                      6500         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW  3                     S 14         
DISPERSION                         15 GEN POOR               54 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING
LIGHT. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO LOWER 90S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. LIGHT
WINDS. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE 80S TO LOWER 90S. SOUTHEAST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE 80S TO LOWER
90S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 80S. SOUTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS AROUND 60. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO MID 80S.
NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-240400-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
1059 PM EDT TUE MAY 22 2012

                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      55-60 (+1)   75-80 (+7)   54-59        81-86        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+17) 42-47 (-22)  82-87        32-37        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SW  5        
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           40           0            20           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1                         1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING                2 PM         
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING                8 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.02         0.00         0.01         
LAL                   2            2            2            2            
LASI                               3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 7900                      7200         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W  5                      S 14         
DISPERSION                         24 FAIR                   60 GEN GOOD  
MAX LVORI                          4                         3            

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S.
LIGHT WINDS. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE 80S TO LOWER 90S. SOUTH WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S.
LIGHT WINDS. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE 80S TO LOWER 90S. LIGHT WINDS. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE 80S TO LOWER
90S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 80S. SOUTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO MID
80S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-240400-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
1059 PM EDT TUE MAY 22 2012

                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      55-60 (+1)   75-80 (+5)   53-58        82-87        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+9)  48-53 (-12)  92-97        32-37        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SW  5        
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           50           20           20           
PRECIP DURATION       2            1            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   8 AM         
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   2 AM         8 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.12         0.10         0.01         0.01         
LAL                   2            2            3            2            
LASI                               3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5400                      5000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW  5                     S  9         
DISPERSION                         15 GEN POOR               29 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER
60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING
LIGHT. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 80S TO LOWER 90S. WEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. LIGHT
WINDS. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 80S TO MID 90S. SOUTHEAST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS NEAR 90.
SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S TO
LOWER 90S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO UPPER
80S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-240400-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
1059 PM EDT TUE MAY 22 2012

                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      56-61 (0)    77-82 (+8)   56-61        83-88        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+13) 42-47 (-20)  86-91        31-36        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SW  6        
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           40           0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       1            1                                      
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING                             
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   8 PM                                   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.03         0.06         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   2            2            1            1            
LASI                               3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5900                      5200         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW  3                     SW 14        
DISPERSION                         14 GEN POOR               46 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 60S.
SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S TO LOWER 90S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 60S. LIGHT
WINDS. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS NEAR 90. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
90S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE 80S TO LOWER
90S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO MID
80S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-240400-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
1059 PM EDT TUE MAY 22 2012 /959 PM CDT TUE MAY 22 2012/

                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       
TEMP (24H TREND)      56-61 (0)    78-83 (+8)   57-62        85-90        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+11) 39-44 (-18)  83-88        28-33        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S  6         
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           30           0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       1            1                                      
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING                             
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   8 PM                                   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.02         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   2            2            1            1            
LASI                               3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6200                      5500         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW  3                     S 15         
DISPERSION                         15 GEN POOR               57 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. SOUTHEAST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS NEAR 90. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S TO MID 90S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
90S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S TO LOWER
90S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO MID
80S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

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