
835 
FNUS54 KMRX 151904
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
304 PM EDT TUE MAY 15 2012

.DISCUSSION...
AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH WILL CONTINUE TO SWING ACROSS THE OHIO RIVER 
VALLEY TONIGHT...KEEPING IN A CHANCE FOR SCATTERED SHOWERS AND 
THUNDERSTORMS THIS EVENING. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD IN BEHIND THIS 
SYSTEM...BRINGING MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES AND WARM WEATHER TO THE 
TENNESSEE VALLEY FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE WEEK. 


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-162015-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
304 PM EDT TUE MAY 15 2012

                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      50-55 (-4)   75-80 (+2)   51-56        76-81        
RH % (24H TREND)      92-97 (-4)   32-37 (-16)  86-91        33-38        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      NW  5        LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        NONE         NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           0            0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       1                                                   
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM                                                
PRECIP END            12 AM                                               
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.00         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   3            1            1            1            
LASI                               4                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 8700                      8600         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW  8                     NE  9        
DISPERSION                         45 GEN GOOD               51 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 50S.
NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING
LIGHT. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. LIGHT
WINDS BECOMING SOUTHEAST LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S
TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AND SLIGHT
CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER
80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S. NORTHWEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-162015-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
304 PM EDT TUE MAY 15 2012

                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      49-54 (-3)   74-79 (+2)   50-55        74-79        
RH % (24H TREND)      90-95 (-5)   32-37 (-16)  83-88        36-41        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      NW  6        LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        NONE         NONE         TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           0            0            20           
PRECIP DURATION       1                                      1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM                                   2 PM         
PRECIP END            12 AM                                  8 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.00         0.00         0.02         
LAL                   3            1            1            2            
LASI                               4                         5            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 8700                      8700         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                N  9                      NE  8        
DISPERSION                         46 GEN GOOD               44 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID
50S. LIGHT WINDS. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHEAST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 50S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHEAST AFTER
MIDNIGHT. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. EAST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO
LOWER 80S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHEAST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. NORTHWEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-162015-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
304 PM EDT TUE MAY 15 2012

                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       
TEMP (24H TREND)      50-55 (-2)   73-78 (+2)   49-54        75-80        
RH % (24H TREND)      89-94 (-7)   32-37 (-15)  80-85        35-40        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      N  6         LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        NONE         NONE         TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           0            0            20           
PRECIP DURATION       1                                      1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM                                   2 PM         
PRECIP END            12 AM                                  8 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.00         0.00         0.02         
LAL                   3            1            1            2            
LASI                               4                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 8500                      8500         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                N  9                      NE 10        
DISPERSION                         44 GEN GOOD               48 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID
50S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING
BECOMING LIGHT. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO LOWER 80S. LIGHT WINDS
BECOMING EAST LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S.
SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST AFTER
MIDNIGHT. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. WEST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO
LOWER 80S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHEAST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AND SLIGHT
CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S.
NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-162015-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
304 PM EDT TUE MAY 15 2012

                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       
TEMP (24H TREND)      51-56 (-3)   78-83 (+5)   50-55        78-83        
RH % (24H TREND)      93-98 (-4)   32-37 (-18)  84-89        35-40        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      NW  6        LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        NONE         NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           0            0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       1                                                   
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM                                                
PRECIP END            12 AM                                               
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.00         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   3            1            1            1            
LASI                               4                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 8200                      8200         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                N 13                      NE  8        
DISPERSION                         65 GOOD                   46 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S.
LIGHT WINDS. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. LIGHT WINDS
BECOMING EAST LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE EAST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO
LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AND SLIGHT
CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER
80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S. NORTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-162015-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
304 PM EDT TUE MAY 15 2012

                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      49-54 (-4)   77-82 (+4)   50-55        77-82        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (-1)  32-37 (-17)  84-89        34-39        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      NW  6        LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        NONE         NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           0            0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       1                                                   
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM                                                
PRECIP END            12 AM                                               
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.00         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   3            1            1            1            
LASI                               4                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 8900                      8900         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                N  9                      E  6         
DISPERSION                         56 GEN GOOD               31 FAIR      
MAX LVORI                          4                         3            

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 50S.
LIGHT WINDS. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. EAST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE EAST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. NORTHEAST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID
70S TO LOWER 80S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. EAST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S. NORTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-162015-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
304 PM EDT TUE MAY 15 2012

                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       
TEMP (24H TREND)      51-56 (-4)   78-83 (+3)   52-57        78-83        
RH % (24H TREND)      92-97 (-3)   29-34 (-17)  84-89        33-38        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      NW  5        LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        NONE         NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           0            0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       1                                                   
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM                                                
PRECIP END            12 AM                                               
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.00         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   3            1            1            1            
LASI                               4                         5            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 7900                      7900         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                N  7                      NE 10        
DISPERSION                         40 FAIR                   55 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. NORTHEAST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.FRIDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. LIGHT WINDS
BECOMING SOUTHEAST LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID
70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER
80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO
LOWER 80S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-162015-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
304 PM EDT TUE MAY 15 2012

                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       
TEMP (24H TREND)      52-57 (-2)   79-84 (+4)   52-57        78-83        
RH % (24H TREND)      88-93 (-7)   27-32 (-19)  84-89        33-38        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      N  5         LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        NONE         NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           0            0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       1                                                   
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM                                                
PRECIP END            12 AM                                               
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.00         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   3            1            1            1            
LASI                               4                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 8200                      8100         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                N  8                      NE 10        
DISPERSION                         50 GEN GOOD               59 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.FRIDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO MID 80S. LIGHT WINDS. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO MID 80S. NORTHWEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS NEAR 80.
WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS NEAR 80. SOUTHEAST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S.
NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-162015-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
304 PM EDT TUE MAY 15 2012 /204 PM CDT TUE MAY 15 2012/

                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       
TEMP (24H TREND)      54-59 (-1)   80-85 (+4)   53-58        79-84        
RH % (24H TREND)      87-92 (-10)  27-32 (-19)  84-89        33-38        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      N  6         LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        NONE         NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           0            0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       1                                                   
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM                                                
PRECIP END            12 AM                                               
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.00         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   3            1            1            1            
LASI                               4                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 7800                      7800         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                N 10                      NE 12        
DISPERSION                         62 GOOD                   66 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID TO UPPER 50S.
NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING
LIGHT. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 80S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. SOUTHEAST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 80S. EAST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 50S. HIGHS NEAR 80. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO
LOWER 80S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

