
447 
FNUS54 KMRX 290230 AAA
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...UPDATED
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
1030 PM EDT WED MAR 28 2012

.DISCUSSION...
A COLD FRONT DRAPED ACROSS KENTUCKY WILL SLIDE SOUTHWARD THIS 
EVENING...INCREASING THE CHANCE FOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS 
NORTHEAST AND CENTRAL EAST TENNESSEE...AS WELL AS SOUTHWEST 
VIRGINIA. HOWEVER...WITH THE LOSS OF DAYTIME HEATING MUCH OF THE 
ACTIVITY WILL WEAKEN...RESULTING IN ANY ACTIVITY THAT MAKES IT INTO 
SOUTHEAST TENNESSEE AND SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA TO BE ISOLATED IN 
COVERAGE. OTHER THAN A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS 
ACROSS SOUTHEAST TENNESSEE AND SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA...THURSDAY 
WILL BE DRY AND WARMER THAN NORMAL ACROSS THE AREA...THEN CHANCES 
FOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS INCREASE ON FRIDAY.  


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-300330-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
1030 PM EDT WED MAR 28 2012

                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      49-54 (+5)   69-74 (-5)   44-49        71-76        
RH % (24H TREND)      81-86 (+6)   27-32 (-12)  67-72        30-35        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW  5                     S  6         
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  6         W  6         LGT/VAR      SW  8 G15    
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        NONE         NONE         TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           0            0            50           
PRECIP DURATION       1                                      1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM                                   8 AM         
PRECIP END            5 AM                                   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.15         0.00         0.00         0.12         
LAL                   4            1            1            4            
LASI                               5                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6500                      7400         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 18                     SW 28        
DISPERSION                         75 GOOD                   129 VERY GOOD

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO UPPER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS
5 TO 15 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COOLER. LOWS
IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS
5 TO 15 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...BREEZY. MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS
IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS 15 TO 25 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-300330-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
1030 PM EDT WED MAR 28 2012

                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      48-53 (+7)   68-73 (-4)   45-50        68-73        
RH % (24H TREND)      83-88 (+1)   29-34 (-11)  59-64        31-36        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W  6 G15                  S  5         
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  9 G18     W  8 G16     LGT/VAR      SW  5        
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        NONE         NONE         TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           0            0            60           
PRECIP DURATION       1                                      2            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM                                   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            8 AM                                   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.11         0.00         0.00         0.10         
LAL                   4            1            1            5            
LASI                               5                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 7700                      7700         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 24                     W 22         
DISPERSION                         104 VERY GOOD             94 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO UPPER 70S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS IN THE 40S TO LOWER
50S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...BREEZY. MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COOLER. LOWS
IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S. WEST WINDS 5 TO
25 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...WINDY. MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS
IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 35 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-300330-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
1030 PM EDT WED MAR 28 2012

                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      49-54 (+6)   69-74 (-3)   47-52        68-73        
RH % (24H TREND)      89-94 (+8)   30-35 (-12)  55-60        32-37        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W  5                      SW  5        
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  9 G22    NW  5        LGT/VAR      SW  6        
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        NONE         TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           0            20           70           
PRECIP DURATION       1                         1            2            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM                      2 AM         CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            8 AM                      CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.04         0.00         0.03         0.12         
LAL                   3            1            3            5            
LASI                               4                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 7800                      7700         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 14                     SW 20        
DISPERSION                         57 GEN GOOD               80 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO LOWER 80S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS
5 TO 15 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...BREEZY. MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
COOLER. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 70S.
WEST WINDS 5 TO 25 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...WINDY. MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE
40S TO UPPER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 30 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-300330-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
1030 PM EDT WED MAR 28 2012

                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      51-56 (+4)   74-79 (-2)   50-55        74-79        
RH % (24H TREND)      90-95 (+13)  35-40 (-3)   59-64        35-40        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   SW  5        
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  5        W  5         LGT/VAR      SW  6        
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           20           30           60           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            2            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         2 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.04         0.01         0.04         0.13         
LAL                   3            2            3            5            
LASI                               4                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 7400                      8400         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 12                     SW 17        
DISPERSION                         53 GEN GOOD               96 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO LOWER 80S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO
LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING
BECOMING LIGHT. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COOLER. LOWS
IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS 5 TO
15 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...WINDY. PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS
IN THE MID 50S TO UPPER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 30 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-300330-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
1030 PM EDT WED MAR 28 2012

                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      50-55 (+4)   74-79 (-2)   48-53        73-78        
RH % (24H TREND)      91-96 (+11)  36-41 (-3)   63-68        35-40        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      W  5         LGT/VAR      SW  5        
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           20           30           60           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            2            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         2 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.03         0.01         0.03         0.11         
LAL                   3            2            3            5            
LASI                               4                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 8400                      8900         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 14                     SW 17        
DISPERSION                         75 GOOD                   99 GOOD      
MAX LVORI                          4                         1            

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 50S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO LOWER 80S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO
LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING
BECOMING LIGHT. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP
TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. COOLER. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN
THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...WINDY. PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS
IN THE MID 50S TO UPPER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 30 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-300330-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
1030 PM EDT WED MAR 28 2012

                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      50-55 (+5)   73-78 (-2)   43-48        73-78        
RH % (24H TREND)      82-87 (+7)   29-34 (-10)  70-75        29-34        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   S  5         
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      W  6         LGT/VAR      SW  6        
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        NONE         TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           0            10           50           
PRECIP DURATION       1                         1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM                      2 AM         CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            8 AM                      CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.11         0.00         0.02         0.12         
LAL                   4            1            1            4            
LASI                               5                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6300                      6500         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 16                     SW 24        
DISPERSION                         68 GOOD                   102 VERY GOOD

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP
TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE 60S TO UPPER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS IN THE 40S TO LOWER
50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO
15 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COOLER. LOWS
AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...BREEZY. MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS
IN THE LOWER 50S TO MID 60S. WEST WINDS 15 TO 25 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-300330-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
1030 PM EDT WED MAR 28 2012

                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      53-58 (+5)   75-80 (-2)   50-55        75-80        
RH % (24H TREND)      84-89 (+9)   29-34 (-8)   61-66        31-36        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   SW  5        
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SW  7        
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        NONE         TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           0            20           60           
PRECIP DURATION       1                         1            2            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM                      2 AM         CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            8 AM                      CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.06         0.00         0.04         0.15         
LAL                   3            1            3            4            
LASI                               4                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6700                      6500         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 10                     SW 21        
DISPERSION                         47 GEN GOOD               96 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. COOLER. LOWS IN THE 40S TO MID
50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING
BECOMING LIGHT. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTH WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. COOLER. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN
THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...BREEZY. PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS
IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS 15 TO 25 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-300330-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
1030 PM EDT WED MAR 28 2012 /930 PM CDT WED MAR 28 2012/

                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      54-59 (+4)   77-82 (-2)   54-59        76-81        
RH % (24H TREND)      86-91 (+9)   33-38 (0)    63-68        33-38        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   SW  5        
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SW  7        
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           20           30           60           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            2            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         2 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.04         0.01         0.05         0.17         
LAL                   3            2            3            4            
LASI                               4                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 7100                      7100         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW  8                     SW 16        
DISPERSION                         44 GEN GOOD               83 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID TO UPPER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID
50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTH
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. COOLER. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN
THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...BREEZY. PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN
THE 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 25 MPH. 

$$

