
555 
FNUS54 KMRX 170646
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
246 AM EDT TUE APR 17 2012

.DISCUSSION...
A NEARLY STATIONARY FRONT WILL REMAIN OVER THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIAN 
REGION THROUGH EARLY WEDNESDAY AS AN UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE MOVES 
ACROSS THE AREA.  WEAK HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD IN FOR WEDNESDAY 
NIGHT AND THURSDAY.  


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-180800-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
246 AM EDT TUE APR 17 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      62-67 (-15)  47-52 (-4)   62-67        
RH % (24H TREND)      47-52 (+4)   83-88 (+5)   43-48        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   E  5         
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      E  7         
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      RAIN         SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           80           40           
PRECIP DURATION       1            4            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   8 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.03         0.31         0.14         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  5                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5900                      5500         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   N  8                      SE 13        
DISPERSION            27 FAIR                   40 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 40S. EAST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.THURSDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. EAST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER
50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE 60S TO UPPER 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE LOWER
40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S.
NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-180800-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
246 AM EDT TUE APR 17 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      61-66 (-13)  46-51 (-4)   59-64        
RH % (24H TREND)      47-52 (+1)   80-85 (-13)  45-50        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   E  7 G15     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SE  8 G15    
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      RAIN         SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           90           50           
PRECIP DURATION       1            6            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   8 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.16         0.49         0.27         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6100                      5000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   N  6                      SE 14        
DISPERSION            18 GEN POOR               26 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 40S. SOUTHEAST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO MID 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER
50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO UPPER 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE LOWER
40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S
TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-180800-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
246 AM EDT TUE APR 17 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      61-66 (-10)  47-52 (-2)   61-66        
RH % (24H TREND)      57-62 (+6)   82-87 (-7)   42-47        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   E  7 G15     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     N  5         LGT/VAR      NE  7 G15    
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      RAIN         SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           90           40           
PRECIP DURATION       2            8            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   8 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.28         0.52         0.10         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6000                      5700         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NE 10                     SE  6        
DISPERSION            27 FAIR                   12 POOR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 40S. EAST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.THURSDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO MID 70S. NORTH WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS NEAR 50. SOUTH WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO UPPER 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. COOLER. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S
TO LOWER 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-180800-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
246 AM EDT TUE APR 17 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      66-71 (-9)   50-55 (-1)   64-69        
RH % (24H TREND)      57-62 (+7)   88-93 (0)    41-46        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   NE  5        
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     N  7         N  6         N  6         
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      RAIN         SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           90           30           
PRECIP DURATION       3            8            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   4 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.35         0.54         0.06         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5200                      5200         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NE 15                     E  3         
DISPERSION            41 GEN GOOD               10 POOR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S.
EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.THURSDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO UPPER 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS NEAR 50. SOUTH WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE 60S TO UPPER 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. COOLER. LOWS IN THE
MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S
TO MID 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-180800-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
246 AM EDT TUE APR 17 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      67-72 (-9)   51-56 (+1)   63-68        
RH % (24H TREND)      61-66 (+13)  92-97 (+4)   44-49        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   E  5         
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  6        LGT/VAR      SE  6        
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      RAIN         SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           90           40           
PRECIP DURATION       3            8            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   8 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.48         0.65         0.08         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6200                      5700         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NE  9                     SE  5        
DISPERSION            31 FAIR                   14 GEN POOR  
MAX LVORI             4                         3            

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER
50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING
BECOMING LIGHT. 
.THURSDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. EAST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS NEAR 50. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP
TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE 60S TO UPPER 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. COOLER. LOWS IN THE
MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S
TO MID 60S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-180800-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
246 AM EDT TUE APR 17 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      65-70 (-13)  47-52 (-6)   64-69        
RH % (24H TREND)      47-52 (+3)   83-88 (-2)   42-47        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   NE  6        
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      E  7         
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      RAIN         SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           90           40           
PRECIP DURATION       1            6            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   8 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.11         0.41         0.15         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  4                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5200                      4600         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NE  8                     E 12         
DISPERSION            24 FAIR                   32 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 40S. EAST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.THURSDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. EAST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER
50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE 60S TO UPPER 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE LOWER
40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO
LOWER 60S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-180800-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
246 AM EDT TUE APR 17 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      65-70 (-11)  48-53 (-5)   65-70        
RH % (24H TREND)      51-56 (+1)   81-86 (+3)   41-46        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   NE  6        
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      NE  7        
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      RAIN         SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           80           30           
PRECIP DURATION       1            5            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   4 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.12         0.33         0.04         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  4                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4400                      4600         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NE 12                     E  9         
DISPERSION            30 FAIR                   28 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER
50S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING
BECOMING LIGHT. 
.THURSDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 70S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH
SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. SOUTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. COOLER. LOWS IN THE
MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS
IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS NEAR 60.
NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-180800-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
246 AM EDT TUE APR 17 2012 /146 AM CDT TUE APR 17 2012/

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      66-71 (-10)  48-53 (-6)   67-72        
RH % (24H TREND)      49-54 (-2)   86-91 (+6)   40-45        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     N  6                      NE  6        
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     N  6         NE  6        NE  6        
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      RAIN         SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           80           20           
PRECIP DURATION       2            8            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   4 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.22         0.34         0.02         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4400                      4700         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NE 14                     NE  7        
DISPERSION            38 FAIR                   20 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. NORTHEAST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.THURSDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. SOUTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. COOLER. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. EAST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

$$

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