
506 
FNUS54 KMRX 170147 AAA
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...UPDATED
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
947 PM EDT WED MAY 16 2012

.DISCUSSION...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD INTO THE AREA...BRINGING A 
MOSTLY SUNNY SKY AND WARM WEATHER TO THE TENNESSEE VALLEY FOR THE 
REMAINDER OF THE WEEK AND ONLY A SLIGHT CHANCE FOR A THUNDERSTORM.  


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-180300-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
947 PM EDT WED MAY 16 2012

                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      50-55 (0)    77-82 (+2)   50-55        77-82        
RH % (24H TREND)      88-93 (-7)   34-39 (0)    95-100       38-43        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      NE  7        LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         TSTMS        NONE         TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            10           0            20           
PRECIP DURATION                    1                         1            
PRECIP BEGIN                       2 PM                      2 PM         
PRECIP END                         8 PM                      8 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.01         0.00         0.01         
LAL                   1            1            1            3            
LASI                               3                                      
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 8900                                   
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NE  8                     N/A          
DISPERSION                         48 GEN GOOD               0 VERY POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. NORTHEAST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 50S.
EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER
80S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. NORTHEAST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO
LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-180300-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
947 PM EDT WED MAY 16 2012

                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      48-53 (0)    74-79 (+1)   49-54        75-80        
RH % (24H TREND)      90-95 (-5)   36-41 (-2)   95-100       39-44        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      E  6         LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            20           20           30           
PRECIP DURATION                    1            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN                       2 PM         CONTINUING   2 PM         
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   12 AM        CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.05         0.01         0.01         
LAL                   1            3            2            3            
LASI                               4                                      
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 10100                                  
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NE  7                     N/A          
DISPERSION                         47 GEN GOOD               0 VERY POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 80S. NORTHEAST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S.
EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHEAST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER
80S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. EAST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHEAST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-180300-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
947 PM EDT WED MAY 16 2012

                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          

CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      49-54 (+2)   74-79 (+2)   50-55        74-79        
RH % (24H TREND)      85-90 (-11)  34-39 (-6)   95-100       38-43        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NE  5                     LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      NE  7        LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            20           20           30           
PRECIP DURATION                    1            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN                       2 PM         CONTINUING   2 PM         
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   12 AM        CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.03         0.01         0.02         
LAL                   1            3            2            3            
LASI                               4                                      
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 8800                                   
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NE  9                     N/A          
DISPERSION                         45 GEN GOOD               0 VERY POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.SATURDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO MID 80S. NORTHEAST WINDS
UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S.
EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHEAST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER
80S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. EAST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-180300-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
947 PM EDT WED MAY 16 2012

                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          

CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      49-54 (-1)   78-83 (0)    53-58        77-82        
RH % (24H TREND)      89-94 (-8)   33-38 (-1)   93-98        37-42        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      NE  6        LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            20           20           20           
PRECIP DURATION                    1            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN                       2 PM         CONTINUING   2 PM         
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   12 AM        CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.01         0.01         0.01         
LAL                   1            3            2            3            
LASI                               5                                      
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 8100                                   
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NE  7                     N/A          
DISPERSION                         38 FAIR                   0 VERY POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO MID 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 50S. EAST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER
80S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. EAST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER
80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-180300-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
947 PM EDT WED MAY 16 2012

                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          

CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      49-54 (0)    76-81 (-1)   52-57        76-81        
RH % (24H TREND)      87-92 (-10)  34-39 (0)    93-98        38-43        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            20           20           20           
PRECIP DURATION                    1            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN                       2 PM         CONTINUING   2 PM         
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   12 AM        CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.02         0.01         0.03         
LAL                   1            3            2            3            
LASI                               3                                      
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 10400                                  
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                E  5                      N/A          
DISPERSION                         34 FAIR                   0 VERY POOR  
MAX LVORI                          4                         6            

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.SATURDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 80S. SOUTHEAST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHEAST EARLY IN THE
AFTERNOON. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 50S. EAST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHEAST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER
80S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. NORTHEAST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER
80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-180300-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
947 PM EDT WED MAY 16 2012

                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      50-55 (0)    79-84 (+1)   51-56        79-84        
RH % (24H TREND)      93-98 (-3)   34-39 (0)    95-100       38-43        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      NE  6        LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            20           
PRECIP DURATION                                              1            
PRECIP BEGIN                                                 2 PM         
PRECIP END                                                   8 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.01         
LAL                   1            1            1            3            
LASI                               4                                      
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 7300                                   
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NE  8                     N/A          
DISPERSION                         39 FAIR                   0 VERY POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 50S. EAST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. NORTHEAST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 50S.
EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS NEAR 80. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER
80S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S.
NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO
LOWER 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-180300-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
947 PM EDT WED MAY 16 2012

                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          

CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        MCLEAR       PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      51-56 (-1)   80-85 (+1)   53-58        80-85        
RH % (24H TREND)      86-91 (-9)   32-37 (-3)   95-100       37-42        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      NE  6        LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            20           
PRECIP DURATION                                              1            
PRECIP BEGIN                                                 2 PM         
PRECIP END                                                   8 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.01         
LAL                   1            1            1            2            
LASI                               5                                      
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6700                                   
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NE  7                     N/A          
DISPERSION                         34 FAIR                   0 VERY POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 50S. EAST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.SATURDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 80S. WEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 50S. EAST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS NEAR 80. NORTH WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. NORTHEAST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS AROUND 60. HIGHS NEAR 80. SOUTH WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-180300-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
947 PM EDT WED MAY 16 2012 /847 PM CDT WED MAY 16 2012/

                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          

CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      53-58 (0)    81-86 (+1)   54-59        81-86        
RH % (24H TREND)      83-88 (-12)  31-36 (-4)   95-100       36-41        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      NE  5        LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            20           
PRECIP DURATION                                              1            
PRECIP BEGIN                                                 2 PM         
PRECIP END                                                   8 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.01         
LAL                   1            1            1            2            
LASI                               5                                      
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 7200                                   
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NE  8                     N/A          
DISPERSION                         41 GEN GOOD               0 VERY POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S.
SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTH WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHEAST EARLY IN THE
AFTERNOON. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. EAST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO MID 80S. SOUTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO
MID 80S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 80S.
NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO
MID 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

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