
646 
FNUS54 KMRX 171909
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
310 PM EDT TUE APR 17 2012

.DISCUSSION...
AN UPPER-LEVEL DISTURBANCE WILL MOVE ACROSS THE TENNESSEE RIVER 
VALLEY TONIGHT...GENERATING NUMEROUS SHOWERS OVER THE SOUTHERN 
APPALACHIAN REGION THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING. HIGH PRESSURE WILL 
THEN BRING DRY AND TRANQUIL CONDITIONS FOR THURSDAY AND FRIDAY.  


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-182000-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
310 PM EDT TUE APR 17 2012

                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       
TEMP (24H TREND)      47-52 (-4)   56-61 (-8)   43-48        71-76        
RH % (24H TREND)      86-91 (-2)   53-58 (+8)   83-88        30-35        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NE  6        LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          100          0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       4            4                                      
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING                             
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   8 PM                                   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.35         0.25         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   5            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3800                      5500         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SE 13                     W  6         
DISPERSION                         19 GEN POOR               17 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. 
SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. 
HIGHS IN THE 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. 
LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO
LOWER 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. 
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 
30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S. 
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-182000-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
310 PM EDT TUE APR 17 2012

                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       PCLDY        MCLEAR       
TEMP (24H TREND)      48-53 (-2)   55-60 (-11)  43-48        69-74        
RH % (24H TREND)      93-98 (+7)   53-58 (+7)   83-88        32-37        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NE  6        LGT/VAR      SE  5        LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          100          0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       6            4                                      
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING                             
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   8 PM                                   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.51         0.44         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   5            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3600                      5500         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SE 14                     W  6         
DISPERSION                         9 POOR                    14 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. 
SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. 
HIGHS IN THE 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. 
LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S 
TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. 
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 
30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S. 
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-182000-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
310 PM EDT TUE APR 17 2012

                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       
TEMP (24H TREND)      50-55 (+1)   62-67 (-4)   44-49        68-73        
RH % (24H TREND)      83-88 (-10)  52-57 (+1)   83-88        33-38        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NE  6        LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          90           0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       6            4                                      
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING                             
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   8 PM                                   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.52         0.27         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   5            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4900                      5500         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S  8                      W  6         
DISPERSION                         11 POOR                   12 POOR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO MID 50S. 
SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. 
HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. 
LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S 
TO LOWER 70S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 40S. HIGHS 
IN THE LOWER 50S TO MID 60S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 40S. 
HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S TO MID 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO 
UPPER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-182000-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
310 PM EDT TUE APR 17 2012

                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       
TEMP (24H TREND)      53-58 (+2)   66-71 (-6)   46-51        71-76        
RH % (24H TREND)      78-83 (-19)  52-57 (+3)   85-90        34-39        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NE  5        LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          80           0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       6            3                                      
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING                             
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   8 PM                                   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.54         0.18         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   5            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4100                      5500         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SE  3                     S  6         
DISPERSION                         6 VERY POOR               17 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. 
SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. 
HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. 
LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO
LOWER 70S. EAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. 
HIGHS IN THE 60S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 
40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S. 
SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-182000-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
310 PM EDT TUE APR 17 2012

                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       
TEMP (24H TREND)      54-59 (+4)   66-71 (-11)  44-49        70-75        
RH % (24H TREND)      82-87 (-15)  53-58 (+9)   86-91        32-37        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          90           0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       8            4                                      
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING                             
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   8 PM                                   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.65         0.27         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   5            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4300                      5500         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S  8                      SW  6        
DISPERSION                         13 GEN POOR               16 GEN POOR  
MAX LVORI                          4                         4            

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS NEAR 50. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS 
THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. 
HIGHS IN THE 70S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. 
LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO
LOWER 70S. EAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. 
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 
40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S. 
WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-182000-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
310 PM EDT TUE APR 17 2012

                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       
TEMP (24H TREND)      49-54 (-4)   61-66 (-8)   45-50        72-77        
RH % (24H TREND)      89-94 (-1)   52-57 (+9)   83-88        31-36        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NE  6        LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          90           0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       4            4                                      
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING                             
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   8 PM                                   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.43         0.27         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   5            1            1            1            
LASI                               2                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3600                      5400         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SE 10                     W  6         
DISPERSION                         20 GEN POOR               20 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. 
SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. 
HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. 
LOWS IN THE 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S 
TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. 
HIGHS IN THE 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 
40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S. 
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-182000-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
310 PM EDT TUE APR 17 2012

                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       
TEMP (24H TREND)      49-54 (-4)   64-69 (-3)   47-52        73-78        
RH % (24H TREND)      79-84 (-14)  51-56 (+3)   83-88        32-37        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     N  6         LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          80           0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       4            3                                      
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING                             
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   8 PM                                   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.34         0.10         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   5            1            1            1            
LASI                               2                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4200                      5300         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                E  8                      SW  6        
DISPERSION                         20 GEN POOR               20 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. 
SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. 
HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. 
LOWS IN THE 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S 
TO LOWER 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. 
HIGHS IN THE 60S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 
40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO 
LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-182000-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
310 PM EDT TUE APR 17 2012 /210 PM CDT TUE APR 17 2012/

                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       
TEMP (24H TREND)      50-55 (-4)   67-72 (-1)   47-52        74-79        
RH % (24H TREND)      78-83 (-11)  48-53 (0)    83-88        32-37        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  N  5                      LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     N  7 G16     N  5         LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          70           0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       6            1                                      
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING                             
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   4 PM                                   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.34         0.06         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   5            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4800                      4800         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NE  6                     SE  6        
DISPERSION                         19 GEN POOR               18 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST 
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. 
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. 
LOWS IN THE MID 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS AROUND 70. EAST 
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. 
HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 
40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 
60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

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