
541 
FNUS54 KMRX 210839
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
439 AM EDT SAT APR 21 2012

.DISCUSSION...
A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE SLOWLY EAST THROUGH THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIANS 
THIS AFTERNOON...BRINGING SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS. AN 
UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE MAY KEEP CLOUDS AROUND TONIGHT...AND A FEW 
LINGERING SHOWERS AS WELL. A COOLING TREND WILL BEGIN SUNDAY THROUGH 
MONDAY...AS COLDER AIR FILTERS INTO THE REGION BEHIND THE FRONTAL 
PASSAGE.

VAZ001-002-005-006-008-220930-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
439 AM EDT SAT APR 21 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      62-67 (-9)   41-46 (-11)  52-57        
RH % (24H TREND)      55-60 (+12)  95-100 (+5)  45-50        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW  5                     N  8 G16     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  6        N  6         N 11 G19     
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           60           30           
PRECIP DURATION       5            2            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.35         0.08         0.09         
LAL                   2            1            1            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4400                      6300         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 12                     N 16         
DISPERSION            24 FAIR                   58 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE MID 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST
WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH INCREASING TO 15 TO 20 MPH EARLY IN THE
AFTERNOON. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. WEST WINDS
5 TO 15 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
50S TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. WARMER.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO LOWER 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO
LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-220930-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
439 AM EDT SAT APR 21 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      61-66 (-8)   41-46 (-10)  53-58        
RH % (24H TREND)      54-59 (+6)   95-100 (+11) 45-50        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW  5                     N  8 G18     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  6        N  6         NW 13 G23    
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           70           30           
PRECIP DURATION       5            2            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.37         0.11         0.12         
LAL                   2            1            1            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5400                      6800         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 12                      NW 15        
DISPERSION            26 FAIR                   53 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO UPPER 50S.
NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 20 MPH INCREASING TO 15 TO 20 MPH EARLY IN
THE AFTERNOON. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 30S. WEST WINDS 5 TO
20 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
50S TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. WARMER.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 70S. WEST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP
TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
60S TO MID 70S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-220930-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
439 AM EDT SAT APR 21 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      59-64 (-9)   40-45 (-10)  52-57        
RH % (24H TREND)      59-64 (+10)  95-100 (+15) 42-47        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   N  9 G19     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  5        N  5         N 13 G23     
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           80           20           
PRECIP DURATION       5            5            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   8 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.33         0.06         0.04         
LAL                   2            1            1            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5500                      6500         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W  7                      N 16         
DISPERSION            15 GEN POOR               47 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS
5 TO 15 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO UPPER 50S.
NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 20 MPH. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S.
NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 20 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. WEST
WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. WARMER.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S TO MID 70S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP
TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID
60S TO LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-220930-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
439 AM EDT SAT APR 21 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      64-69 (-6)   41-46 (-10)  57-62        
RH % (24H TREND)      60-65 (+7)   95-100 (+8)  37-42        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   N 12 G23     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      N  7 G15     N 13 G24     
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           40           20           
PRECIP DURATION       2            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   8 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.26         0.04         0.01         
LAL                   2            1            1            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4800                      5900         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW  6                     N 22         
DISPERSION            14 GEN POOR               73 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S.
NORTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 60S.
NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. WEST WINDS
5 TO 15 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S TO MID 60S. WEST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. WARMER. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS
IN THE LOWER 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO 70S. NORTHWEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO
MID 70S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-220930-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
439 AM EDT SAT APR 21 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      65-70 (-5)   42-47 (-9)   57-62        
RH % (24H TREND)      58-63 (+6)   95-100 (+8)  37-42        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   N 11 G23     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      N  6         N 14 G24     
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           50           20           
PRECIP DURATION       2            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   8 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.29         0.04         0.02         
LAL                   2            1            1            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6000                      6400         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W  6                      N 20         
DISPERSION            19 GEN POOR               71 GOOD      
MAX LVORI             5                         4            

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S.
NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST
WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. NORTHWEST
WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S TO MID 60S. WEST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. WARMER. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE
60S TO MID 70S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S TO
MID 70S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
60S TO MID 70S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-220930-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
439 AM EDT SAT APR 21 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      65-70 (-7)   43-48 (-9)   57-62        
RH % (24H TREND)      51-56 (+6)   95-100 (+6)  38-43        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW  5                     N  7 G15     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  6        N  5         N 11 G18     
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           60           30           
PRECIP DURATION       5            2            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   8 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.34         0.07         0.07         
LAL                   2            1            1            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4400                      6600         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 12                     N 15         
DISPERSION            28 FAIR                   64 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID TO UPPER 30S.
NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO UPPER 50S.
NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. WEST
WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S TO MID 70S. WEST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S TO MID 70S. NORTH WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO
MID 70S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-220930-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
439 AM EDT SAT APR 21 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      63-68 (-9)   42-47 (-11)  59-64        
RH % (24H TREND)      55-60 (+7)   93-98 (+7)   33-38        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   N  9 G18     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     N  6         N  6         N 11 G20     
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           40           20           
PRECIP DURATION       3            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   8 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.22         0.04         0.01         
LAL                   2            1            1            
LASI                  2                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4700                      6100         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW  8                     N 18         
DISPERSION            23 FAIR                   77 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S.
NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST
WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH INCREASING TO 10 TO 15 MPH EARLY IN THE
AFTERNOON. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S.
NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST LESS THAN 10 MPH
AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. WEST WINDS
UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO MID 70S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO UPPER 70S. NORTH WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-220930-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
439 AM EDT SAT APR 21 2012 /339 AM CDT SAT APR 21 2012/

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      65-70 (-7)   43-48 (-12)  61-66        
RH % (24H TREND)      51-56 (-2)   91-96 (+7)   30-35        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   N 11 G20     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     N  7 G15     N  7 G15     N 12 G22     
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           20           0            
PRECIP DURATION       3            1                         
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING                
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING                
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.16         0.03         0.00         
LAL                   2            1            1            
LASI                  2                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4800                      5600         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW  7                     N 22         
DISPERSION            21 FAIR                   84 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. NORTH WINDS
5 TO 15 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S.
NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S.
WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO LOWER 70S.
WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO MID 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO UPPER
70S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO
MID 70S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TG/TD

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