
791 
FNUS54 KMRX 201826
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
226 PM EDT SUN MAY 20 2012

.DISCUSSION...
THE AREA OF HIGH PRESSURE THAT HAS DOMINATED THE WEATHER PATTERN 
ACROSS THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIAN REGION...WILL GIVE WAY TO AN 
APPROACHING COLD FRONT OVERNIGHT. THE PROBABILITY OF SHOWERS AND 
THUNDERSTORMS WILL INCREASE MONDAY MORNING...AND PERSIST THROUGH 
TUESDAY NIGHT. DRY CONDITIONS WILL RETURN ON WEDNESDAY. 


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-211930-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
226 PM EDT SUN MAY 20 2012

                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          

CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       
TEMP (24H TREND)      51-56 (-1)   76-81 (-2)   53-58        70-75        
RH % (24H TREND)      89-94 (-2)   37-42 (+7)   95-100       51-56        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      W  5         LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            40           60           70           
PRECIP DURATION                    1            3            2            
PRECIP BEGIN                       12 PM        CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.07         0.15         0.45         
LAL                   1            4            4            4            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6400                      5700         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W  8                      W  8         
DISPERSION                         30 FAIR                   26 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 50S. LIGHT WINDS BECOMING
NORTHWEST LESS THAN 10 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. WEST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID
50S. LIGHT WINDS. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 80S.
SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE 80S.
WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE 80S
TO LOWER 90S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE 80S.
SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-211930-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
226 PM EDT SUN MAY 20 2012

                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       
TEMP (24H TREND)      51-56 (+1)   74-79 (-1)   51-56        70-75        
RH % (24H TREND)      81-86 (-13)  37-42 (+5)   95-100       48-53        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      W  6         LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            40           40           70           
PRECIP DURATION                    1            1            3            
PRECIP BEGIN                       12 PM        CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.06         0.10         0.47         
LAL                   1            3            3            4            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6700                      6000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W  8                      W  7         
DISPERSION                         28 FAIR                   20 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID
50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING
BECOMING LIGHT. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTH WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS AROUND 60. HIGHS IN THE 80S. NORTHWEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 80S TO LOWER
90S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 80S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-211930-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
226 PM EDT SUN MAY 20 2012

                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      52-57 (0)    70-75 (-4)   52-57        71-76        
RH % (24H TREND)      89-94 (-5)   41-46 (+4)   90-95        40-45        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      NW  6        LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            40           50           60           
PRECIP DURATION                    1            1            3            
PRECIP BEGIN                       8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.10         0.14         0.45         
LAL                   1            3            3            4            
LASI                               4                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6700                      5500         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW  8                     W  5         
DISPERSION                         25 FAIR                   10 POOR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. LIGHT WINDS. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. WEST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO
LOWER 90S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 80S TO LOWER
90S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S
TO UPPER 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-211930-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
226 PM EDT SUN MAY 20 2012

                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      53-58 (0)    76-81 (-3)   55-60        74-79        
RH % (24H TREND)      90-95 (-5)   43-48 (+5)   89-94        44-49        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      NW  5        LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           50           30           40           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            11 PM        CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.12         0.15         0.37         
LAL                   2            3            3            4            
LASI                               4                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6300                      5100         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW  7                     W  5         
DISPERSION                         25 FAIR                   13 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 50S. NORTH WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO MID 80S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 50S. LIGHT WINDS
BECOMING SOUTHEAST LESS THAN 10 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO UPPER 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 80S TO LOWER
90S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 80S TO LOWER
90S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 80S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-211930-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
226 PM EDT SUN MAY 20 2012

                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      52-57 (-1)   76-81 (-3)   54-59        74-79        
RH % (24H TREND)      93-98 (-4)   41-46 (+7)   86-91        41-46        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      NW  5        LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           40           30           40           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            11 PM        CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.10         0.13         0.44         
LAL                   2            3            3            4            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6400                      5900         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW  7                     NW  5        
DISPERSION                         25 FAIR                   16 GEN POOR  
MAX LVORI                          4                         4            

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 50S. NORTH WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO MID 80S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 50S.
LIGHT WINDS. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO UPPER 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 80S TO LOWER
90S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 80S TO LOWER
90S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 80S.
EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-211930-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
226 PM EDT SUN MAY 20 2012

                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          

CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      53-58 (-1)   77-82 (-3)   55-60        73-78        
RH % (24H TREND)      86-91 (-8)   38-43 (+5)   92-97        47-52        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      W  6         LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            40           40           60           
PRECIP DURATION                    1            1            3            
PRECIP BEGIN                       12 PM        CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.08         0.15         0.51         
LAL                   1            3            4            4            
LASI                               4                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6000                      4800         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W  8                      W  7         
DISPERSION                         33 FAIR                   19 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 50S. LIGHT WINDS BECOMING
SOUTHWEST LESS THAN 10 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S.
WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 50S. LIGHT WINDS. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 80S.
SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 80S
TO LOWER 90S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID
80S TO LOWER 90S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 80S
TO LOWER 90S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-211930-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
226 PM EDT SUN MAY 20 2012

                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      57-62 (+1)   76-81 (-5)   57-62        75-80        
RH % (24H TREND)      85-90 (-8)   44-49 (+5)   90-95        45-50        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      W  5         LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            60           40           60           
PRECIP DURATION                    2            1            2            
PRECIP BEGIN                       8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.19         0.18         0.28         
LAL                   1            4            4            4            
LASI                               4                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5900                      5000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W  8                      W  5         
DISPERSION                         31 FAIR                   16 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. LIGHT WINDS.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 80S. WEST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 50S. LIGHT WINDS. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S
TO LOWER 90S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS NEAR 90.
NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S
TO LOWER 90S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-211930-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
226 PM EDT SUN MAY 20 2012 /126 PM CDT SUN MAY 20 2012/

                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      57-62 (0)    77-82 (-4)   57-62        75-80        
RH % (24H TREND)      87-92 (-6)   47-52 (+8)   89-94        44-49        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           60           30           50           
PRECIP DURATION       1            2            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            11 PM        CONTINUING   CONTINUING   8 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.24         0.16         0.24         
LAL                   2            4            3            4            
LASI                               4                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5600                      4700         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W  7                      W  3         
DISPERSION                         27 FAIR                   12 POOR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. NORTH WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE 80S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH
SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. SOUTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. SOUTH WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
80S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
80S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS NEAR 90. SOUTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

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