
272 
FNUS54 KMRX 141502
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
1102 AM EDT MON MAY 14 2012

.DISCUSSION...
A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL CONTINUE TO DRIFT NORTHEASTWARD ACROSS 
THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIAN REGION TODAY...BRINGING NUMEROUS SHOWERS 
AND SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS 
WILL LINGER OVER THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIAN REGION THROUGH TUESDAY
...WITH TEMPERATURES REMAINING NEAR SEASONAL NORMS THROUGHOUT MOST
OF THE WEEK.


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-151615-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
1102 AM EDT MON MAY 14 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      67-72 (+3)   51-56 (-2)   68-73        
RH % (24H TREND)      59-64 (0)    93-98 (-1)   48-53        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           60           30           
PRECIP DURATION       3            2            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.41         0.18         0.08         
LAL                   2            3            3            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3400                      5000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W  9                      N  6         
DISPERSION            12 POOR                   15 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. LIGHT WINDS. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO UPPER 70S.
NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID
50S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING
LIGHT. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. EAST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO
LOWER 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S
TO MID 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID
70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-151615-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
1102 AM EDT MON MAY 14 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      65-70 (+8)   50-55 (-2)   65-70        
RH % (24H TREND)      60-65 (-1)   94-99 (-2)   54-59        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           70           30           
PRECIP DURATION       3            2            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.48         0.24         0.09         
LAL                   2            3            3            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3700                      5000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 10                     NW  6        
DISPERSION            8 POOR                    11 POOR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO UPPER 70S.
NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID
50S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING
LIGHT. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO LOWER 80S.
NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO
LOWER 80S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S TO MID
80S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO
LOWER 80S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-151615-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
1102 AM EDT MON MAY 14 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      64-69 (+10)  51-56 (-2)   66-71        
RH % (24H TREND)      63-68 (-10)  95-100 (0)   50-55        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           60           30           
PRECIP DURATION       3            2            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.21         0.08         0.08         
LAL                   2            3            3            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4000                      5000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW  9                     N  6         
DISPERSION            8 POOR                    10 POOR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 50S. NORTH WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO UPPER 70S.
NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S.
NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT.
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO LOWER 80S.
NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO
LOWER 80S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S TO MID
80S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID
70S TO LOWER 80S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-151615-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
1102 AM EDT MON MAY 14 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      68-73 (+11)  53-58 (-2)   71-76        
RH % (24H TREND)      62-67 (-16)  95-100 (0)   49-54        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           50           30           
PRECIP DURATION       3            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.09         0.05         0.04         
LAL                   2            3            3            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3500                      5000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW  9                     N  6         
DISPERSION            11 POOR                   15 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 50S. LIGHT WINDS. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO LOWER 80S.
NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S.
NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING
LIGHT. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S.
NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER
80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID
70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-151615-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
1102 AM EDT MON MAY 14 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      67-72 (+11)  52-57 (-2)   71-76        
RH % (24H TREND)      60-65 (-14)  93-98 (-4)   48-53        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           60           30           
PRECIP DURATION       3            2            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.14         0.06         0.05         
LAL                   2            3            3            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3800                      5000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW  9                     NW  6        
DISPERSION            12 POOR                   14 GEN POOR  
MAX LVORI             6                         5            

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. LIGHT WINDS. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S.
NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S.
LIGHT WINDS. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S.
NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER
80S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO MID 80S.
NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID
70S TO LOWER 80S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-151615-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
1102 AM EDT MON MAY 14 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      68-73 (+5)   52-57 (-3)   70-75        
RH % (24H TREND)      58-63 (-2)   95-100 (+1)  47-52        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           60           30           
PRECIP DURATION       3            2            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.33         0.14         0.06         
LAL                   2            3            3            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3000                      4700         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W  9                      N  6         
DISPERSION            12 POOR                   16 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. LIGHT WINDS. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S.
NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. NORTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S.
EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO
LOWER 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S
TO MID 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S
TO MID 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-151615-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
1102 AM EDT MON MAY 14 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      68-73 (+7)   53-58 (-3)   72-77        
RH % (24H TREND)      61-66 (-10)  95-100 (0)   43-48        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           40           20           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.11         0.05         0.04         
LAL                   2            3            3            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3100                      4800         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W  9                      NE  6        
DISPERSION            14 GEN POOR               19 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 50S. LIGHT WINDS. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. NORTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. NORTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S.
NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO
MID 80S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 70S TO MID 80S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 70S TO MID 80S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-151615-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
1102 AM EDT MON MAY 14 2012 /1002 AM CDT MON MAY 14 2012/

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      71-76 (+11)  54-59 (-4)   74-79        
RH % (24H TREND)      61-66 (-13)  95-100 (0)   44-49        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           30           20           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.04         0.03         0.04         
LAL                   2            3            3            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3100                      5000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW  9                     NE  6        
DISPERSION            16 GEN POOR               19 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH
EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S.
NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. NORTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 80S.
NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER TO MID 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

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