
040 
FNUS54 KMRX 160756
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
356 AM EDT MON APR 16 2012

.DISCUSSION...
A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE INTO THE AREA LATE TODAY. THIS FRONT WILL 
STALL JUST TO OUR SOUTHEAST TONIGHT...THEN A WEAK WAVE OF LOW 
PRESSURE WILL MOVE ALONG THE FRONT ON TUESDAY.  


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-170900-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
356 AM EDT MON APR 16 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      77-82 (-2)   49-54 (-2)   65-70        
RH % (24H TREND)      35-40 (+3)   89-94 (+3)   37-42        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW 10 G23                 LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW 11 G23    LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           40           20           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          12 PM        CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.04         0.03         0.02         
LAL                   3            2            1            
LASI                  4                         5            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    8400                      6300         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 29                     N  9         
DISPERSION            160 VERY GOOD             36 FAIR      

REMARKS...A QUICK INCH OR MORE OF RAIN WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH 
ANY THUNDERSTORMS. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN
THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
MID 50S TO LOWER 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 40S. NORTHEAST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO UPPER 70S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. COOLER. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE
50S TO UPPER 60S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-170900-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
356 AM EDT MON APR 16 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      74-79 (-1)   49-54 (-2)   64-69        
RH % (24H TREND)      36-41 (+2)   92-97 (+7)   41-46        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW  7 G17                 LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 10 G19     W  5         N  5         
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           50           40           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          12 PM        CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.05         0.17         
LAL                   3            2            1            
LASI                  4                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    8500                      6700         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 23                      N  7         
DISPERSION            114 VERY GOOD             23 FAIR      

REMARKS...A QUICK INCH OR MORE OF RAIN WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH 
ANY THUNDERSTORMS.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE
EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN
THE UPPER 50S TO LOWER 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 40S. NORTH WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO UPPER 70S.
EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO UPPER 70S. NORTHWEST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. COOLER. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS
IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP
TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-170900-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
356 AM EDT MON APR 16 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      71-76 (-1)   51-56 (-2)   64-69        
RH % (24H TREND)      44-49 (+4)   87-92 (+3)   44-49        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW 11 G22                 LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 12 G22     LGT/VAR      N  5         
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           50           50           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            2            
PRECIP BEGIN          12 PM        CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.06         0.15         0.27         
LAL                   3            2            2            
LASI                  4                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    9000                      6400         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 25                     N  8         
DISPERSION            130 VERY GOOD             23 FAIR      

REMARKS...A QUICK INCH OR MORE OF RAIN WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH 
ANY THUNDERSTORMS.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S
TO LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING
BECOMING LIGHT. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN
THE UPPER 50S TO LOWER 70S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S.
NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO UPPER 70S.
WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO UPPER 70S. NORTHWEST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. COOLER. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE
50S TO UPPER 60S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP
TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-170900-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
356 AM EDT MON APR 16 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      75-80 (-1)   54-59 (-2)   66-71        
RH % (24H TREND)      43-48 (+5)   86-91 (0)    50-55        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW  8 G20                 LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW 10 G20    LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           50           60           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            2            
PRECIP BEGIN          12 PM        CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.08         0.26         0.32         
LAL                   3            2            2            
LASI                  4                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    7500                      5800         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 22                     N 12         
DISPERSION            102 VERY GOOD             39 FAIR      

REMARKS...A QUICK INCH OR MORE OF RAIN WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH 
ANY THUNDERSTORMS.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN
THE UPPER 50S TO LOWER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER
50S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING
LIGHT. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 80S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S.
HIGHS IN THE 60S TO UPPER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. COOLER. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS
IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S
TO MID 60S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-170900-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
356 AM EDT MON APR 16 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      76-81 (-1)   55-60 (0)    66-71        
RH % (24H TREND)      43-48 (+4)   88-93 (-1)   52-57        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W  6 G15                  LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  8 G17    LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           50           60           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            3            
PRECIP BEGIN          12 PM        CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.05         0.24         0.36         
LAL                   3            2            2            
LASI                  4                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    8200                      6900         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 20                     N  8         
DISPERSION            102 VERY GOOD             34 FAIR      
MAX LVORI             4                         4            

REMARKS...A QUICK INCH OR MORE OF RAIN WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH 
ANY THUNDERSTORMS.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S
TO MID 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 60S
TO LOWER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER
50S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING
LIGHT. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO UPPER 70S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. COOLER. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS
IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID
60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-170900-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
356 AM EDT MON APR 16 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      78-83 (-1)   50-55 (-2)   68-73        
RH % (24H TREND)      37-42 (+3)   92-97 (+7)   38-43        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW  8 G22                 LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW 12 G23    LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           50           30           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          12 PM        CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.04         0.06         0.09         
LAL                   3            2            1            
LASI                  4                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6900                      5800         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 26                     N  8         
DISPERSION            124 VERY GOOD             31 FAIR      

REMARKS...A QUICK INCH OR MORE OF RAIN WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH 
ANY THUNDERSTORMS.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE
EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
60S TO LOWER 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 40S. LIGHT WINDS. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO UPPER 70S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. COOLER. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS
IN THE 60S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-170900-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
356 AM EDT MON APR 16 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      76-81 (-3)   52-57 (-4)   68-73        
RH % (24H TREND)      43-48 (+11)  84-89 (+3)   37-42        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW 10 G23                 LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW 10 G22    LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           50           30           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.11         0.10         0.10         
LAL                   4            2            2            
LASI                  4                         5            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6500                      5100         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 25                     N 12         
DISPERSION            117 VERY GOOD             38 FAIR      

REMARKS...A QUICK INCH OR MORE OF RAIN WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH 
ANY THUNDERSTORMS.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 40S TO MID 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN
THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO MID 70S. NORTHEAST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER
50S. LIGHT WINDS. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO LOWER 80S.
WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S.
HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. COOLER. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS
IN THE 60S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S
TO MID 60S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-170900-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
356 AM EDT MON APR 16 2012 /256 AM CDT MON APR 16 2012/

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      76-81 (-2)   53-58 (-5)   68-73        
RH % (24H TREND)      43-48 (+9)   85-90 (+3)   37-42        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW  9 G18                 LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  9 G17    LGT/VAR      N  5         
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           50           50           
PRECIP DURATION       2            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.14         0.23         0.25         
LAL                   4            2            2            
LASI                  4                         5            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6000                      5000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 22                     N 13         
DISPERSION            90 GOOD                   45 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...A QUICK INCH OR MORE OF RAIN WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH 
ANY THUNDERSTORMS.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
40S TO MID 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S.
NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. NORTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S.
HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. COOLER. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN
THE 60S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

$$

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