
784 
FNUS54 KMRX 210708
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
308 AM EDT MON MAY 21 2012

.DISCUSSION...
A WEAK COLD FRONT WILL MOVE IN FROM THE WEST BY THIS EVENING...AND 
WILL MOVE SLOWLY ACROSS THE AREA TONIGHT INTO TUESDAY. HIGH PRESSURE 
WILL BEGIN BUILDING BACK INTO THE REGION BY MIDWEEK.  


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-220815-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
308 AM EDT MON MAY 21 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      78-83 (0)    54-59 (+3)   70-75        
RH % (24H TREND)      32-37 (+2)   91-96 (+5)   53-58        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  5         LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           50           50           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          12 PM        CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.09         0.15         0.29         
LAL                   3            3            4            
LASI                  4                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    8700                      6500         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W  7                      NW  7        
DISPERSION            38 FAIR                   27 FAIR      

REMARKS...A QUICK INCH OR MORE OF RAIN AND BRIEF STRONG GUSTY
WINDS WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH ANY THUNDERSTORMS.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. LIGHT WINDS. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO LOWER 80S. LIGHT WINDS. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID TO UPPER 50S. LIGHT WINDS. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S TO MID 80S.
SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S
TO UPPER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 70S TO LOWER 90S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
70S TO LOWER 90S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-220815-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
308 AM EDT MON MAY 21 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      76-81 (+1)   53-58 (+3)   70-75        
RH % (24H TREND)      33-38 (+1)   88-93 (+9)   51-56        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  5         LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           50           60           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            2            
PRECIP BEGIN          12 PM        CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.10         0.14         0.34         
LAL                   3            3            4            
LASI                  4                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    8800                      7100         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW  7                     NW  5        
DISPERSION            35 FAIR                   18 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...A QUICK INCH OR MORE OF RAIN AND BRIEF STRONG GUSTY
WINDS WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH ANY THUNDERSTORMS.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE 60S TO UPPER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH
SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH
EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S TO MID 80S. EAST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO UPPER
80S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO UPPER
80S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO UPPER
80S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-220815-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
308 AM EDT MON MAY 21 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      74-79 (0)    53-58 (+2)   71-76        
RH % (24H TREND)      40-45 (+3)   85-90 (0)    46-51        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  6         LGT/VAR      NW  5        
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           50           60           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            2            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.16         0.13         0.26         
LAL                   3            3            4            
LASI                  4                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    7700                      7100         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW  9                     NW  7        
DISPERSION            35 FAIR                   23 FAIR      

REMARKS...A QUICK INCH OR MORE OF RAIN AND BRIEF STRONG GUSTY
WINDS WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH ANY THUNDERSTORMS.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. NORTH WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 80S. NORTH WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST EARLY IN THE
AFTERNOON. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING
LIGHT. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID
70S TO LOWER 90S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO
LOWER 90S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO 80S.
NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-220815-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
308 AM EDT MON MAY 21 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      78-83 (-1)   55-60 (+3)   74-79        
RH % (24H TREND)      40-45 (+2)   88-93 (0)    47-52        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  5         LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           50           40           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.21         0.09         0.19         
LAL                   3            3            3            
LASI                  4                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    7700                      6600         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W  8                      NW 12        
DISPERSION            41 GEN GOOD               46 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...A QUICK INCH OR MORE OF RAIN AND BRIEF STRONG GUSTY
WINDS WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH ANY THUNDERSTORMS.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. LIGHT WINDS. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. NORTH WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 50S. LIGHT WINDS. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO MID 80S. NORTHWEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 80S
TO LOWER 90S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO
LOWER 90S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO
UPPER 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-220815-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
308 AM EDT MON MAY 21 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      78-83 (-1)   54-59 (+3)   73-78        
RH % (24H TREND)      40-45 (+6)   87-92 (-4)   47-52        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           50           40           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.18         0.09         0.21         
LAL                   3            3            3            
LASI                  4                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    8800                      7300         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W  8                      NW 12        
DISPERSION            46 GEN GOOD               53 GEN GOOD  
MAX LVORI             4                         4            

REMARKS...A QUICK INCH OR MORE OF RAIN AND BRIEF STRONG GUSTY
WINDS WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH ANY THUNDERSTORMS.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. LIGHT WINDS. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. WEST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 50S.
LIGHT WINDS. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO MID 80S. NORTHEAST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 80S
TO LOWER 90S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO UPPER
80S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO UPPER
80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-220815-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
308 AM EDT MON MAY 21 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      80-85 (0)    55-60 (+4)   73-78        
RH % (24H TREND)      35-40 (+2)   91-96 (+7)   50-55        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  6         LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           50           50           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          12 PM        CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.12         0.16         0.26         
LAL                   3            3            4            
LASI                  4                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    7300                      5900         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W  8                      W  8         
DISPERSION            38 FAIR                   29 FAIR      

REMARKS...A QUICK INCH OR MORE OF RAIN AND BRIEF STRONG GUSTY
WINDS WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH ANY THUNDERSTORMS.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 50S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH
EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. LIGHT WINDS
BECOMING SOUTHWEST LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 50S. LIGHT WINDS. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTHEAST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 80S
TO LOWER 90S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE
80S TO LOWER 90S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE 80S TO
LOWER 90S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-220815-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
308 AM EDT MON MAY 21 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      79-84 (-2)   57-62 (+2)   75-80        
RH % (24H TREND)      39-44 (0)    86-91 (-2)   48-53        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  5         LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           50           40           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.24         0.15         0.17         
LAL                   4            3            4            
LASI                  4                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    7100                      6400         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W  9                      NW  8        
DISPERSION            48 GEN GOOD               38 FAIR      

REMARKS...A QUICK INCH OR MORE OF RAIN AND BRIEF STRONG GUSTY
WINDS WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH ANY THUNDERSTORMS.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID TO UPPER 50S. LIGHT WINDS. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. NORTHEAST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST EARLY IN THE
AFTERNOON. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 50S. LIGHT WINDS. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 80S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S
TO LOWER 90S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID
80S TO LOWER 90S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE 80S TO
LOWER 90S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-220815-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
308 AM EDT MON MAY 21 2012 /208 AM CDT MON MAY 21 2012/

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      79-84 (-2)   58-63 (+2)   76-81        
RH % (24H TREND)      39-44 (0)    86-91 (-8)   46-51        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           40           20           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   8 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.32         0.08         0.13         
LAL                   4            3            3            
LASI                  4                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6600                      5500         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W  8                      W  9         
DISPERSION            40 FAIR                   35 FAIR      

REMARKS...A QUICK INCH OR MORE OF RAIN AND BRIEF STRONG GUSTY
WINDS WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH ANY THUNDERSTORMS.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID TO UPPER 50S.
NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. EAST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID
80S TO LOWER 90S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID
80S TO LOWER 90S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE 80S TO
LOWER 90S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

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