
474 
FNUS54 KMRX 241416 AAA
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST 
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
1015 AM EDT SAT MAR 24 2012

.DISCUSSION...
AN UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE WILL SLOWLY DRIFT ACROSS THE SOUTHERN 
APPALACHIAN REGION THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING...TRIGGERING SCATTERED 
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. SOME OF THESE STORMS COULD PRODUCE SOME 
HAIL. TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TO BE SLIGHTLY COOLER THIS WEEKEND 
BEHIND THE PASSAGE OF A COLD FRONT...BUT THEY WILL STILL REMAIN 
ABOVE NORMAL THROUGH NEXT WEEK.


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-251500-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
1015 AM EDT SAT MAR 24 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      63-68 (-9)   43-48 (-9)   63-68        
RH % (24H TREND)      46-51 (-3)   89-94 (-4)   44-49        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   NW  6        
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  6        LGT/VAR      NW 10 G19    
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           50           40           
PRECIP DURATION       2            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.40         0.11         0.15         
LAL                   4            3            1            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4600                      4500         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 14                     N 16         
DISPERSION            31 FAIR                   35 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 
40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. NORTH 
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 40S. 
NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH 
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. 
LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. WEST WINDS 
UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND 
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 
70S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 
IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-251500-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
1015 AM EDT SAT MAR 24 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      61-66 (-9)   42-47 (-9)   62-67        
RH % (24H TREND)      45-50 (-6)   89-94 (-4)   45-50        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW  5                     NW  7 G18    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      W  5         NW 12 G22    
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           50           40           
PRECIP DURATION       3            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.51         0.20         0.09         
LAL                   4            3            1            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4600                      4800         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 10                     NW 20        
DISPERSION            17 GEN POOR               33 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID
40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. NORTHWEST 
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 40S. NORTHEAST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTH 
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. 
LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. WEST WINDS 
5 TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND 
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 
70S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 
IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-251500-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
1015 AM EDT SAT MAR 24 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      60-65 (-7)   42-47 (-4)   63-68        
RH % (24H TREND)      43-48 (-12)  89-94 (-6)   42-47        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W  5                      NW  6 G16    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  7 G16     NW  5 G15    NW  8 G18    
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           40           30           
PRECIP DURATION       2            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.26         0.16         0.02         
LAL                   3            3            1            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4800                      4900         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 14                     N 18         
DISPERSION            21 FAIR                   26 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 
40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.MONDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S TO MID 70S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 
15 MPH. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 40S. EAST WINDS UP TO 10 
MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTH 
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. 
LOWS IN THE 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S TO MID 70S. WEST WINDS UP TO 
10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND 
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S TO MID 70S. 
NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 
IN THE 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-251500-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
1015 AM EDT SAT MAR 24 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      63-68 (-6)   43-48 (-6)   66-71        
RH % (24H TREND)      42-47 (-13)  86-91 (-7)   38-43        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   N  6 G15     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  8 G15     LGT/VAR      NW  8 G17    
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           40           20           
PRECIP DURATION       2            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   8 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.22         0.09         0.02         
LAL                   3            3            1            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4800                      4700         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 14                     N 20         
DISPERSION            31 FAIR                   45 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. 
NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 70S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 40S. EAST WINDS UP TO 10 
MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 70S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. 
LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND 
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS 
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 
AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 
MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-251500-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
1015 AM EDT SAT MAR 24 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      63-68 (-5)   42-47 (-8)   66-71        
RH % (24H TREND)      43-48 (-16)  85-90 (-12)  37-42        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   NW  8 G16    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  8         NW  5        NW 10 G20    
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           40           20           
PRECIP DURATION       2            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   8 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.23         0.11         0.02         
LAL                   3            3            1            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4800                      4800         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 14                     N 23         
DISPERSION            29 FAIR                   50 GEN GOOD  
MAX LVORI             4                         4            

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 40S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 
MPH. 
.MONDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 
10 MPH. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS 
THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTH 
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. 
LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND 
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 70S. NORTHEAST 
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 
IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-251500-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
1015 AM EDT SAT MAR 24 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      65-70 (-7)   43-48 (-9)   66-71        
RH % (24H TREND)      43-48 (-8)   90-95 (-5)   43-48        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  6        LGT/VAR      NW  9 G16    
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           50           30           
PRECIP DURATION       2            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.35         0.14         0.08         
LAL                   4            3            1            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4600                      4300         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 13                     NW 15        
DISPERSION            35 FAIR                   36 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 
40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. NORTH WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS 
THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTH 
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. 
LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. WEST WINDS UP TO 
10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND 
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 
70S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 
AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS 
THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-251500-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
1015 AM EDT SAT MAR 24 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      64-69 (-7)   44-49 (-7)   67-72        
RH % (24H TREND)      43-48 (-11)  88-93 (-3)   41-46        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW  5                     LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  8 G16    LGT/VAR      NW  7 G16    
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           40           20           
PRECIP DURATION       2            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.25         0.06         0.02         
LAL                   3            3            1            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4800                      4400         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 12                     N 16         
DISPERSION            36 FAIR                   44 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. ISOLATED SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 
40S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO MID 70S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 
MPH. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID TO UPPER 40S. 
NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS 
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. 
LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND 
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO MID 70S. 
NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 
IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS 
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-251500-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
1015 AM EDT SAT MAR 24 2012 /915 AM CDT SAT MAR 24 2012/

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      65-70 (-7)   44-49 (-7)   69-74        
RH % (24H TREND)      40-45 (-12)  89-94 (-1)   40-45        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW  6 G16                 NW  6        
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  9 G17     NW  5        NW  8 G16    
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           30           20           
PRECIP DURATION       2            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   8 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.20         0.05         0.01         
LAL                   3            3            1            
LASI                  4                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4900                      4600         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 14                      N 17         
DISPERSION            44 GEN GOOD               54 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 50. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 
MPH. 
.MONDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 70S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. 
NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 70S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 
MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. 
LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID TO UPPER 70S. WEST WINDS UP TO 
10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND 
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S. NORTHEAST 
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 
IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

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