
855 
FNUS54 KMRX 220643
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
243 AM EDT TUE MAY 22 2012

.DISCUSSION...
AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE WILL LINGER OVER THE AREA 
TODAY THEN WILL SLOWLY LIFT OUT OF THE REGION TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY. 
A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL BEGIN BUILDING BACK INTO THE REGION BY 
THURSDAY.  


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-230745-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
243 AM EDT TUE MAY 22 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      70-75 (-7)   52-57 (-1)   74-79        
RH % (24H TREND)      55-60 (+19)  95-100 (+8)  45-50        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           50           40           
PRECIP DURATION       2            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.46         0.17         0.25         
LAL                   4            3            3            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    7000                      7300         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W  8                      SW  7        
DISPERSION            34 FAIR                   31 FAIR      

REMARKS...A QUICK INCH OR MORE OF RAIN AND BRIEF STRONG GUSTY 
WINDS WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH ANY THUNDERSTORMS.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 50S. LIGHT WINDS. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER
60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 80S TO LOWER 90S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID
80S TO LOWER 90S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID
TO UPPER 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER TO MID 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-230745-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
243 AM EDT TUE MAY 22 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      68-73 (-5)   51-56 (0)    73-78        
RH % (24H TREND)      56-61 (+19)  95-100 (+12) 45-50        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           50           40           
PRECIP DURATION       2            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.50         0.22         0.21         
LAL                   4            3            3            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    7700                      8000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W  9                      SW  6        
DISPERSION            39 FAIR                   26 FAIR      

REMARKS...A QUICK INCH OR MORE OF RAIN AND BRIEF STRONG GUSTY 
WINDS WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH ANY THUNDERSTORMS.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTH WINDS UP
TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO LOWER 90S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS AROUND 60. HIGHS IN THE 80S TO LOWER 90S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 80S. SOUTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-230745-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
243 AM EDT TUE MAY 22 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      67-72 (-3)   51-56 (-1)   74-79        
RH % (24H TREND)      55-60 (+12)  89-94 (+14)  42-47        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           50           30           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.37         0.15         0.07         
LAL                   3            3            3            
LASI                  3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    7700                      8600         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W  7                      SW  6        
DISPERSION            28 FAIR                   26 FAIR      

REMARKS...A QUICK INCH OR MORE OF RAIN AND BRIEF STRONG GUSTY 
WINDS WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH ANY THUNDERSTORMS.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTH WINDS UP
TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 90S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO
LOWER 90S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO UPPER
80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S
TO MID 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-230745-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
243 AM EDT TUE MAY 22 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      72-77 (-2)   52-57 (-2)   77-82        
RH % (24H TREND)      52-57 (+10)  89-94 (+7)   39-44        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           30           20           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   8 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.24         0.03         0.05         
LAL                   3            3            3            
LASI                  4                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    7600                      8100         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW  7                     SW  7        
DISPERSION            34 FAIR                   34 FAIR      

REMARKS...A QUICK INCH OR MORE OF RAIN AND BRIEF STRONG GUSTY 
WINDS WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH ANY THUNDERSTORMS.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO UPPER 80S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 90S. SOUTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID
70S TO LOWER 90S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
70S TO LOWER 90S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S
TO MID 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-230745-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
243 AM EDT TUE MAY 22 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      73-78 (-1)   51-56 (-3)   77-82        
RH % (24H TREND)      53-58 (+11)  89-94 (+9)   42-47        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  5         LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           30           20           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.26         0.04         0.07         
LAL                   3            3            3            
LASI                  4                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    8400                      9000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW  9                     SW  8        
DISPERSION            46 GEN GOOD               46 GEN GOOD  
MAX LVORI             4                         4            

REMARKS...A QUICK INCH OR MORE OF RAIN AND BRIEF STRONG GUSTY 
WINDS WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH ANY THUNDERSTORMS.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH
EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.THURSDAY...SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO UPPER 80S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO UPPER 80S. SOUTHEAST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO
LOWER 90S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO
LOWER 90S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-230745-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
243 AM EDT TUE MAY 22 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      72-77 (-5)   52-57 (-2)   76-81        
RH % (24H TREND)      55-60 (+18)  95-100 (+9)  44-49        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  5         LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           50           30           
PRECIP DURATION       2            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.47         0.19         0.15         
LAL                   4            3            3            
LASI                  3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6500                      6700         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 10                      SW  7        
DISPERSION            46 GEN GOOD               29 FAIR      

REMARKS...A QUICK INCH OR MORE OF RAIN AND BRIEF STRONG GUSTY 
WINDS WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH ANY THUNDERSTORMS.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 50S. LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHEAST
LESS THAN 10 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO UPPER 80S. SOUTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S.
EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 80S TO LOWER 90S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID
80S TO LOWER 90S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID
80S TO LOWER 90S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE 80S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-230745-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
243 AM EDT TUE MAY 22 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      72-77 (-4)   53-58 (-3)   78-83        
RH % (24H TREND)      52-57 (+11)  92-97 (+8)   41-46        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           30           30           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   8 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.29         0.07         0.05         
LAL                   4            3            3            
LASI                  3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6900                      7100         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW  8                     SW  5        
DISPERSION            40 FAIR                   26 FAIR      

REMARKS...A QUICK INCH OR MORE OF RAIN AND BRIEF STRONG GUSTY 
WINDS WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH ANY THUNDERSTORMS.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. LIGHT
WINDS BECOMING SOUTHEAST LESS THAN 10 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.THURSDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 80S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. SOUTHEAST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S TO LOWER 90S. SOUTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS AROUND 90.
SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID
80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-230745-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
243 AM EDT TUE MAY 22 2012 /143 AM CDT TUE MAY 22 2012/

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      74-79 (-2)   53-58 (-3)   80-85        
RH % (24H TREND)      48-53 (+6)   89-94 (+3)   40-45        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           20           20           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   8 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.14         0.01         0.02         
LAL                   3            2            2            
LASI                  4                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6500                      7100         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW  6                     S  6         
DISPERSION            24 FAIR                   31 FAIR      

REMARKS...A QUICK INCH OR MORE OF RAIN AND BRIEF STRONG GUSTY 
WINDS WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH ANY THUNDERSTORMS.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 60. SOUTHEAST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S TO LOWER 90S. SOUTH WINDS
UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. EAST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
90S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID
80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

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