
787 
FNUS54 KMRX 021115
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
715 AM EDT WED MAY 2 2012

.DISCUSSION...
A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL REMAIN ACROSS THE SOUTHERN 
APPALACHIANS TODAY PRODUCING VERY WARM CONDITIONS OVER THE REGION. 
SOUTHERLY WINDS WILL PULL GULF MOISTURE BACK INTO THE TENNESSEE 
VALLEY FOR THURSDAY PRODUCING A CHANCE OF MAINLY AFTERNOON AND 
EVENING THUNDERSTORMS.

A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE INTO THE REGION FOR THIS WEEKEND INCREASING 
THE CHANCES OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-031215-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
715 AM EDT WED MAY 2 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      83-88 (+4)   58-63 (0)    84-89        
RH % (24H TREND)      33-38 (-10)  83-88 (-2)   28-33        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW  6                     LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  5        LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        NONE         TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           0            10           
PRECIP DURATION       1                         1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM                      8 AM         
PRECIP END            8 PM                      CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.00         0.01         
LAL                   2            1            1            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    7300                      9200         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 16                      SW  5        
DISPERSION            74 GOOD                   30 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST AFTER
MIDNIGHT. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 80S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO UPPER 80S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS AROUND 60. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO UPPER 80S. EAST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-031215-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
715 AM EDT WED MAY 2 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      81-86 (+4)   55-60 (-1)   81-86        
RH % (24H TREND)      31-36 (-12)  79-84 (-9)   30-35        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W  6 G15                  LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  5        S  5         LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        NONE         TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           0            20           
PRECIP DURATION       1                         1            
PRECIP BEGIN          2 PM                      8 AM         
PRECIP END            8 PM                      CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.00         0.03         
LAL                   2            1            2            
LASI                  3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    7500                      10000        
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 12                      S  3         
DISPERSION            45 GEN GOOD               22 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE 70S TO MID 80S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE 70S TO 80S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO UPPER 80S. EAST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS
UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S TO MID 80S. WEST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-031215-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
715 AM EDT WED MAY 2 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      79-84 (+2)   54-59 (-3)   76-81        
RH % (24H TREND)      27-32 (-15)  80-85 (-3)   30-35        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W  6                      LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        NONE         TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           0            20           
PRECIP DURATION       1                         1            
PRECIP BEGIN          2 PM                      8 AM         
PRECIP END            8 PM                      8 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.00         0.06         
LAL                   2            1            3            
LASI                  4                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    7100                      6000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW  7                     S  5         
DISPERSION            26 FAIR                   12 POOR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER
60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S TO MID 80S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE 60S TO UPPER 80S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 80S. SOUTH
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 80S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-031215-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
715 AM EDT WED MAY 2 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      83-88 (+1)   56-61 (-4)   79-84        
RH % (24H TREND)      33-38 (-7)   82-87 (+1)   41-46        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            30           
PRECIP DURATION                                 1            
PRECIP BEGIN                                    8 AM         
PRECIP END                                      8 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.06         
LAL                   1            1            3            
LASI                  4                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    7100                      7300         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW  9                     S  9         
DISPERSION            38 FAIR                   41 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S.
SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE 70S TO MID 80S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 90S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO UPPER
80S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS AROUND 60. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO UPPER 80S. SOUTH WINDS
5 TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTH
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-031215-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
715 AM EDT WED MAY 2 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      80-85 (-2)   55-60 (-4)   79-84        
RH % (24H TREND)      33-38 (-7)   84-89 (+1)   38-43        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  5         LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            20           
PRECIP DURATION                                 1            
PRECIP BEGIN                                    8 AM         
PRECIP END                                      8 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.06         
LAL                   1            1            3            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    7400                      8300         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW  8                     S 10         
DISPERSION            34 FAIR                   52 GEN GOOD  
MAX LVORI             3                         3            

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S.
SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 80S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO LOWER 90S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO UPPER
80S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO UPPER 80S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-031215-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
715 AM EDT WED MAY 2 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      84-89 (+2)   56-61 (-2)   83-88        
RH % (24H TREND)      31-36 (-10)  86-91 (+2)   30-35        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW  6                     LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  5        LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            20           
PRECIP DURATION                                 1            
PRECIP BEGIN                                    8 AM         
PRECIP END                                      8 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.04         
LAL                   1            1            2            
LASI                  4                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6900                      6400         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 14                      SW  3        
DISPERSION            63 GOOD                   17 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER
60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST
AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 80S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE 70S TO UPPER 80S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS AROUND 60. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO UPPER 80S.
EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTH WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 80S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-031215-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
715 AM EDT WED MAY 2 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      85-90 (+3)   59-64 (-2)   81-86        
RH % (24H TREND)      32-37 (-8)   80-85 (0)    36-41        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW  5                     LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  5        LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            30           
PRECIP DURATION                                 1            
PRECIP BEGIN                                    8 AM         
PRECIP END                                      8 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.06         
LAL                   1            1            3            
LASI                  4                         5            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6900                      6400         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 13                     S  7         
DISPERSION            63 GOOD                   33 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID
60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE 70S TO UPPER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE 80S TO LOWER 90S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO
LOWER 90S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO UPPER 80S. SOUTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO UPPER 80S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-031215-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
715 AM EDT WED MAY 2 2012 /615 AM CDT WED MAY 2 2012/

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      86-91 (+2)   61-66 (-1)   78-83        
RH % (24H TREND)      33-38 (-5)   83-88 (+6)   44-49        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  5         LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            40           
PRECIP DURATION                                 1            
PRECIP BEGIN                                    8 AM         
PRECIP END                                      8 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.06         
LAL                   1            1            4            
LASI                  4                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6800                      6000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 10                     S 10         
DISPERSION            53 GEN GOOD               42 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 60S.
SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE 70S TO UPPER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE 80S TO LOWER 90S. NORTHWEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 80S TO LOWER
90S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO UPPER 80S. SOUTH WINDS
UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS AROUND 60. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTH WINDS UP
TO 10 MPH. 

$$

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