
346 
FNUS54 KMRX 081943
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
343 PM EDT TUE MAY 8 2012

.DISCUSSION...
A COLD FRONT...AND ASSOCIATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS...WILL MOVE 
THROUGH THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIAN REGION OVERNIGHT...AND WEDNESDAY 
MORNING. DRYING CONDITIONS...AND TEMPERATURES A LITTLE COOLER THAN 
NORMAL CAN BE EXPECTED BY WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON...AND WILL CONTINUE 
THROUGH THURSDAY. TEMPERATURES WILL REBOUND TO NEAR SEASONAL NORMALS 
BY THE END OF THE WEEK.


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-092045-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
343 PM EDT TUE MAY 8 2012

                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       
TEMP (24H TREND)      53-58 (-5)   67-72 (-3)   44-49        65-70        
RH % (24H TREND)      93-98 (+6)   43-48 (-26)  84-89        31-36        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   N  7 G17     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      NW  5        NW  5        N  9 G17     
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           30           0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       1            1                                      
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING                             
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   8 PM                                   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.04         0.04         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   3            1            1            1            
LASI                               4                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 8000                      6800         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 14                     N 15         
DISPERSION                         71 GOOD                   61 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO UPPER 70S. NORTH WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. EAST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO UPPER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S. LIGHT WINDS. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO UPPER 70S. LIGHT WINDS. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-092045-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
343 PM EDT TUE MAY 8 2012

                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       
TEMP (24H TREND)      51-56 (-6)   64-69 (-6)   42-47        63-68        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+6)  46-51 (-19)  85-90        32-37        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   NW  9 G19    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      NW  5        NW  5        NW 10 G18    
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           60           0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       1            2                                      
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING                             
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   8 PM                                   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.10         0.08         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   3            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 7000                      7500         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 14                     NW 17        
DISPERSION                         52 GEN GOOD               70 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S.
NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO UPPER 70S. NORTH WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S.
NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST AFTER
MIDNIGHT. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO UPPER 70S. SOUTH WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO UPPER 70S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-092045-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
343 PM EDT TUE MAY 8 2012

                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       
TEMP (24H TREND)      52-57 (-5)   64-69 (-6)   41-46        64-69        
RH % (24H TREND)      92-97 (+1)   42-47 (-22)  81-86        29-34        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   N  8         
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      NW  6        NW  6        N  8         
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           50           0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       1            1                                      
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING                             
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   8 PM                                   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.09         0.05         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   3            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 7400                      7700         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 12                     N 13         
DISPERSION                         43 GEN GOOD               52 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. EAST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO UPPER 70S. NORTH WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S.
EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST AFTER
MIDNIGHT. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO UPPER 70S. SOUTH WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO UPPER 70S. SOUTHEAST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO UPPER 70S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-092045-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
343 PM EDT TUE MAY 8 2012

                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       
TEMP (24H TREND)      55-60 (-4)   68-73 (-4)   43-48        71-76        
RH % (24H TREND)      93-98 (0)    40-45 (-27)  83-88        27-32        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   N  9 G16     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      N  6         NW  6        N  9         
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           50           0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       1            1                                      
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING                             
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   8 PM                                   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.09         0.04         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   3            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         5            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6900                      7600         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                N 13                      N 16         
DISPERSION                         54 GEN GOOD               78 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. EAST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 80S. NORTH WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 50. NORTHEAST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHEAST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO LOWER 80S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. EAST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO UPPER 70S. SOUTH WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-092045-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
343 PM EDT TUE MAY 8 2012

                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       
TEMP (24H TREND)      56-61 (-2)   67-72 (-4)   42-47        72-77        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (-1)  41-46 (-27)  83-88        25-30        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   N  9 G17     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      NW  6        NW  6        N  9         
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           60           0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       1            2                                      
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING                             
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   8 PM                                   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.11         0.05         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   3            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 7500                      8700         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 13                     N 16         
DISPERSION                         59 GEN GOOD               90 GOOD      
MAX LVORI                          4                         3            

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S.
NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. LIGHT WINDS
BECOMING NORTHWEST LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO UPPER 70S. SOUTHEAST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. EAST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO UPPER 70S. EAST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-092045-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
343 PM EDT TUE MAY 8 2012

                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       
TEMP (24H TREND)      54-59 (-5)   69-74 (-3)   44-49        67-72        
RH % (24H TREND)      93-98 (+3)   39-44 (-27)  86-91        30-35        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   NW  6        
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      NW  5        LGT/VAR      N  6         
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           40           0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       1            1                                      
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING                             
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   8 PM                                   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.07         0.05         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   3            1            1            1            
LASI                               4                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 7200                      6800         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 13                     N 13         
DISPERSION                         62 GOOD                   56 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. EAST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO UPPER 70S. NORTH WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. EAST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-092045-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
343 PM EDT TUE MAY 8 2012

                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       
TEMP (24H TREND)      55-60 (-5)   70-75 (-4)   45-50        69-74        
RH % (24H TREND)      91-96 (0)    34-39 (-27)  80-85        29-34        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   N  7         
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      NW  6        NW  5        N  7         
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           20           0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       1            1                                      
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING                             
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   8 PM                                   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.03         0.02         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   3            1            1            1            
LASI                               4                         5            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 7500                      7100         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 13                     N 13         
DISPERSION                         69 GOOD                   66 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. NORTHEAST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S.
EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID TO UPPER 70S. SOUTH WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-092045-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
343 PM EDT TUE MAY 8 2012 /243 PM CDT TUE MAY 8 2012/

                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       
TEMP (24H TREND)      56-61 (-5)   71-76 (-5)   45-50        71-76        
RH % (24H TREND)      88-93 (0)    32-37 (-26)  80-85        26-31        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW  6                     N  8 G16     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      N  6         NW  6        N  8         
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           30           0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       1            1                                      
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING                             
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   8 PM                                   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.04         0.02         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   3            1            1            1            
LASI                               5                         5            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 7400                      7300         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                N 14                      N 16         
DISPERSION                         74 GOOD                   85 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHEAST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. EAST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. EAST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 

$$

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