
457 
FNUS54 KMRX 150717
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
600 AM EDT TUE MAY 15 2012

.DISCUSSION...
A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM OVER THE CAROLINAS WILL CONTINUE TO DRIFT AWAY 
FROM THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIAN REGION TODAY...BUT AN UPPER-LEVEL 
DISTURBANCE OVER THE TENNESSEE RIVER VALLEY WILL CONTINUE TO 
GENERATE SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE 
THROUGH THE REGION ON WEDNESDAY...WHICH WILL HELP TO KEEP 
TEMPERATURES NEAR SEASONAL NORMS THROUGHOUT MOST OF THE WEEK.


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-160815-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
600 AM EDT TUE MAY 15 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      73-78 (+6)   50-55 (-3)   72-77        
RH % (24H TREND)      45-50 (-18)  93-98 (-3)   39-44        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      NW  5        
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           20           0            
PRECIP DURATION       1            1                         
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING                
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   12 AM                     
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.05         0.01         0.00         
LAL                   3            3            1            
LASI                  3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4700                      7100         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW  6                     NW  8        
DISPERSION            13 GEN POOR               36 FAIR      

REMARKS...A FEW ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS TODAY MAY PRODUCE LOCALLY 
HEAVY RAINFALL UP TO AN INCH.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. 
NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. NORTH 
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. 
NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHEAST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S 
TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S 
TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 
IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 
UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-160815-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
600 AM EDT TUE MAY 15 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      72-77 (+9)   50-55 (-4)   70-75        
RH % (24H TREND)      48-53 (-18)  95-100 (-1)  40-45        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      NW  6        
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           30           0            
PRECIP DURATION       1            1                         
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING                
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   12 AM                     
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.06         0.02         0.00         
LAL                   3            3            1            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4700                      7000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W  6                      N  9         
DISPERSION            10 POOR                   35 FAIR      

REMARKS...A FEW ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS TODAY MAY PRODUCE LOCALLY 
HEAVY RAINFALL UP TO AN INCH.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. 
NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. 
NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. 
LIGHT WINDS. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. 
HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND 
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 
80S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO
LOWER 80S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 
IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. WEST WINDS UP TO 
10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-160815-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
600 AM EDT TUE MAY 15 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      71-76 (+12)  50-55 (-3)   69-74        
RH % (24H TREND)      47-52 (-24)  92-97 (-4)   40-45        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      N  5         
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           30           0            
PRECIP DURATION       1            1                         
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING                
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   12 AM                     
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.05         0.02         0.00         
LAL                   3            3            1            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4700                      6600         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W  6                      N 10         
DISPERSION            8 POOR                    32 FAIR      

REMARKS...A FEW ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS TODAY MAY PRODUCE LOCALLY 
HEAVY RAINFALL UP TO AN INCH.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO MID 50S. 
NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO LOWER 80S. 
NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO MID 50S. 
NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. 
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 
MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND 
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S TO LOWER 80S. 
WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S TO 
LOWER 80S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 
IN THE 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP 
TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-160815-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
600 AM EDT TUE MAY 15 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      73-78 (+8)   52-57 (-2)   74-79        
RH % (24H TREND)      45-50 (-25)  90-95 (-7)   38-43        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      N  6         
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           30           0            
PRECIP DURATION       1            1                         
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING                
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   12 AM                     
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.04         0.02         0.00         
LAL                   3            3            1            
LASI                  3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4500                      6900         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW  6                     N 12         
DISPERSION            12 POOR                   48 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...A FEW ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS TODAY MAY PRODUCE LOCALLY 
HEAVY RAINFALL UP TO AN INCH.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. 
NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. NORTH 
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. 
LIGHT WINDS. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. 
HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 
70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO
LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 
50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-160815-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
600 AM EDT TUE MAY 15 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      73-78 (+7)   50-55 (-2)   73-78        
RH % (24H TREND)      45-50 (-20)  93-98 (-4)   38-43        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      NW  5        
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           30           0            
PRECIP DURATION       1            1                         
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING                
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   12 AM                     
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.04         0.02         0.00         
LAL                   3            3            1            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4700                      7400         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W  6                      N 10         
DISPERSION            12 POOR                   47 GEN GOOD  
MAX LVORI             5                         4            

REMARKS...A FEW ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS TODAY MAY PRODUCE LOCALLY 
HEAVY RAINFALL UP TO AN INCH.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. 
NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. NORTH 
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. 
LIGHT WINDS. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. 
HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND 
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 
80S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S 
TO LOWER 80S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 
50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-160815-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
600 AM EDT TUE MAY 15 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      75-80 (+5)   52-57 (-3)   74-79        
RH % (24H TREND)      47-52 (-14)  94-99 (-1)   37-42        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           20           0            
PRECIP DURATION       1            1                         
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING                
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   12 AM                     
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.05         0.01         0.00         
LAL                   3            3            1            
LASI                  3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4400                      6400         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW  6                     N  8         
DISPERSION            15 GEN POOR               33 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. NORTH WINDS 
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. NORTH 
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. NORTHEAST 
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHEAST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 
70S TO MID 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S 
TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. 
LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST 
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-160815-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
600 AM EDT TUE MAY 15 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      75-80 (+7)   52-57 (-3)   76-81        
RH % (24H TREND)      46-51 (-21)  91-96 (-4)   35-40        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           20           0            
PRECIP DURATION       1            1                         
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING                
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   12 AM                     
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.04         0.01         0.00         
LAL                   3            3            1            
LASI                  3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4100                      6800         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NE  6                     N  8         
DISPERSION            15 GEN POOR               38 FAIR      

REMARKS...A FEW ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS TODAY MAY PRODUCE LOCALLY 
HEAVY RAINFALL UP TO AN INCH.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. NORTH WINDS 
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. 
NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 50S. 
NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 
70S TO MID 80S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS NEAR 80. WEST 
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. 
LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS NEAR 80. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-160815-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
600 AM EDT TUE MAY 15 2012 /500 AM CDT TUE MAY 15 2012/

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      76-81 (+7)   54-59 (-2)   76-81        
RH % (24H TREND)      46-51 (-21)  89-94 (-8)   32-37        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   N  5         
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      N  6         
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           20           0            
PRECIP DURATION       1            1                         
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING                
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   12 AM                     
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.03         0.01         0.00         
LAL                   3            3            1            
LASI                  3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4200                      7000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NE  7                     N 10         
DISPERSION            17 GEN POOR               54 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...A FEW ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS TODAY MAY PRODUCE LOCALLY 
HEAVY RAINFALL UP TO AN INCH.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. NORTH WINDS 
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS NEAR 80. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 
10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS 
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 80S. 
SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 
70S TO MID 80S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 
70S TO MID 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 
50S. HIGHS NEAR 80. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

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