
131 
FNUS54 KMRX 090820
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
420 AM EDT WED MAY 9 2012

.DISCUSSION...
A COLD FRONT HAS MOVED TO JUST EAST OF THE APPALACHIANS THIS 
MORNING. AN UPPER LEVEL SYSTEM WILL MOVE ACROSS THE REGION TODAY 
WITH SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SHOWERS MOVING ACROSS THE APPALACHIAN 
REGION TODAY. DRYING CONDITIONS...AND TEMPERATURES A LITTLE COOLER 
THAN NORMAL CAN BE EXPECTED LATE TODAY...AND WILL CONTINUE THROUGH 
THURSDAY. TEMPERATURES WILL WARM TO NEAR SEASONAL NORMALS BY FRIDAY 
INTO THE WEEKEND.

VAZ001-002-005-006-008-100930-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
420 AM EDT WED MAY 9 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       
TEMP (24H TREND)      66-71 (-2)   44-49 (-9)   64-69        
RH % (24H TREND)      44-49 (-25)  82-87 (-12)  32-37        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NW  5                     N  7 G17     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  6        NW  8 G15    N  7 G16     
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       1                                      
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM                                   
PRECIP END            8 PM                                   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.04         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  3                         5            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    7000                      6700         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 14                     NW 17        
DISPERSION            58 GEN GOOD               68 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. NORTHEAST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO MID 70S. NORTH WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S.
NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING
LIGHT. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO UPPER 70S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTHEAST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO MID 70S. EAST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-100930-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
420 AM EDT WED MAY 9 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       
TEMP (24H TREND)      64-69 (-2)   42-47 (-9)   62-67        
RH % (24H TREND)      47-52 (-19)  84-89 (-12)  33-38        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NW  7 G15                 NW  9 G19    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  6        NW  9 G20    NW  8 G19    
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       2                                      
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM                                   
PRECIP END            8 PM                                   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.08         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6700                      7400         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 14                     NW 20        
DISPERSION            46 GEN GOOD               79 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. NORTHEAST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S TO MID 70S. NORTH WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S.
NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING
LIGHT. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO UPPER 70S.
SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO UPPER 70S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHEAST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-100930-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
420 AM EDT WED MAY 9 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       
TEMP (24H TREND)      63-68 (-2)   41-46 (-11)  62-67        
RH % (24H TREND)      45-50 (-19)  84-89 (-8)   31-36        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     N  6                      N  8         
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      NW  8 G19    N  6 G15     
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       2                                      
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM                                   
PRECIP END            8 PM                                   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.05         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6500                      7600         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   N 12                      N 17         
DISPERSION            33 FAIR                   66 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. EAST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S TO MID 70S. NORTH WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S.
EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 80S.
SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTHEAST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTHEAST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO MID 70S. LIGHT WINDS. 

$$

TNZ087-102-100930-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
420 AM EDT WED MAY 9 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       
TEMP (24H TREND)      67-72 (-5)   43-48 (-12)  67-72        
RH % (24H TREND)      43-48 (-21)  87-92 (+2)   30-35        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     N  9 G21                  N  9 G16     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     N  5         NW  6        N  7         
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       2                                      
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM                                   
PRECIP END            8 PM                                   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.04         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  3                         5            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6100                      7500         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   N 15                      N 18         
DISPERSION            51 GEN GOOD               85 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. EAST WINDS
UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO 70S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. NORTHEAST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHEAST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO MID 70S. EAST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO MID 70S. LIGHT WINDS. 

$$

NCZ060-061-100930-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
420 AM EDT WED MAY 9 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       
TEMP (24H TREND)      66-71 (-6)   43-48 (-12)  68-73        
RH % (24H TREND)      46-51 (-18)  88-93 (+1)   28-33        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     N  9 G19                  N  9 G17     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     N  7         NW  7        N  7 G15     
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       2                                      
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM                                   
PRECIP END            8 PM                                   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.05         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  3                         5            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6500                      8600         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   N 14                      N 20         
DISPERSION            49 GEN GOOD               108 VERY GOOD
MAX LVORI             4                         3            

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHEAST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO UPPER 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST EARLY IN THE
AFTERNOON. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO MID 70S. EAST WINDS UP
TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-100930-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
420 AM EDT WED MAY 9 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       
TEMP (24H TREND)      68-73 (-5)   44-49 (-10)  66-71        
RH % (24H TREND)      40-45 (-26)  85-90 (-6)   31-36        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NW  5                     NW  6        
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      NW  6        NW  5        
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       1                                      
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM                                   
PRECIP END            8 PM                                   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.05         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  3                         5            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6600                      6700         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 12                     NW 15        
DISPERSION            53 GEN GOOD               68 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. NORTHEAST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. NORTHEAST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S.
EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. EAST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTHEAST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-100930-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
420 AM EDT WED MAY 9 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       
TEMP (24H TREND)      69-74 (-6)   45-50 (-10)  67-72        
RH % (24H TREND)      35-40 (-26)  82-87 (-5)   30-35        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   N  7         
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      NW  6        N  5         
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       1                                      
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM                                   
PRECIP END            8 PM                                   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  3                         5            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6700                      7000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 13                     N 16         
DISPERSION            60 GEN GOOD               78 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S.
EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. NORTHEAST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO MID 70S. LIGHT WINDS. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-100930-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
420 AM EDT WED MAY 9 2012 /320 AM CDT WED MAY 9 2012/

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       
TEMP (24H TREND)      70-75 (-7)   45-50 (-12)  69-74        
RH % (24H TREND)      32-37 (-25)  84-89 (+1)   29-34        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     N  7 G17                  N  8 G16     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     N  6 G15     NW  7 G15    N  6         
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       1                                      
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM                                   
PRECIP END            8 PM                                   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  3                         5            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6400                      7200         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   N 16                      N 16         
DISPERSION            71 GOOD                   82 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHEAST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 70S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 50S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO UPPER 70S. NORTHEAST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO UPPER 70S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TD/SON

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