
850 
FNUS54 KMRX 070643
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
243 AM EDT MON MAY 7 2012

.DISCUSSION...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL WEAKEN AND MOVE EAST OF THE AREA TODAY. A COLD 
FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE TENNESSEE VALLEY TONIGHT AND TUESDAY 
ACCOMPANIED BY WIDESPREAD SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. TEMPERATURES 
WILL FALL CLOSER TO SEASONAL NORMALS BEHIND THIS SYSTEM. 


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-080745-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
243 AM EDT MON MAY 7 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       
TEMP (24H TREND)      77-82 (-1)   57-62 (+2)   72-77        
RH % (24H TREND)      45-50 (-1)   90-95 (-6)   53-58        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   SW  7        
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  5         LGT/VAR      SW  6        
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           40           80           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            8            
PRECIP BEGIN          2 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.03         0.26         
LAL                   2            4            3            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    8700                      5600         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW  9                     SW 21        
DISPERSION            56 GEN GOOD               63 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS
IN THE MID TO UPPER 50S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS NEAR 70. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS IN THE MID TO
UPPER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S. NORTH
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S
TO LOWER 70S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND
50. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO
MID 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-080745-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
243 AM EDT MON MAY 7 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       
TEMP (24H TREND)      74-79 (0)    54-59 (+1)   72-77        
RH % (24H TREND)      46-51 (-3)   95-100 (0)   53-58        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   S  7         
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      S  5         W  6         
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           30           80           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            8            
PRECIP BEGIN          2 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.03         0.27         
LAL                   3            3            3            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    9500                      5800         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW  6                     SW 16        
DISPERSION            35 FAIR                   42 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS
IN THE 50S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS IN THE 40S.
NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S. NORTH
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO
LOWER 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO MID 70S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-080745-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
243 AM EDT MON MAY 7 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       
TEMP (24H TREND)      73-78 (+1)   55-60 (0)    71-76        
RH % (24H TREND)      46-51 (-3)   93-98 (+3)   53-58        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   S  6         
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      S  5         SW  6        
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           30           80           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            8            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.05         0.05         0.31         
LAL                   3            3            3            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    8900                      5800         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW  7                     SW 16        
DISPERSION            37 FAIR                   37 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS
IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S TO MID 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS IN THE 40S.
NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO LOWER 70S.
NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
60S TO MID 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND
50. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO UPPER 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO
MID 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-080745-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
243 AM EDT MON MAY 7 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       
TEMP (24H TREND)      78-83 (-1)   58-63 (+1)   73-78        
RH % (24H TREND)      46-51 (+4)   91-96 (+4)   54-59        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   S  6         
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      S  5         SW  6        
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           50           80           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            8            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.08         0.05         0.33         
LAL                   3            3            3            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    8000                      5700         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 10                      SW 15        
DISPERSION            52 GEN GOOD               48 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS
IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE 60S TO MID 70S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS IN THE 40S TO
LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 70S.
NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
60S TO MID 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO UPPER 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO UPPER
70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-080745-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
243 AM EDT MON MAY 7 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       
TEMP (24H TREND)      78-83 (-1)   58-63 (+2)   73-78        
RH % (24H TREND)      46-51 (+5)   91-96 (+3)   55-60        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   S  5         
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SW  6        
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           50           80           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            8            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.09         0.06         0.33         
LAL                   3            3            3            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    9500                      5900         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S  8                      SW 14        
DISPERSION            51 GEN GOOD               43 GEN GOOD  
MAX LVORI             4                         4            

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS
IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY
IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO
LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S.
NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S
TO MID 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO UPPER 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO UPPER
70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-080745-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
243 AM EDT MON MAY 7 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       
TEMP (24H TREND)      80-85 (0)    57-62 (+1)   74-79        
RH % (24H TREND)      42-47 (-1)   90-95 (0)    55-60        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   SW  6        
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      W  6         
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           30           80           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            8            
PRECIP BEGIN          2 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.03         0.27         
LAL                   3            3            3            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    7900                      5300         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW  9                     SW 17        
DISPERSION            48 GEN GOOD               57 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS
IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS IN THE 40S.
NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S.
NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S
TO MID 70S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO MID
70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-080745-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
243 AM EDT MON MAY 7 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       
TEMP (24H TREND)      81-86 (0)    59-64 (0)    75-80        
RH % (24H TREND)      41-46 (-1)   86-91 (+2)   53-58        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   SW  6        
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  5         LGT/VAR      SW  6        
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           50           80           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            8            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.03         0.10         0.29         
LAL                   3            4            3            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    7300                      5400         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 12                     SW 17        
DISPERSION            59 GEN GOOD               64 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO MID 70S. NORTH WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. COOLER. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S.
NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S.
NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
60S TO MID 70S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-080745-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
243 AM EDT MON MAY 7 2012 /143 AM CDT MON MAY 7 2012/

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       
TEMP (24H TREND)      81-86 (-3)   59-64 (-1)   76-81        
RH % (24H TREND)      42-47 (+4)   89-94 (+7)   52-57        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   S  6         
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  6         LGT/VAR      SW  6        
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           50           80           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            8            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.08         0.13         0.30         
LAL                   3            4            3            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6800                      5400         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW  9                     SW 16        
DISPERSION            45 GEN GOOD               59 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS NEAR 60. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE 70S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. COOLER. LOWS NEAR 50. NORTHWEST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S.
NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE 70S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID TO UPPER 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

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