
738 
FNUS54 KMRX 120807
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
407 AM EDT SAT MAY 12 2012

.DISCUSSION...
CLOUD COVER AND RAIN CHANCES ARE ON THE INCREASE THIS WEEKEND INTO 
EARLY NEXT WEEK AS AN UPPER-LEVEL STORM SYSTEM PUSHES TOWARD THE 
TENNESSEE VALLEY FROM THE SOUTHERN PLAINS. RAIN SHOWERS WILL BEGIN 
TO OVERSPREAD THE AREA BY THIS EVENING AND TONIGHT...AND INCREASE IN 
COVERAGE AND INTENSITY ON SUNDAY. THIS ACTIVITY WILL PERSIST INTO 
EARLY NEXT WEEK...AS THE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM MOVES THROUGH THE 
SOUTHEAST. 


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-130915-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
407 AM EDT SAT MAY 12 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       
TEMP (24H TREND)      68-73 (0)    53-58 (+9)   65-70        
RH % (24H TREND)      35-40 (+11)  78-83 (+7)   59-64        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   SE  5        
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  5        LGT/VAR      SE  5        
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      TSTMS        SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           60           90           
PRECIP DURATION       1            2            6            
PRECIP BEGIN          2 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.07         0.34         
LAL                   2            2            1            
LASI                  4                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    8000                      4900         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW  9                     S 22         
DISPERSION            45 GEN GOOD               55 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.MONDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
60S TO MID 70S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
50S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO
UPPER 70S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE
70S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE
70S TO LOWER 80S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S
TO LOWER 80S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-130915-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
407 AM EDT SAT MAY 12 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       
TEMP (24H TREND)      66-71 (-1)   50-55 (+5)   64-69        
RH % (24H TREND)      40-45 (+16)  82-87 (+17)  56-61        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   SE  7 G15    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SE  7        
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      TSTMS        SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           60           90           
PRECIP DURATION       1            2            6            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.07         0.31         
LAL                   2            2            2            
LASI                  4                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    8400                      4900         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW  7                     S 23         
DISPERSION            34 FAIR                   45 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO 70S.
NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 50S. NORTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S
TO UPPER 70S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
MID 60S TO UPPER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 60S TO LOWER 80S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S
TO LOWER 80S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-130915-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
407 AM EDT SAT MAY 12 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       
TEMP (24H TREND)      64-69 (-4)   50-55 (+2)   64-69        
RH % (24H TREND)      43-48 (+18)  83-88 (+22)  56-61        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   S  8 G18     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S  6         
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           70           100          
PRECIP DURATION       1            3            6            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.05         0.14         0.55         
LAL                   2            2            2            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    7100                      4400         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S  8                      S 16         
DISPERSION            25 FAIR                   16 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. EAST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
60S TO MID 70S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 50S.
NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S
TO UPPER 70S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
MID 60S TO UPPER 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE
MID 60S TO LOWER 80S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
60S TO LOWER 80S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-130915-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
407 AM EDT SAT MAY 12 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       
TEMP (24H TREND)      68-73 (-5)   54-59 (+3)   67-72        
RH % (24H TREND)      48-53 (+19)  87-92 (+19)  63-68        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   SE  8 G18    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  6         LGT/VAR      SE  7 G15    
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           70           100          
PRECIP DURATION       1            3            8            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.07         0.23         0.71         
LAL                   2            2            2            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6500                      3500         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 14                      S 13         
DISPERSION            54 GEN GOOD               16 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. EAST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO
70S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
50S. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S
TO LOWER 80S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 60S TO LOWER 80S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 70S TO MID 80S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID
70S TO LOWER 80S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-130915-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
407 AM EDT SAT MAY 12 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       
TEMP (24H TREND)      67-72 (-6)   53-58 (+4)   67-72        
RH % (24H TREND)      47-52 (+19)  86-91 (+15)  59-64        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   SE  6        
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  6         LGT/VAR      SE  5        
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           70           100          
PRECIP DURATION       1            3            6            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.07         0.20         0.77         
LAL                   2            2            2            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    7300                      4100         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 14                      S 15         
DISPERSION            61 GOOD                   23 FAIR      
MAX LVORI             4                         4            

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 60. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S
TO UPPER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S.
NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
60S TO LOWER 80S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE 70S.
NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 70S TO MID 80S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID
70S TO LOWER 80S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-130915-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
407 AM EDT SAT MAY 12 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       
TEMP (24H TREND)      70-75 (-1)   54-59 (+10)  67-72        
RH % (24H TREND)      40-45 (+15)  81-86 (+2)   58-63        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   SE  5        
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      TSTMS        SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           60           100          
PRECIP DURATION       1            2            6            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.08         0.37         
LAL                   2            2            2            
LASI                  4                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    7700                      3700         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW  7                     S 17         
DISPERSION            35 FAIR                   34 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. EAST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO
UPPER 70S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
50S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING
LIGHT. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO
UPPER 70S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE 70S.
NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE
70S TO LOWER 80S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S
TO LOWER 80S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-130915-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
407 AM EDT SAT MAY 12 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       
TEMP (24H TREND)      70-75 (-3)   56-61 (+7)   67-72        
RH % (24H TREND)      44-49 (+18)  81-86 (+8)   60-65        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   S  5         
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           70           100          
PRECIP DURATION       1            3            6            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.05         0.21         0.74         
LAL                   2            2            2            
LASI                  4                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6200                      3700         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S  9                      SW 13        
DISPERSION            39 FAIR                   27 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHEAST AFTER
MIDNIGHT. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE 60S TO UPPER 70S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
50S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO
LOWER 80S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE
70S TO LOWER 80S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S
TO MID 80S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO
MID 80S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-130915-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
407 AM EDT SAT MAY 12 2012 /307 AM CDT SAT MAY 12 2012/

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       
TEMP (24H TREND)      70-75 (-5)   56-61 (+5)   69-74        
RH % (24H TREND)      49-54 (+24)  83-88 (+4)   61-66        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   S  8 G16     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE  6        LGT/VAR      S  6         
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           70           100          
PRECIP DURATION       1            3            8            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.07         0.34         0.83         
LAL                   2            2            2            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5600                      3700         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 15                      S 12         
DISPERSION            58 GEN GOOD               26 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHEAST AFTER
MIDNIGHT. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO LOWER 80S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 50S
TO LOWER 60S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S
TO LOWER 80S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S
TO MID 80S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
70S TO MID 80S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO
MID 80S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

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