
253 
FNUS54 KMRX 130729
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
600 AM EDT SUN MAY 13 2012

.DISCUSSION...
A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL SLOWLY DRIFT ACROSS THE TENNESSEE RIVER 
VALLEY TODAY AND TONIGHT...BRINGING AN EXTENSIVE AREA OF RAIN AND A 
FEW THUNDERSTORMS. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL LINGER 
ACROSS THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIAN REGION ON MONDAY AND TUESDAY...WITH 
TEMPERATURES REMAINING NEAR SEASONAL NORMS THROUGHOUT MOST OF THE 
UPCOMING WEEK.


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-140815-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
600 AM EDT SUN MAY 13 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      65-70 (-6)   52-57 (-1)   66-71        
RH % (24H TREND)      64-69 (+24)  95-100 (+3)  56-61        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  9 G18                  LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE  8 G16    S  6         LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          100          80           
PRECIP DURATION       4            5            5            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.40         0.89         0.40         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3500                      3300         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 21                      SW 15        
DISPERSION            27 FAIR                   16 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...A FEW ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS TODAY THROUGH MONDAY MAY 
PRODUCE LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL UP TO AN INCH OR TWO.

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. 
LOWS IN THE MID 50S. LIGHT WINDS. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS 
IN THE 70S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN 
THE LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 70S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 
10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 
70S TO LOWER 80S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S 
TO LOWER 80S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S 
TO LOWER 80S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-140815-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
600 AM EDT SUN MAY 13 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      63-68 (-1)   51-56 (0)    66-71        
RH % (24H TREND)      65-70 (+21)  94-99 (+1)   58-63        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S 10 G21                  LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE 10 G19    S  9 G19     LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          100          80           
PRECIP DURATION       4            5            8            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.29         1.08         0.55         
LAL                   3            1            1            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3600                      3800         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 24                      SW 15        
DISPERSION            17 GEN POOR               13 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...A FEW ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS TODAY THROUGH MONDAY MAY 
PRODUCE LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL UP TO AN INCH OR TWO.

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. 
LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 50S. LIGHT WINDS. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS 
IN THE 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN 
THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 70S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 
10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 
70S TO LOWER 80S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S 
TO LOWER 80S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 
70S TO LOWER 80S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-140815-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
600 AM EDT SUN MAY 13 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      62-67 (0)    53-58 (0)    65-70        
RH % (24H TREND)      67-72 (+19)  93-98 (0)    58-63        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S 13 G25                  LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S 12 G24     S  9 G21     LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          100          80           
PRECIP DURATION       4            5            5            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.84         0.71         0.24         
LAL                   3            1            1            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3900                      4100         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 25                      SW 13        
DISPERSION            17 GEN POOR               10 POOR      

REMARKS...A FEW ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS TODAY THROUGH MONDAY MAY 
PRODUCE LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL UP TO AN INCH OR TWO.

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. 
LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S TO UPPER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 
MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS 
IN THE MID 60S TO UPPER 70S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN 
THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO UPPER 70S. NORTH 
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S 
TO LOWER 80S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S TO 
LOWER 80S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S 
TO LOWER 80S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-140815-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
600 AM EDT SUN MAY 13 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      65-70 (-1)   55-60 (0)    69-74        
RH % (24H TREND)      66-71 (+15)  95-100 (+3)  58-63        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SE 13 G25                 LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE 12 G24    S  9 G20     LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          90           60           
PRECIP DURATION       5            5            3            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         1.04         0.86         0.17         
LAL                   3            1            1            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3500                      3900         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 29                      SW 12        
DISPERSION            34 FAIR                   18 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...A FEW ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS TODAY THROUGH MONDAY MAY 
PRODUCE LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL UP TO AN INCH OR TWO.

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. 
LOWS IN THE 50S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS 
IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN 
THE LOWER TO MID 50S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. NORTH 
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 
70S TO LOWER 80S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S 
TO MID 80S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 
70S TO MID 80S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-140815-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
600 AM EDT SUN MAY 13 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      64-69 (0)    53-58 (0)    68-73        
RH % (24H TREND)      64-69 (+14)  95-100 (+2)  59-64        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SE 12 G22                 LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE 10 G19    SE  7 G15    LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          90           80           
PRECIP DURATION       5            5            3            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         1.01         0.98         0.20         
LAL                   3            1            1            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3500                      4000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 25                      SW 12        
DISPERSION            28 FAIR                   17 GEN POOR  
MAX LVORI             5                         5            

REMARKS...A FEW ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS TODAY THROUGH MONDAY MAY 
PRODUCE LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL UP TO AN INCH OR TWO.

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. 
LOWS IN THE 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS 
IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN 
THE MID 50S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. NORTH 
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 
70S TO LOWER 80S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 
70S TO MID 80S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 
70S TO LOWER 80S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-140815-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
600 AM EDT SUN MAY 13 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      66-71 (-6)   54-59 (0)    70-75        
RH % (24H TREND)      63-68 (+19)  93-98 (+1)   54-59        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SE  6 G16                 LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE  7        SE  5        LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          100          80           
PRECIP DURATION       4            5            5            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.48         0.68         0.36         
LAL                   3            1            1            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3200                      3400         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 22                      SW 13        
DISPERSION            33 FAIR                   21 FAIR      

REMARKS...A FEW ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS TODAY THROUGH MONDAY MAY 
PRODUCE LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL UP TO AN INCH OR TWO.

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. 
LOWS IN THE MID 50S. LIGHT WINDS. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS 
IN THE 70S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN 
THE LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. NORTH 
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S 
TO LOWER 80S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S 
TO LOWER 80S. LIGHT WINDS. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 
70S TO MID 80S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-140815-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
600 AM EDT SUN MAY 13 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      66-71 (-5)   55-60 (-1)   71-76        
RH % (24H TREND)      65-70 (+17)  95-100 (+5)  53-58        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SE  8 G19                 LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  8 G18     S  5         LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          90           60           
PRECIP DURATION       5            5            2            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         1.01         0.55         0.15         
LAL                   3            1            1            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3200                      3400         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 25                      W 12         
DISPERSION            42 GEN GOOD               21 FAIR      

REMARKS...A FEW ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS TODAY THROUGH MONDAY MAY 
PRODUCE LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL UP TO AN INCH OR TWO.

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. 
LOWS IN THE 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. 
HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 50S. NORTH WINDS LESS 
THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. NORTH 
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 
70S TO MID 80S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S 
TO MID 80S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 80S. 
NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-140815-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
600 AM EDT SUN MAY 13 2012 /500 AM CDT SUN MAY 13 2012/

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      67-72 (-4)   58-63 (0)    72-77        
RH % (24H TREND)      67-72 (+16)  90-95 (0)    52-57        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SE 12 G22                 LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  9 G19     S  6         N  5         
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          80           50           
PRECIP DURATION       5            4            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         1.04         0.49         0.10         
LAL                   3            1            1            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3100                      3600         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 28                      W 12         
DISPERSION            47 GEN GOOD               25 FAIR      

REMARKS...A FEW ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS TODAY THROUGH MONDAY MAY 
PRODUCE LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL UP TO AN INCH OR TWO.

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. 
LOWS IN THE MID TO UPPER 50S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. 
HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. NORTH WINDS 
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. NORTH 
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 
70S TO MID 80S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S 
TO MID 80S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 80S. 
NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

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