
081 
FNUS54 KMRX 071916
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
316 PM EDT MON MAY 7 2012

.DISCUSSION...
A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE TENNESSEE VALLEY TONIGHT AND 
TUESDAY ACCOMPANIED BY WIDESPREAD SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. DRY 
CONDITIONS...AND TEMPERATURES A LITTLE COOLER THAN NORMAL CAN BE 
EXPECTED BY WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON. TEMPERATURES WILL REBOUND TO NEAR 
SEASONAL NORMALS BY THE END OF THE WORK WEEK.


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-082030-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
316 PM EDT MON MAY 7 2012

                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      58-63 (+3)   72-77 (-5)   56-61        67-72        
RH % (24H TREND)      86-91 (-10)  54-59 (+5)   92-97        49-54        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S  9 G17                  LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  5         SW  6        LGT/VAR      NW  7        
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           70           50           30           
PRECIP DURATION       1            3            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   8 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.05         0.40         0.17         0.06         
LAL                   4            4            4            1            
LASI                               3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5800                      6800         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 21                     NW 16        
DISPERSION                         68 GOOD                   64 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER
50S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S. NORTH WINDS UP
TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 40S.
NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO
MID 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-082030-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
316 PM EDT MON MAY 7 2012

                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      56-61 (+3)   72-77 (-2)   54-59        65-70        
RH % (24H TREND)      87-92 (-7)   52-57 (+1)   95-100       52-57        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S  9 G17                  NW  5        
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE  6        SW  6        LGT/VAR      NW  8        
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           70           60           40           
PRECIP DURATION       1            3            2            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   8 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.05         0.61         0.21         0.18         
LAL                   3            4            4            1            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6000                      7100         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 17                     NW 16        
DISPERSION                         48 GEN GOOD               61 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 40S. NORTHWEST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S. NORTH WINDS UP
TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 40S.
NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHEAST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO MID
70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S
TO MID 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-082030-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
316 PM EDT MON MAY 7 2012

                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      57-62 (+2)   71-76 (-2)   54-59        65-70        
RH % (24H TREND)      85-90 (-5)   48-53 (-4)   91-96        48-53        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S  9 G18                  LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  5         W  6         LGT/VAR      NW  7        
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           70           60           40           
PRECIP DURATION       1            3            2            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   8 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.06         0.42         0.17         0.11         
LAL                   3            4            3            1            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6000                      7000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 16                     NW 14        
DISPERSION                         41 GEN GOOD               48 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S.
NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 70S. NORTH WINDS
UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 40S.
EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO 70S. LIGHT WINDS. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO
MID 70S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-082030-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
316 PM EDT MON MAY 7 2012

                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      61-66 (+4)   73-78 (-5)   57-62        70-75        
RH % (24H TREND)      81-86 (-6)   54-59 (+4)   91-96        43-48        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S  7 G15                  N  5         
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  5         W  6         LGT/VAR      NW  8        
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           70           50           30           
PRECIP DURATION       1            3            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   8 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.10         0.37         0.15         0.07         
LAL                   3            4            3            1            
LASI                               3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5900                      6600         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 14                     N 16         
DISPERSION                         47 GEN GOOD               62 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S.
NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 70S. NORTH WINDS
5 TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS
5 TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO UPPER
70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO
UPPER 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-082030-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
316 PM EDT MON MAY 7 2012

                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      61-66 (+5)   74-79 (-4)   56-61        70-75        
RH % (24H TREND)      80-85 (-8)   51-56 (+2)   92-97        45-50        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S  6                      NW  5        
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SW  6        LGT/VAR      NW  8        
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           70           60           40           
PRECIP DURATION       1            3            2            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   8 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.10         0.34         0.15         0.14         
LAL                   3            4            3            1            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6100                      6800         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 14                     NW 16        
DISPERSION                         45 GEN GOOD               63 GOOD      
MAX LVORI                          3                         4            

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER
50S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. NORTH WINDS
5 TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 40S. EAST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTHEAST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO UPPER
70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO
UPPER 70S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-082030-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
316 PM EDT MON MAY 7 2012

                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      59-64 (+3)   74-79 (-6)   56-61        69-74        
RH % (24H TREND)      86-91 (-4)   53-58 (+8)   95-100       47-52        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW  8 G15                 NW  5        
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SW  6        LGT/VAR      NW  7        
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           70           60           30           
PRECIP DURATION       1            3            2            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   8 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.05         0.51         0.18         0.10         
LAL                   3            4            3            1            
LASI                               3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5600                      6800         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 18                     NW 14        
DISPERSION                         63 GOOD                   65 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER
50S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO LOWER 70S. NORTH
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 40S.
NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTHEAST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO UPPER 70S. LIGHT WINDS. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO MID
70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER TO MID 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-082030-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
316 PM EDT MON MAY 7 2012

                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      62-67 (+3)   75-80 (-6)   57-62        71-76        
RH % (24H TREND)      82-87 (-2)   50-55 (+6)   90-95        39-44        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW  8                     LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      W  5         LGT/VAR      NW  6        
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           70           40           20           
PRECIP DURATION       1            3            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   8 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.10         0.40         0.10         0.02         
LAL                   4            4            3            1            
LASI                               3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5600                      6800         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 17                     NW 15        
DISPERSION                         64 GOOD                   74 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER
50S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. NORTH WINDS
UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. NORTHEAST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. SOUTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID
70S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-082030-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
316 PM EDT MON MAY 7 2012 /216 PM CDT MON MAY 7 2012/

                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      62-67 (+2)   76-81 (-5)   58-63        73-78        
RH % (24H TREND)      82-87 (0)    49-54 (+5)   86-91        36-41        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW  6                     N  5         
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  5         W  5         LGT/VAR      NW  8        
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           70           40           20           
PRECIP DURATION       1            3            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   8 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.16         0.42         0.09         0.01         
LAL                   4            4            3            1            
LASI                               3                         5            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5600                      6600         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 14                     N 17         
DISPERSION                         55 GEN GOOD               81 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS NEAR 50. NORTH WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. NORTH WINDS
5 TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. NORTHEAST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. SOUTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID
70S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

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