
803 
FNUS54 KMRX 140717
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
600 AM EDT MON MAY 14 2012

.DISCUSSION...
A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL CONTINUE TO DRIFT NORTHEASTWARD ACROSS 
THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIAN REGION TODAY...BRINGING NUMEROUS SHOWERS 
AND SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS 
WILL LINGER OVER THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIAN REGION ON TUESDAY...WITH 
TEMPERATURES REMAINING NEAR SEASONAL NORMS THROUGHOUT MOST OF THE 
WEEK.


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-150815-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
600 AM EDT MON MAY 14 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      67-72 (+3)   51-56 (-2)   68-73        
RH % (24H TREND)      59-64 (0)    93-98 (-1)   48-53        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           60           30           
PRECIP DURATION       5            2            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.41         0.18         0.08         
LAL                   3            3            3            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3400                      5000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W  9                      N  6         
DISPERSION            12 POOR                   15 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...A FEW ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS TODAY THROUGH TUESDAY MAY 
PRODUCE LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL UP TO AN INCH OR TWO.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND 
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. LIGHT WINDS. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS 
THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. 
NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. EAST 
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO
LOWER 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 
70S TO MID 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S 
TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-150815-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
600 AM EDT MON MAY 14 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      65-70 (+8)   50-55 (-2)   65-70        
RH % (24H TREND)      60-65 (-1)   93-98 (-3)   54-59        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     90           70           30           
PRECIP DURATION       5            2            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.48         0.24         0.09         
LAL                   3            3            3            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3700                      5000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 10                     NW  6        
DISPERSION            8 POOR                    11 POOR      

REMARKS...A FEW ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS TODAY THROUGH TUESDAY MAY 
PRODUCE LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL UP TO AN INCH OR TWO.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND 
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS 
THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 
10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. 
NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. 
NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. 
LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. EAST WINDS 
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND 
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 
80S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO
LOWER 80S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-150815-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
600 AM EDT MON MAY 14 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      65-70 (+11)  51-56 (-2)   66-71        
RH % (24H TREND)      61-66 (-12)  95-100 (-2)  50-55        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           60           30           
PRECIP DURATION       5            2            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.21         0.08         0.08         
LAL                   3            3            3            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4000                      5000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW  9                     N  6         
DISPERSION            8 POOR                    10 POOR      

REMARKS...A FEW ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS TODAY THROUGH TUESDAY MAY 
PRODUCE LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL UP TO AN INCH OR TWO.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 50S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 
10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO UPPER 70S. NORTH 
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO MID 50S. 
NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO LOWER 80S. 
NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. 
LOWS IN THE 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO LOWER 80S. WEST WINDS 
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND 
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S TO MID 80S. 
WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO 
LOWER 80S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-150815-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
600 AM EDT MON MAY 14 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      69-74 (+12)  53-58 (-2)   71-76        
RH % (24H TREND)      61-66 (-17)  95-100 (-1)  49-54        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           50           30           
PRECIP DURATION       3            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.09         0.05         0.04         
LAL                   3            3            3            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3500                      5000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW  9                     N  6         
DISPERSION            11 POOR                   15 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...A FEW ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS TODAY THROUGH TUESDAY MAY 
PRODUCE LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL UP TO AN INCH OR TWO.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND 
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 50S. LIGHT WINDS. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. NORTH 
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. 
NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. 
NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. 
LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS 
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 
70S TO MID 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S 
TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-150815-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
600 AM EDT MON MAY 14 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      68-73 (+12)  52-57 (-2)   71-76        
RH % (24H TREND)      58-63 (-16)  93-98 (-4)   48-53        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           60           30           
PRECIP DURATION       5            2            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.14         0.06         0.05         
LAL                   3            3            3            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3800                      5000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW  9                     NW  6        
DISPERSION            12 POOR                   14 GEN POOR  
MAX LVORI             6                         5            

REMARKS...A FEW ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS TODAY THROUGH TUESDAY MAY 
PRODUCE LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL UP TO AN INCH OR TWO.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. 
LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. LIGHT WINDS. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. 
NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. 
LIGHT WINDS. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. 
NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. 
LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. EAST WINDS 
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND 
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 
80S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S 
TO LOWER 80S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-150815-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
600 AM EDT MON MAY 14 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      68-73 (+5)   52-57 (-3)   70-75        
RH % (24H TREND)      59-64 (-1)   94-99 (0)    47-52        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           60           30           
PRECIP DURATION       5            2            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.33         0.14         0.06         
LAL                   3            3            3            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3000                      4700         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W  9                      N  6         
DISPERSION            12 POOR                   16 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...A FEW ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS TODAY THROUGH TUESDAY MAY 
PRODUCE LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL UP TO AN INCH OR TWO.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND 
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. LIGHT WINDS. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. 
NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS 
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. EAST 
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S 
TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 
70S TO MID 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 
70S TO MID 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-150815-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
600 AM EDT MON MAY 14 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      69-74 (+8)   53-58 (-3)   72-77        
RH % (24H TREND)      60-65 (-11)  95-100 (-1)  43-48        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           40           20           
PRECIP DURATION       3            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.11         0.05         0.04         
LAL                   3            3            3            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3100                      4800         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W  9                      NE  6        
DISPERSION            14 GEN POOR               19 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...A FEW ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS TODAY THROUGH TUESDAY MAY 
PRODUCE LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL UP TO AN INCH OR TWO.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 50S. LIGHT WINDS. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. NORTH 
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS 
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. 
NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S 
TO MID 80S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 
70S TO MID 80S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 
70S TO MID 80S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-150815-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
600 AM EDT MON MAY 14 2012 /500 AM CDT MON MAY 14 2012/

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      71-76 (+11)  54-59 (-4)   74-79        
RH % (24H TREND)      61-66 (-13)  95-100 (-1)  44-49        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           30           20           
PRECIP DURATION       3            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.04         0.03         0.04         
LAL                   3            3            3            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3100                      5000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW  9                     NE  6        
DISPERSION            16 GEN POOR               19 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...A FEW ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS TODAY THROUGH TUESDAY MAY 
PRODUCE LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL UP TO AN INCH OR TWO.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND 
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. NORTH 
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. NORTH WINDS 
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 80S. 
NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 
70S TO MID 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 
TO MID 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 
70S TO MID 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

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