
707 
FNUS54 KMRX 101853
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
253 PM EDT THU MAY 10 2012

.DISCUSSION...
DRY CONDITIONS...ACCOMPANIED BY A GRADUAL WARMING TREND WILL 
CONTINUE ACROSS THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIAN REGION THROUGH SATURDAY. A 
CHANCE OF SHOWERS WILL RETURN TO THE FORECAST SATURDAY NIGHT...AND 
PERSIST INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK. 


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-112000-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
253 PM EDT THU MAY 10 2012

                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          

CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLEAR       
TEMP (24H TREND)      38-43 (-5)   70-75 (+7)   43-48        73-78        
RH % (24H TREND)      81-86 (-1)   19-24 (-16)  79-84        29-34        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            
PRECIP DURATION                                                           
PRECIP BEGIN                                                              
PRECIP END                                                                
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               5                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 7900                      8400         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NE  6                     SW  6        
DISPERSION                         27 FAIR                   29 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS
IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN
THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHWEST
LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST AFTER
MIDNIGHT. 
.MONDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
60S TO MID 70S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. NORTHEAST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID
70S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO MID 70S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-112000-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
253 PM EDT THU MAY 10 2012

                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          

CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLEAR       
TEMP (24H TREND)      38-43 (-3)   69-74 (+7)   41-46        71-76        
RH % (24H TREND)      77-82 (-10)  20-25 (-13)  79-84        31-36        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            10           
PRECIP DURATION                                              1            
PRECIP BEGIN                                                 2 PM         
PRECIP END                                                   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.01         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               5                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 8400                      8800         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NE  2                     S  6         
DISPERSION                         14 GEN POOR               31 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS
NEAR 50. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST AFTER
MIDNIGHT. 
.MONDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
60S TO MID 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S TO MID 70S. EAST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AND SLIGHT
CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S
TO MID 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO UPPER
70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-112000-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
253 PM EDT THU MAY 10 2012

                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          

CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      40-45 (0)    71-76 (+9)   45-50        68-73        
RH % (24H TREND)      74-79 (-14)  16-21 (-16)  75-80        34-39        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            20           
PRECIP DURATION                                              1            
PRECIP BEGIN                                                 2 PM         
PRECIP END                                                   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.02         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               4                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 8300                      8600         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                E  5                      S  6         
DISPERSION                         20 GEN POOR               25 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH
SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 50S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO
LOWER 70S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S TO MID 70S. NORTHEAST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AND SLIGHT
CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S
TO MID 70S. EAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO
UPPER 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-112000-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
253 PM EDT THU MAY 10 2012

                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          

CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      42-47 (+1)   75-80 (+8)   47-52        71-76        
RH % (24H TREND)      84-89 (-7)   19-24 (-14)  84-89        41-46        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   SE  7 G15    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S  5         
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            20           
PRECIP DURATION                                              1            
PRECIP BEGIN                                                 2 PM         
PRECIP END                                                   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.04         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               4                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 8300                      8000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                E  6                      S 10         
DISPERSION                         28 FAIR                   55 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN
THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 50S. EAST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
60S TO MID 70S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S TO MID 70S. NORTHEAST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO UPPER
70S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO UPPER
70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-112000-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
253 PM EDT THU MAY 10 2012

                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          

CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      40-45 (0)    76-81 (+8)   46-51        70-75        
RH % (24H TREND)      86-91 (-10)  17-22 (-16)  84-89        42-47        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   SE  8 G15    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S  6         
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            20           
PRECIP DURATION                                              1            
PRECIP BEGIN                                                 2 PM         
PRECIP END                                                   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.03         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               4                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 8700                      9600         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                E  6                      S 10         
DISPERSION                         29 FAIR                   68 GOOD      
MAX LVORI                          3                         3            

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN
THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S.
EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO
LOWER 70S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO MID 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO
MID 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO UPPER
70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-112000-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
253 PM EDT THU MAY 10 2012

                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          

CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLEAR       
TEMP (24H TREND)      38-43 (-6)   72-77 (+6)   42-47        74-79        
RH % (24H TREND)      87-92 (+2)   21-26 (-10)  87-92        30-35        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            
PRECIP DURATION                                                           
PRECIP BEGIN                                                              
PRECIP END                                                                
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               5                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 7300                      7200         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NE  5                     S  3         
DISPERSION                         24 FAIR                   20 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS
IN THE LOWER TO MID 50S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. LIGHT WINDS BECOMING WEST LESS
THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 50S. NORTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE EAST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.MONDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
60S TO MID 70S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. LIGHT
WINDS. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID
70S. LIGHT WINDS. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S
TO UPPER 70S. LIGHT WINDS. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-112000-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
253 PM EDT THU MAY 10 2012

                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          

CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLEAR       PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      41-46 (-3)   74-79 (+6)   47-52        73-78        
RH % (24H TREND)      84-89 (+3)   20-25 (-8)   79-84        35-40        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            20           
PRECIP DURATION                                              1            
PRECIP BEGIN                                                 2 PM         
PRECIP END                                                   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.02         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               5                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 7100                      7000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                E  8                      S  8         
DISPERSION                         39 FAIR                   41 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING
BECOMING LIGHT. 
.SUNDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO
MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST
EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID TO
UPPER 50S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO
MID 70S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. NORTHEAST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO UPPER
70S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-112000-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
253 PM EDT THU MAY 10 2012 /153 PM CDT THU MAY 10 2012/

                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          

CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      42-47 (-3)   75-80 (+6)   50-55        72-77        
RH % (24H TREND)      91-96 (+11)  22-27 (-9)   83-88        41-46        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   SE  6        
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S  6         
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            20           
PRECIP DURATION                                              1            
PRECIP BEGIN                                                 2 PM         
PRECIP END                                                   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.04         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               4                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 7100                      6900         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                E  8                      S 13         
DISPERSION                         39 FAIR                   65 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID TO UPPER 50S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
60S TO MID 70S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S.
EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO
UPPER 70S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER
80S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID
70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

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