
082 
FNUS54 KMRX 141936
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
336 PM EDT MON MAY 14 2012

.DISCUSSION...
A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM ALONG WITH LOW LEVEL MOISTURE WILL CONTINUE
TO DRIFT NORTHEASTWARD ACROSS THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIAN REGION.  
AFTERNOON AND EVENING SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WILL BUILD
AGAIN TUESDAY...THEN THE FORECAST SHOULD BE TURNING DRIER BY MID WEEK.

TEMPERATURES SHOULD REMAIN NEAR SEASONAL NORMS THROUGHOUT MOST OF THE 
WEEK.


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-152045-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
336 PM EDT MON MAY 14 2012

                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      50-55 (-3)   71-76 (+4)   49-54        71-76        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+3)  49-54 (-14)  93-98        36-41        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      NW  5        
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      TSTMS        TSTMS        NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           50           40           0            
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1                         
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING                
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   8 AM                      
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.06         0.05         0.01         0.00         
LAL                   1            2            2            1            
LASI                               3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5000                      8900         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                N  3                      NW 10        
DISPERSION                         10 POOR                   59 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID
50S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. NORTH WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID
50S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING
BECOMING LIGHT. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHEAST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S
TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID
70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AND SLIGHT
CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO
LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-152045-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
336 PM EDT MON MAY 14 2012

                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      49-54 (-3)   69-74 (+5)   49-54        69-74        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+1)  50-55 (-16)  92-97        41-46        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      NW  6        
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      TSTMS        TSTMS        NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           50           50           0            
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1                         
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING                
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   8 AM                      
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.07         0.12         0.02         0.00         
LAL                   1            2            2            1            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5000                      8900         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W  5                      NW 10        
DISPERSION                         10 POOR                   52 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID
50S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO LOWER 80S.
NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID
50S. LIGHT WINDS. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHEAST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER
80S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO
LOWER 80S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. WEST WINDS
UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-152045-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
336 PM EDT MON MAY 14 2012

                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      51-56 (-2)   68-73 (+6)   50-55        69-74        
RH % (24H TREND)      93-98 (-4)   51-56 (-20)  88-93        39-44        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      N  5         
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      TSTMS        TSTMS        NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           50           30           0            
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1                         
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING                
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   12 AM                     
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.05         0.05         0.01         0.00         
LAL                   1            2            2            1            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5100                      9000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W  3                      NW  7        
DISPERSION                         6 VERY POOR               38 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S.
NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO LOWER 80S.
NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S.
NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING
LIGHT. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER
80S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO
LOWER 80S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AND SLIGHT
CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO
LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-152045-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
336 PM EDT MON MAY 14 2012

                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      53-58 (-2)   73-78 (+9)   52-57        74-79        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (-2)  50-55 (-20)  92-97        37-42        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      N  6         
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      TSTMS        TSTMS        NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           40           30           0            
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1                         
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING                
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   12 AM                     
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.04         0.02         0.01         0.00         
LAL                   1            2            2            1            
LASI                               3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4800                      8900         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW  3                     N  9         
DISPERSION                         8 POOR                    55 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S.
NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. NORTH WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. LIGHT
WINDS. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE
70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S
TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-152045-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
336 PM EDT MON MAY 14 2012

                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      52-57 (-2)   74-79 (+7)   52-57        73-78        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (-3)  47-52 (-18)  89-94        39-44        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      NW  5        
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      TSTMS        TSTMS        NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           40           30           0            
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1                         
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING                
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   12 AM                     
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.04         0.04         0.03         0.00         
LAL                   1            2            2            1            
LASI                               3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5900                      8900         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W  3                      N  8         
DISPERSION                         11 POOR                   50 GEN GOOD  
MAX LVORI                          4                         4            

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID
50S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. NORTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID
50S. LIGHT WINDS. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER
80S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID
70S TO LOWER 80S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. WEST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-152045-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
336 PM EDT MON MAY 14 2012

                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      51-56 (-4)   74-79 (+4)   50-55        73-78        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+3)  47-52 (-14)  95-100       35-40        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      TSTMS        TSTMS        NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           50           40           0            
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1                         
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         12 PM        CONTINUING                
PRECIP END            8 AM         CONTINUING   8 AM                      
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.05         0.06         0.01         0.00         
LAL                   1            2            2            1            
LASI                               3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4300                      8400         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW  3                     NW  8        
DISPERSION                         9 POOR                    49 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. NORTH WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. NORTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. NORTHEAST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHEAST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID
70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID
70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS AROUND 60. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-152045-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
336 PM EDT MON MAY 14 2012

                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       
TEMP (24H TREND)      53-58 (-3)   75-80 (+7)   51-56        75-80        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (-2)  43-48 (-24)  92-97        32-37        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      TSTMS        TSTMS        NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           40           30           0            
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1                         
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         12 PM        CONTINUING                
PRECIP END            8 AM         CONTINUING   12 AM                     
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.02         0.01         0.00         
LAL                   1            2            2            1            
LASI                               3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4500                      8700         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                N  6                      NW  8        
DISPERSION                         16 GEN POOR               52 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. NORTH WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S.
NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. NORTHEAST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE
70S TO MID 80S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS NEAR 80.
WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS NEAR 80. SOUTHWEST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-152045-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
336 PM EDT MON MAY 14 2012 /236 PM CDT MON MAY 14 2012/

                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       
TEMP (24H TREND)      54-59 (-4)   74-79 (+5)   52-57        75-80        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (-2)  46-51 (-21)  93-98        32-37        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      N  5         LGT/VAR      N  6         
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      TSTMS        TSTMS        NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           30           20           0            
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1                         
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         8 AM         CONTINUING                
PRECIP END            12 AM        CONTINUING   12 AM                     
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.02         0.01         0.00         
LAL                   1            2            2            1            
LASI                               3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4100                      8900         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NE  7                     N 10         
DISPERSION                         18 GEN POOR               68 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. NORTH WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS NEAR 80. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 80S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 70S TO MID 80S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 60. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S
TO MID 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 60S. HIGHS NEAR 80. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

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