
596 
FNUS54 KMRX 211923
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
323 PM EDT SAT APR 21 2012

.DISCUSSION...
A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE SLOWLY EAST THROUGH THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIANS 
TONIGHT...BRINGING A SLIGHT CHANCE FOR SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS.
A COOLING TREND WILL CONTINUE THROUGH MONDAY...AS COLDER AIR FILTERS INTO
THE REGION BEHIND THE FRONTAL PASSAGE.


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-222030-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
323 PM EDT SAT APR 21 2012

                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      40-45 (-12)  50-55 (-9)   32-37        47-52        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+7)  48-53 (-13)  81-86        36-41        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  N  9 G18                  NW 14 G26    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     N  6         N 12 G20     NW 10 G20    NW 15 G26    
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           30           30           30           
PRECIP DURATION       2            1            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   2 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.08         0.09         0.05         0.01         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6100                      7100         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                N 18                      NW 36        
DISPERSION                         63 GOOD                   154 VERY GOOD

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. WEST WINDS
5 TO 15 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. WEST
WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. WARMER. HIGHS IN
THE LOWER 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID
40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S
TO UPPER 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
60S TO LOWER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-222030-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
323 PM EDT SAT APR 21 2012

                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      40-45 (-11)  51-56 (-7)   31-36        45-50        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+8)  47-52 (-14)  84-89        32-37        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  N 10 G19                  NW 16 G30    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     N  6         NW 14 G24    NW 13 G25    NW 17 G30    
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           30           30           30           
PRECIP DURATION       2            1            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   2 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.11         0.12         0.06         0.01         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6600                      7600         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 18                     NW 37        
DISPERSION                         62 GOOD                   155 VERY GOOD

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS
5 TO 20 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST
WINDS 5 TO 20 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. WARMER. HIGHS IN
THE LOWER 60S TO MID 70S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID
40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S TO MID 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 50S TO LOWER 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
60S TO LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-222030-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
323 PM EDT SAT APR 21 2012

                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      39-44 (-11)  50-55 (-6)   32-37        47-52        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+4)  42-47 (-26)  80-85        25-30        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  N 10 G21                  NW 13 G28    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     N  5         NW 15 G27    NW 13 G28    NW 16 G28    
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           20           30           20           
PRECIP DURATION       5            1            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   2 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.06         0.04         0.02         0.01         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6300                      7300         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                N 18                      NW 30        
DISPERSION                         52 GEN GOOD               109 VERY GOOD

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S.
WEST WINDS 5 TO 20 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S TO MID 60S. WEST
WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. WARMER. HIGHS IN
THE 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S TO MID 70S. NORTH
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S
TO LOWER 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-222030-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
323 PM EDT SAT APR 21 2012

                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      40-45 (-11)  55-60 (-6)   34-39        52-57        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (0)   40-45 (-28)  76-81        30-35        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  N 12 G23                  NW 12 G24    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     N  7 G15     N 15 G25     NW 10 G23    NW 14 G24    
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           20           0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       1            1                                      
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING                             
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   8 PM                                   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.04         0.01         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5700                      6700         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                N 23                      N 32         
DISPERSION                         72 GOOD                   131 VERY GOOD

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. NORTHWEST
WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S TO MID 60S. WEST
WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. WARMER. HIGHS IN
THE MID 60S TO UPPER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO 70S. NORTH WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO
LOWER 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
60S TO MID 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-222030-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
323 PM EDT SAT APR 21 2012

                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      41-46 (-10)  55-60 (-7)   34-39        53-58        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (0)   41-46 (-25)  76-81        25-30        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  N 11 G23                  NW 13 G24    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     N  6         NW 15 G25    NW 11 G24    NW 15 G25    
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           20           0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       1            1                                      
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING                             
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   8 PM                                   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.04         0.02         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6200                      7200         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                N 22                      N 36         
DISPERSION                         75 GOOD                   150 VERY GOOD
MAX LVORI                          4                         1            

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. NORTHWEST
WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S TO MID 60S.
NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S.
WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. WARMER. HIGHS IN
THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S TO MID 70S.
NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID
60S TO LOWER 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-222030-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
323 PM EDT SAT APR 21 2012

                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      42-47 (-10)  55-60 (-7)   33-38        50-55        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+4)  42-47 (-16)  82-87        31-36        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  N  9 G17                  NW 13 G25    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     N  5         N 11 G20     NW 10 G20    NW 15 G25    
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           30           30           20           
PRECIP DURATION       2            1            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   2 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.07         0.07         0.03         0.01         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6400                      7400         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                N 17                      NW 32        
DISPERSION                         71 GOOD                   162 VERY GOOD

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. WEST
WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. WEST WINDS
5 TO 15 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. WARMER. HIGHS IN
THE 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S TO MID 70S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S
TO LOWER 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S
TO LOWER 70S. LIGHT WINDS. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-222030-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
323 PM EDT SAT APR 21 2012

                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      41-46 (-12)  57-62 (-3)   35-40        52-57        
RH % (24H TREND)      94-99 (+3)   36-41 (-25)  76-81        29-34        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  N 10 G21                  NW 11 G23    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     N  6         N 13 G23     NW  9 G21    NW 14 G24    
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           20           0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       1            1                                      
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING                             
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING                             
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.04         0.01         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5900                      6900         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                N 21                      NW 30        
DISPERSION                         81 GOOD                   143 VERY GOOD

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S.
NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST LESS THAN 10 MPH
AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO UPPER 60S. WEST
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. WARMER. HIGHS IN
THE 60S TO UPPER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO UPPER 70S. NORTH WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID
60S TO LOWER 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-222030-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
323 PM EDT SAT APR 21 2012 /223 PM CDT SAT APR 21 2012/

                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      42-47 (-13)  59-64 (-3)   35-40        54-59        
RH % (24H TREND)      91-96 (0)    33-38 (-25)  80-85        26-31        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  N 13 G24                  NW 11 G22    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     N  7 G15     N 14 G25     NW 10 G22    NW 13 G22    
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     10           0            0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       1                                                   
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM                                                
PRECIP END            CONTINUING                                          
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.00         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               4                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5400                      6400         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                N 24                      N 31         
DISPERSION                         89 GOOD                   139 VERY GOOD

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S.
WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO LOWER 70S.
WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID TO UPPER 40S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. WARMER. HIGHS IN
THE 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO UPPER 70S. NORTH WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE
60S TO UPPER 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

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