
860 
FNUS54 KMRX 051843
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
243 PM EDT SAT MAY 5 2012

.DISCUSSION...
WEAK HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD OVER THE REGION TONIGHT INTO SUNDAY.  
A COLD FRONT IS FORECAST TO MOVE THROUGH THE AREA TUESDAY. 


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-061945-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
243 PM EDT SAT MAY 5 2012

                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      56-61 (-1)   76-81 (+2)   57-62        74-79        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+1)  45-50 (-13)  86-91        46-51        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   S  6         
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SW  9        
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        NONE         NONE         TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           0            0            30           
PRECIP DURATION       1                                      1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM                                   2 PM         
PRECIP END            12 AM                                  CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.00         0.00         0.05         
LAL                   2            1            1            3            
LASI                               4                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 7800                      6600         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NE  6                     SW 13        
DISPERSION                         29 FAIR                   51 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...A QUICK INCH OR MORE OF RAIN WILL BE POSSIBLE IN ANY
THUNDERSTORMS.

.MONDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS
IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN
THE LOWER TO MID 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S.
NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S
TO LOWER 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 60S TO MID 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO MID 70S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-061945-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
243 PM EDT SAT MAY 5 2012

                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      54-59 (-2)   75-80 (+2)   55-60        72-77        
RH % (24H TREND)      94-99 (+4)   43-48 (-10)  87-92        48-53        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   S  6         
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SE  5        S  8 G17     
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        NONE         TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           20           0            30           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1                         1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         2 PM                      2 PM         
PRECIP END            12 AM        8 PM                      CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.01         0.00         0.04         
LAL                   3            3            1            3            
LASI                               4                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 8500                      7300         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NE  7                     SW  8        
DISPERSION                         32 FAIR                   33 FAIR      

REMARKS...A QUICK INCH OR MORE OF RAIN WILL BE POSSIBLE IN ANY
THUNDERSTORMS.

.MONDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS
IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN
THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S.
NORTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S
TO LOWER 70S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S
TO MID 70S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-061945-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
243 PM EDT SAT MAY 5 2012

                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      54-59 (-3)   76-81 (-1)   56-61        72-77        
RH % (24H TREND)      88-93 (+5)   39-44 (-4)   83-88        48-53        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   S  5         
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      N  6         LGT/VAR      SW  6        
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        NONE         TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           20           0            30           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1                         1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         2 PM                      8 AM         
PRECIP END            12 AM        8 PM                      CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.01         0.00         0.07         
LAL                   2            2            1            3            
LASI                               4                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 8200                      7300         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NE  9                     SW  8        
DISPERSION                         41 GEN GOOD               30 FAIR      

REMARKS...A QUICK INCH OR MORE OF RAIN WILL BE POSSIBLE IN ANY
THUNDERSTORMS.

.MONDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS
IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN
THE 60S TO UPPER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 50S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S.
NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S
TO LOWER 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 60S TO MID 70S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-061945-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
243 PM EDT SAT MAY 5 2012

                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      57-62 (-1)   81-86 (-3)   59-64        76-81        
RH % (24H TREND)      89-94 (+3)   36-41 (0)    81-86        48-53        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   S  7         
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      N  6         LGT/VAR      S  7         
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        SHOWERS      TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           20           20           40           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         2 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            12 AM        CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.02         0.03         0.12         
LAL                   2            2            1            3            
LASI                               5                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 7500                      6500         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NE 10                     S 10         
DISPERSION                         49 GEN GOOD               40 FAIR      

REMARKS...A QUICK INCH OR MORE OF RAIN WILL BE POSSIBLE IN ANY
THUNDERSTORMS.

.MONDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS
IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN
THE 70S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S.
NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO MID
70S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO
70S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-061945-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
243 PM EDT SAT MAY 5 2012

                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      56-61 (-1)   82-87 (-3)   58-63        74-79        
RH % (24H TREND)      90-95 (+2)   36-41 (+1)   81-86        50-55        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   SE  6        
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S  7         
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        SHOWERS      TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           20           20           40           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         2 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            12 AM        CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.02         0.04         0.11         
LAL                   2            2            1            3            
LASI                               4                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 9000                      6500         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NE  5                     S  8         
DISPERSION                         29 FAIR                   31 FAIR      
MAX LVORI                          4                         3            

REMARKS...A QUICK INCH OR MORE OF RAIN WILL BE POSSIBLE IN ANY
THUNDERSTORMS.

.MONDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS
IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN
THE 70S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S.
NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID
60S TO LOWER 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
60S TO MID 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP
TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-061945-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
243 PM EDT SAT MAY 5 2012

                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      55-60 (-3)   81-86 (+3)   58-63        76-81        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (0)   39-44 (-10)  85-90        46-51        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   S  5         
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SW  7 G15    
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        NONE         NONE         TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           0            0            30           
PRECIP DURATION       1                                      1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM                                   2 PM         
PRECIP END            12 AM                                  CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.00         0.00         0.05         
LAL                   2            1            1            3            
LASI                               4                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 7000                      6600         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NE  8                     SW 12        
DISPERSION                         38 FAIR                   49 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...A QUICK INCH OR MORE OF RAIN WILL BE POSSIBLE IN ANY
THUNDERSTORMS.

.MONDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS
IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN
THE 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO MID 70S. NORTH
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S
TO LOWER 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S
TO MID 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-061945-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
243 PM EDT SAT MAY 5 2012

                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      58-63 (-2)   82-87 (+2)   60-65        78-83        
RH % (24H TREND)      90-95 (-1)   35-40 (-11)  82-87        46-51        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   S  7 G17     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SW  8 G16    
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        NONE         NONE         TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           0            0            40           
PRECIP DURATION       1                                      1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM                                   8 AM         
PRECIP END            12 AM                                  CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.00         0.00         0.13         
LAL                   2            1            1            3            
LASI                               5                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 7000                      6300         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NE  9                     SW 14        
DISPERSION                         48 GEN GOOD               61 GOOD      

REMARKS...A QUICK INCH OR MORE OF RAIN WILL BE POSSIBLE IN ANY
THUNDERSTORMS.

.MONDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS
IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN
THE 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. NORTH WINDS UP
TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S.
NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-061945-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
243 PM EDT SAT MAY 5 2012 /143 PM CDT SAT MAY 5 2012/

                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      60-65 (-2)   84-89 (-1)   62-67        79-84        
RH % (24H TREND)      88-93 (+1)   33-38 (-6)   80-85        45-50        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   S  7 G15     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      NE  6        LGT/VAR      S  8         
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        SHOWERS      TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           20           20           40           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         2 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            12 AM        CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.03         0.05         0.20         
LAL                   2            2            1            3            
LASI                               5                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 7100                      5800         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NE 12                     S 14         
DISPERSION                         61 GOOD                   55 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...A QUICK INCH OR MORE OF RAIN WILL BE POSSIBLE IN ANY
THUNDERSTORMS.

.MONDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS
IN THE MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN
THE UPPER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS AROUND 60. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH
SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 70S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER TO MID 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S.
NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO MID 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

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