
091 
FNUS54 KMRX 230921
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
521 AM EDT MON APR 23 2012

.DISCUSSION...
AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE WILL MOVE NORTHEAST ALONG THE ATLANTIC 
COAST...AS AN UPPER LEVEL LOW PRESSURE AREA ALSO LINGERS ACROSS THE 
NORTHEAST PART OF THE TENNESSEE VALLEY TODAY. A MIX OF RAIN AND SNOW 
SHOWERS IS EXPECTED TODAY...FOLLOWED BY NEAR FREEZING TEMPERATURES 
TONIGHT. A WARMING TREND BEGINS TUESDAY WITH A CONTINUED CHANCE OF 
SHOWERS AS A WEAK SYSTEM MOVES SOUTHEAST INTO THE TENNESSEE VALLEY.

VAZ001-002-005-006-008-241030-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
521 AM EDT MON APR 23 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      45-50 (-2)   29-34 (-3)   53-58        
RH % (24H TREND)      42-47 (-22)  85-90 (-1)   32-37        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NW 17 G28                 W 12 G25     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW 16 G28    NW 13 G25    W 15 G26     
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      NONE         SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           0            20           
PRECIP DURATION       2                         1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM                      8 AM         
PRECIP END            8 PM                      CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.05         0.00         0.02         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    7200                      8500         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 35                     NW 31        
DISPERSION            154 VERY GOOD             172 VERY GOOD

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
SOUTH LESS THAN 10 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO
LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. WARMER. LOWS
IN THE LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO LOWER 70S. NORTH WINDS
UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO
MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO
LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-241030-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
521 AM EDT MON APR 23 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      43-48 (-5)   28-33 (-4)   52-57        
RH % (24H TREND)      36-41 (-18)  78-83 (-1)   29-34        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NW 19 G32                 W 14 G27     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW 18 G32    NW 15 G30    W 17 G30     
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      NONE         SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           0            20           
PRECIP DURATION       2                         1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM                      8 AM         
PRECIP END            8 PM                      CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.06         0.00         0.05         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    7700                      9000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 37                     NW 33        
DISPERSION            156 VERY GOOD             179 VERY GOOD

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
50S TO LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S TO MID 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO MID
70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-241030-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
521 AM EDT MON APR 23 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      46-51 (-2)   30-35 (-2)   52-57        
RH % (24H TREND)      29-34 (-22)  69-74 (-9)   29-34        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NW 17 G30                 W 12 G29     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW 17 G30    NW 14 G29    NW 10 G29    
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      NONE         SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           0            20           
PRECIP DURATION       1                         1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM                      8 AM         
PRECIP END            2 PM                      CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.00         0.03         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    7500                      8700         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 31                     NW 28        
DISPERSION            119 VERY GOOD             133 VERY GOOD

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 30S TO UPPER 40S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
SOUTHWEST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH
DECREASING TO 5 TO 10 MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO LOWER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO LOWER 70S. EAST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO
MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO MID
70S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-241030-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
521 AM EDT MON APR 23 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      51-56 (-5)   33-38 (-3)   58-63        
RH % (24H TREND)      28-33 (-16)  79-84 (+1)   29-34        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NW 16 G27                 NW  9 G23    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW 16 G27    NW 11 G25    NW  9 G23    
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            20           
PRECIP DURATION                                 1            
PRECIP BEGIN                                    2 PM         
PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.01         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  4                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6900                      8100         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 30                     NW 23        
DISPERSION            124 VERY GOOD             123 VERY GOOD

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER TO MID 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
SOUTHWEST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS
5 TO 15 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE 60S TO 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S TO MID 70S. EAST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO UPPER
70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S.
SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-241030-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
521 AM EDT MON APR 23 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      52-57 (-5)   32-37 (-4)   58-63        
RH % (24H TREND)      24-29 (-18)  76-81 (0)    27-32        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NW 16 G28                 NW 11 G24    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW 16 G28    NW 12 G25    NW 10 G24    
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            20           
PRECIP DURATION                                 1            
PRECIP BEGIN                                    2 PM         
PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.01         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    7300                      8600         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 33                     NW 26        
DISPERSION            145 VERY GOOD             143 VERY GOOD
MAX LVORI             2                         2            

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
SOUTHWEST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. WARMER. LOWS
IN THE 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE 60S TO MID 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. EAST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO UPPER
70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S.
SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-241030-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
521 AM EDT MON APR 23 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      48-53 (-4)   29-34 (-5)   56-61        
RH % (24H TREND)      33-38 (-19)  87-92 (+4)   33-38        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NW 16 G27                 W 11 G25     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW 16 G27    NW 12 G24    W 15 G27     
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      NONE         SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           0            20           
PRECIP DURATION       1                         1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM                      8 AM         
PRECIP END            2 PM                      CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.00         0.03         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  4                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    7500                      8800         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 31                     NW 31        
DISPERSION            161 VERY GOOD             190 VERY GOOD

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
SOUTHEAST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S TO MID 70S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. EAST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S. SOUTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S.
EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-241030-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
521 AM EDT MON APR 23 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      51-56 (-4)   34-39 (-1)   58-63        
RH % (24H TREND)      28-33 (-14)  79-84 (+3)   33-38        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NW 15 G27                 W 10 G25     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW 15 G27    NW 10 G23    NW  8 G25    
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            10           
PRECIP DURATION                                 1            
PRECIP BEGIN                                    2 PM         
PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.01         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  4                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    7000                      8300         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 30                     NW 26        
DISPERSION            149 VERY GOOD             162 VERY GOOD

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO UPPER 70S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE 60S TO 70S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S TO MID 70S. EAST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S. SOUTH WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-241030-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
521 AM EDT MON APR 23 2012 /421 AM CDT MON APR 23 2012/

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          

CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      54-59 (-6)   35-40 (-2)   61-66        
RH % (24H TREND)      27-32 (-7)   81-86 (+9)   28-33        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NW 15 G27                 W  8 G21     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW 15 G27    NW 10 G23    NW 10 G21    
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            
PRECIP DURATION                                              
PRECIP BEGIN                                                 
PRECIP END                                                   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  4                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6500                      7800         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 29                     NW 23        
DISPERSION            135 VERY GOOD             130 VERY GOOD

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO LOWER 80S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO UPPER 70S. EAST WINDS
UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER
80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO
MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TG/TD

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