
324 
FNUS54 KMRX 161856
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
255 PM EDT MON APR 16 2012

.DISCUSSION...
A COLD FRONT WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE THROUGH THE AREA...PRODUCING 
WIDELY SCATTERED SHOWERS THROUGH THE NIGHT. THE FRONT WILL STALL 
OVER THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIANS THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT WITH A WEAK 
WAVE OF LOW PRESSURE MOVING ALONG THE FRONT.  MORE WIDESPREAD RAIN 
IS EXPECTED TUESDAY AFTERNOON AND NIGHT.


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-171930-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
255 PM EDT MON APR 16 2012

                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      50-55 (-1)   63-68 (-14)  46-51        63-68        
RH % (24H TREND)      82-87 (-9)   39-44 (-4)   75-80        42-47        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  N  5                      E  7         
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      N  5         LGT/VAR      E  6         
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           60           40           30           
PRECIP DURATION       1            2            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   12 PM        
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.07         0.06         0.11         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4600                      5000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                N  8                      E 13         
DISPERSION                         18 GEN POOR               31 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. 
SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. 
SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS 
IN THE 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. COOLER. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN 
THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. 
HIGHS IN THE 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S. WEST 
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-171930-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
255 PM EDT MON APR 16 2012

                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      50-55 (-1)   63-68 (-11)  45-50        61-66        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+7)  44-49 (-2)   81-86        43-48        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   E  8 G19     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      N  5         N  5         E  6 G16     
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           80           50           40           
PRECIP DURATION       1            5            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   12 PM        
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.04         0.23         0.11         0.20         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4500                      5000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW  8                     E 13         
DISPERSION                         12 POOR                   24 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. 
NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. 
SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS 
IN THE 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. COOLER. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN 
THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. 
HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S. 
NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-171930-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
255 PM EDT MON APR 16 2012

                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      52-57 (-1)   63-68 (-8)   45-50        62-67        
RH % (24H TREND)      93-98 (+5)   47-52 (-4)   85-90        43-48        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   NE  8 G17    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      N  6         NE  6        NE  6        
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           80           50           30           
PRECIP DURATION       1            5            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   12 PM        
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.06         0.40         0.10         0.09         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4500                      5000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                N  8                      E 12         
DISPERSION                         11 POOR                   20 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S TO LOWER 50S.
NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S TO MID 70S. NORTH 
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S TO LOWER 50S. 
SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS 
IN THE MID 60S TO UPPER 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. COOLER. LOWS IN THE 40S. HIGHS IN THE 
LOWER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 30S. HIGHS 
IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO 
LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-171930-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
255 PM EDT MON APR 16 2012

                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      54-59 (-2)   66-71 (-9)   47-52        65-70        
RH % (24H TREND)      89-94 (-1)   51-56 (+1)   91-96        44-49        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  N  5                      NE  6        
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      N  7         NE  7        N  5         
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           80           50           30           
PRECIP DURATION       1            5            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   12 PM        
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.08         0.45         0.11         0.08         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3300                      4900         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                N 13                      NE 12        
DISPERSION                         14 GEN POOR               28 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. 
NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS 
THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. 
SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS 
IN THE 70S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. COOLER. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN 
THE 60S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. 
HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S 
TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-171930-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
255 PM EDT MON APR 16 2012

                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      55-60 (0)    67-72 (-9)   46-51        64-69        
RH % (24H TREND)      90-95 (-4)   51-56 (+3)   93-98        46-51        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   NE  5        
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      N  6         LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           80           60           30           
PRECIP DURATION       1            5            3            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   12 PM        
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.08         0.49         0.15         0.12         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3800                      5000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                N  9                      NE 12        
DISPERSION                         13 GEN POOR               27 FAIR      
MAX LVORI                          5                         3            

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. 
WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. 
NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS NEAR 50. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS 
THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS 
IN THE 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. COOLER. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN 
THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. 
HIGHS IN THE 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S 
TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-171930-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
255 PM EDT MON APR 16 2012

                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      52-57 (0)    66-71 (-12)  47-52        65-70        
RH % (24H TREND)      91-96 (0)    44-49 (0)    80-85        41-46        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   NE  7 G15    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      N  6         LGT/VAR      E  6         
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           70           40           40           
PRECIP DURATION       1            2            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   12 PM        
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.03         0.17         0.09         0.10         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3800                      4900         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                N  9                      E 13         
DISPERSION                         17 GEN POOR               37 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. 
EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. EAST 
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS NEAR 50. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 
10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS 
IN THE 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. COOLER. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN 
THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. 
HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S 
TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-171930-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
255 PM EDT MON APR 16 2012

                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      53-58 (-3)   65-70 (-11)  47-52        66-71        
RH % (24H TREND)      83-88 (0)    45-50 (-5)   83-88        41-46        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  N  5                      NE  8 G17    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      N  6         LGT/VAR      E  6 G15     
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           70           40           30           
PRECIP DURATION       1            2            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   12 PM        
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.03         0.17         0.06         0.04         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               4                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3700                      4600         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NE 10                     NE 14        
DISPERSION                         21 FAIR                   41 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. 
EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS 
THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. 
SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS 
IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. COOLER. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN 
THE 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 
30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 
MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S 
TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-171930-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
255 PM EDT MON APR 16 2012 /155 PM CDT MON APR 16 2012/

                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      55-60 (-3)   67-72 (-9)   48-53        68-73        
RH % (24H TREND)      84-89 (-1)   42-47 (-9)   81-86        42-47        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  N  6                      NE  9 G17    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      N  7 G16     NE  8 G16    NE  6 G15    
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           80           40           20           
PRECIP DURATION       1            5            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   12 PM        
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.06         0.34         0.07         0.03         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               4                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3200                      4600         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NE 13                     NE 16        
DISPERSION                         21 FAIR                   49 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 50. EAST WINDS LESS 
THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID TO UPPER 70S. SOUTHEAST 
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS 
UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS 
IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. COOLER. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN 
THE 60S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 
30S. HIGHS NEAR 60. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS NEAR 60. 
NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

$$

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