
188 
FNUS54 KMRX 051424 AAA
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
1024 AM EDT SAT MAY 5 2012

.DISCUSSION...
A COLD FRONT WILL SAG SOUTH TO NEAR THE NORTHERN TENNESSEE BORDER 
TODAY. WARM AND HUMID CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE AREA. 
NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP AHEAD OF 
THE FRONT. 


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-061530-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
1024 AM EDT SAT MAY 5 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      76-81 (-2)   57-62 (0)    78-83        
RH % (24H TREND)      51-56 (+6)   90-95 (-5)   43-48        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W  6                      LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  7        LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           30           20           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   2 PM         
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   8 AM         CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.38         0.15         0.01         
LAL                   4            3            3            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    7500                      6300         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 20                      E  7         
DISPERSION            91 GOOD                   24 FAIR      

REMARKS...A QUICK INCH OR MORE OF RAIN WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH ANY 
THUNDERSTORMS.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID
50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
TO MID 70S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S.
NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S
TO LOWER 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 60S TO MID 70S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-061530-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
1024 AM EDT SAT MAY 5 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      74-79 (-1)   55-60 (-1)   77-82        
RH % (24H TREND)      50-55 (+7)   95-100 (+6)  41-46        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W  8 G17                  LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  9 G17     NW  5        LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           30           30           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   2 PM         
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   8 AM         CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.43         0.18         0.02         
LAL                   4            3            3            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    8400                      6500         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 23                     E  6         
DISPERSION            115 VERY GOOD             19 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...A QUICK INCH OR MORE OF RAIN WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH ANY 
THUNDERSTORMS.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S.
NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S
TO LOWER 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S
TO MID 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-061530-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
1024 AM EDT SAT MAY 5 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      77-82 (+2)   56-61 (-1)   78-83        
RH % (24H TREND)      42-47 (+1)   95-100 (+12) 39-44        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W  7 G15                  LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  8 G16     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           30           30           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   2 PM         
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   8 AM         CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.36         0.15         0.05         
LAL                   4            3            3            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    7800                      6600         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 18                     N  8         
DISPERSION            76 GOOD                   24 FAIR      

REMARKS...A QUICK INCH OR MORE OF RAIN WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH ANY 
THUNDERSTORMS.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP
TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE 60S TO UPPER 70S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO
MID 70S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S
TO LOWER 70S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-061530-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
1024 AM EDT SAT MAY 5 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      83-88 (+5)   58-63 (0)    82-87        
RH % (24H TREND)      39-44 (-7)   91-96 (+5)   37-42        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W  5                      LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  6        LGT/VAR      NW  5        
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           20           20           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   2 PM         
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   8 AM         CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.21         0.17         0.06         
LAL                   4            3            3            
LASI                  4                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    7900                      6600         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 15                     N 10         
DISPERSION            77 GOOD                   40 FAIR      

REMARKS...A QUICK INCH OR MORE OF RAIN WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH ANY 
THUNDERSTORMS.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE 70S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S.
NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO MID
70S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO
70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-061530-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
1024 AM EDT SAT MAY 5 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      84-89 (+6)   56-61 (-1)   81-86        
RH % (24H TREND)      38-43 (-7)   92-97 (+4)   37-42        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NW  5                     LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  6        LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           20           30           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   2 PM         
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   8 AM         CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.22         0.14         0.10         
LAL                   3            3            3            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    8700                      6700         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 18                     N  9         
DISPERSION            103 VERY GOOD             35 FAIR      
MAX LVORI             4                         4            

REMARKS...A QUICK INCH OR MORE OF RAIN WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH ANY 
THUNDERSTORMS.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS NEAR 60. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE 70S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S.
NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID
60S TO LOWER 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
60S TO MID 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-061530-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
1024 AM EDT SAT MAY 5 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      78-83 (-1)   57-62 (-1)   80-85        
RH % (24H TREND)      50-55 (+9)   95-100 (+3)  42-47        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW  5                     LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  6         LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           30           20           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   2 PM         
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   8 AM         CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.41         0.17         0.01         
LAL                   4            3            3            
LASI                  3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    7400                      6100         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 20                      E  6         
DISPERSION            99 GOOD                   24 FAIR      

REMARKS...A QUICK INCH OR MORE OF RAIN WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH ANY 
THUNDERSTORMS.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS NEAR 60. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE 70S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO MID 70S. NORTH WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S
TO LOWER 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S
TO MID 70S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-061530-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
1024 AM EDT SAT MAY 5 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      80-85 (0)    59-64 (-1)   82-87        
RH % (24H TREND)      45-50 (+4)   95-100 (+4)  40-45        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W  5                      LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  6         LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           30           20           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   2 PM         
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   8 AM         CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.34         0.16         0.02         
LAL                   4            3            3            
LASI                  4                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6800                      6200         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 16                      N  7         
DISPERSION            79 GOOD                   30 FAIR      

REMARKS...A QUICK INCH OR MORE OF RAIN WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH ANY 
THUNDERSTORMS.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS
UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE 70S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. NORTH
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-061530-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
1024 AM EDT SAT MAY 5 2012 /924 AM CDT SAT MAY 5 2012/

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      84-89 (+3)   60-65 (-2)   84-89        
RH % (24H TREND)      42-47 (-1)   91-96 (+4)   38-43        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W  5                      LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  5         LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           20           20           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   2 PM         
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   8 AM         CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.15         0.23         0.02         
LAL                   3            2            2            
LASI                  4                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    7000                      6300         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 13                     NW  8        
DISPERSION            63 GOOD                   35 FAIR      

REMARKS...A QUICK INCH OR MORE OF RAIN WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH ANY 
THUNDERSTORMS.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S. NORTH
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER TO MID 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

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