
319 
FNUS54 KMRX 061425 AAA
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...UPDATED
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
1025 AM EDT SUN MAY 6 2012

.DISCUSSION...
WEAK HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD OVER THE REGION TODAY.  A COLD 
FRONT IS FORECAST TO MOVE THROUGH THE AREA TUESDAY. 


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-071530-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
1025 AM EDT SUN MAY 6 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      77-82 (+8)   56-61 (0)    76-81        
RH % (24H TREND)      43-48 (-15)  90-95 (-7)   46-51        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SW  6        
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        NONE         TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           0            30           
PRECIP DURATION       1                         1            
PRECIP BEGIN          2 PM                      2 PM         
PRECIP END            8 PM                      CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.00         0.01         
LAL                   2            1            3            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    8200                      6200         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NE  7                     SW 10        
DISPERSION            34 FAIR                   39 FAIR      

REMARKS...A QUICK INCH OR MORE OF RAIN AND BRIEF STRONG GUSTY WINDS 
WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH ANY THUNDERSTORMS.

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN
THE LOWER TO MID 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS NEAR
70. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S
TO LOWER 70S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
60S TO MID 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-071530-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
1025 AM EDT SUN MAY 6 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      73-78 (+6)   54-59 (0)    74-79        
RH % (24H TREND)      47-52 (-6)   92-97 (-4)   46-51        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S  6         
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        NONE         TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           0            30           
PRECIP DURATION       1                         1            
PRECIP BEGIN          2 PM                      8 AM         
PRECIP END            8 PM                      CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.00         0.02         
LAL                   2            1            3            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    8900                      6400         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NE  7                     S  9         
DISPERSION            36 FAIR                   28 FAIR      

REMARKS...A QUICK INCH OR MORE OF RAIN AND BRIEF STRONG GUSTY WINDS
WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH ANY THUNDERSTORMS.

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN
THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN
THE 60S TO MID 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S
TO LOWER 70S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S
TO LOWER 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND
50. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO MID 70S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-071530-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
1025 AM EDT SUN MAY 6 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      72-77 (+2)   55-60 (+1)   74-79        
RH % (24H TREND)      44-49 (+1)   88-93 (-6)   47-52        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   S  5         
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SW  7        
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        NONE         TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           0            40           
PRECIP DURATION       1                         1            
PRECIP BEGIN          2 PM                      8 AM         
PRECIP END            8 PM                      CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.06         0.00         0.04         
LAL                   2            1            3            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    8600                      6300         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NE  8                     SW  8        
DISPERSION            40 FAIR                   23 FAIR      

REMARKS...A QUICK INCH OR MORE OF RAIN AND BRIEF STRONG GUSTY WINDS
WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH ANY THUNDERSTORMS.

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN
THE 70S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN
THE 60S TO MID 70S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S
TO LOWER 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S
TO MID 70S. EAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO UPPER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-071530-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
1025 AM EDT SUN MAY 6 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      79-84 (+1)   58-63 (+1)   76-81        
RH % (24H TREND)      38-43 (+2)   85-90 (-4)   49-54        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   S  6         
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S  6         
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        SHOWERS      TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           20           40           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          2 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.04         0.03         0.07         
LAL                   2            1            3            
LASI                  4                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    7900                      6200         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   N 12                      S 10         
DISPERSION            61 GOOD                   37 FAIR      

REMARKS...A QUICK INCH OR MORE OF RAIN AND BRIEF STRONG GUSTY WINDS
WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH ANY THUNDERSTORMS.

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN
THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. LIGHT WINDS. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN
THE 60S TO MID 70S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 60S TO MID 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
60S TO MID 70S. EAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO UPPER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-071530-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
1025 AM EDT SUN MAY 6 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      79-84 (+1)   57-62 (+1)   75-80        
RH % (24H TREND)      40-45 (+5)   86-91 (-3)   49-54        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   SE  6        
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S  6         
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        SHOWERS      TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           20           40           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          2 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.07         0.04         0.06         
LAL                   2            1            3            
LASI                  4                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    9400                      6300         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   N  9                      S 10         
DISPERSION            58 GEN GOOD               35 FAIR      
MAX LVORI             4                         4            

REMARKS...A QUICK INCH OR MORE OF RAIN AND BRIEF STRONG GUSTY WINDS
WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH ANY THUNDERSTORMS.

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN
THE 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. LIGHT WINDS. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN
THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S
TO MID 70S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 60S TO MID 70S. EAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-071530-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
1025 AM EDT SUN MAY 6 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      79-84 (+5)   56-61 (+1)   77-82        
RH % (24H TREND)      43-48 (-6)   90-95 (-6)   47-52        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SW  6        
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        NONE         TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           0            30           
PRECIP DURATION       1                         1            
PRECIP BEGIN          2 PM                      8 AM         
PRECIP END            8 PM                      CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.00         0.02         
LAL                   2            1            3            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    7400                      6000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NE  7                     SW  9        
DISPERSION            34 FAIR                   38 FAIR      

REMARKS...A QUICK INCH OR MORE OF RAIN AND BRIEF STRONG GUSTY WINDS
WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH ANY THUNDERSTORMS.

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN
THE 70S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN
THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID
60S TO LOWER 70S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S
TO MID 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO MID 70S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-071530-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
1025 AM EDT SUN MAY 6 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      82-87 (+4)   60-65 (+2)   78-83        
RH % (24H TREND)      39-44 (-7)   85-90 (-6)   48-53        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   S  5         
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SW  7        
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        NONE         TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           0            30           
PRECIP DURATION       1                         1            
PRECIP BEGIN          2 PM                      8 AM         
PRECIP END            8 PM                      CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.00         0.05         
LAL                   2            1            3            
LASI                  4                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    7400                      5900         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NE  9                     SW 13        
DISPERSION            51 GEN GOOD               50 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...A QUICK INCH OR MORE OF RAIN AND BRIEF STRONG GUSTY WINDS
WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH ANY THUNDERSTORMS.

.MONDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN
THE MID TO UPPER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS NEAR 60. LIGHT WINDS BECOMING WEST LESS THAN
10 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. NORTH WINDS
UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
60S TO MID 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-071530-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
1025 AM EDT SUN MAY 6 2012 /925 AM CDT SUN MAY 6 2012/

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      84-89 (+2)   61-66 (+1)   79-84        
RH % (24H TREND)      36-41 (-3)   84-89 (-2)   48-53        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   S  5         
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S  7         
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        SHOWERS      TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           20           40           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          2 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.03         0.05         0.10         
LAL                   2            1            3            
LASI                  4                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    7500                      6000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   N 12                      S 14         
DISPERSION            65 GOOD                   55 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...A QUICK INCH OR MORE OF RAIN AND BRIEF STRONG GUSTY WINDS
WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH ANY THUNDERSTORMS.

.MONDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN
THE UPPER 70S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 70S. NORTH WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO
MID 70S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S.
NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 

$$

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