
203 
FNUS54 KMRX 231855
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
255 PM EDT FRI MAR 23 2012

.DISCUSSION...
A SLOW MOVING COLD FRONT WILL DRIFT ACROSS THE TENNESSEE RIVER 
VALLEY TONIGHT...TRIGGERING SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS 
AHEAD OF IT. AN UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE BEHIND THIS COLD FRONT WILL 
CONTINUE TO PRODUCE SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH THE WEEKEND. 
TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TO BE SLIGHTLY COOLER THIS WEEKEND BEHIND 
THE PASSAGE OF THE COLD FRONT...BUT THEY WILL STILL REMAIN ABOVE 
NORMAL THROUGH NEXT WEEK.


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-242000-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
255 PM EDT FRI MAR 23 2012

                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      50-55 (-5)   65-70 (-7)   45-50        63-68        
RH % (24H TREND)      92-97 (+3)   42-47 (-7)   82-87        44-49        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S  5                      N  7 G16     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  6         SW  8 G15    LGT/VAR      N 10 G19     
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           70           50           40           
PRECIP DURATION       3            2            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.21         0.18         0.11         0.10         
LAL                   4            4            3            1            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5000                      5200         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 16                     N 17         
DISPERSION                         41 GEN GOOD               47 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 
40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. NORTH 
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 40S. 
NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. 
LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. WEST WINDS 
UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND 
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 
70S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 
IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-242000-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
255 PM EDT FRI MAR 23 2012

                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      49-54 (-4)   64-69 (-6)   44-49        62-67        
RH % (24H TREND)      93-98 (0)    43-48 (-8)   83-88        45-50        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S  6                      N  6 G18     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  7 G15     SW  7        LGT/VAR      NW 11 G21    
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           70           50           40           
PRECIP DURATION       3            2            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.31         0.19         0.12         0.11         
LAL                   4            4            3            1            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5000                      5500         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 15                     N 17         
DISPERSION                         28 FAIR                   39 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 
40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. NORTHWEST 
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 40S. NORTHEAST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTH 
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. 
LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. WEST WINDS 
5 TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND 
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 
70S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 
IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-242000-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
255 PM EDT FRI MAR 23 2012

                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      48-53 (-8)   62-67 (-5)   45-50        63-68        
RH % (24H TREND)      85-90 (-10)  41-46 (-14)  79-84        42-47        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW  7 G17                 N  6         
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  9 G19     SW 10 G18    LGT/VAR      N  9 G19     
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           60           40           30           
PRECIP DURATION       1            2            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.21         0.12         0.12         0.04         
LAL                   4            4            3            1            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5000                      5500         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 18                     N 15         
DISPERSION                         31 FAIR                   30 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 
40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S TO MID 70S. NORTH 
WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 40S. EAST WINDS UP TO 10 
MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTH 
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. 
LOWS IN THE 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S TO MID 70S. WEST WINDS UP TO 
10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND 
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S TO MID 70S. 
NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 
IN THE 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-242000-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
255 PM EDT FRI MAR 23 2012

                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      49-54 (-9)   64-69 (-5)   46-51        66-71        
RH % (24H TREND)      83-88 (-11)  40-45 (-15)  77-82        38-43        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW  6 G15                 N  9 G18     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  8 G17     SW  9 G18    SW  5        N 10 G18     
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           60           40           20           
PRECIP DURATION       1            2            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   8 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.15         0.08         0.11         0.02         
LAL                   3            4            3            1            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5000                      5400         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 17                     N 18         
DISPERSION                         41 GEN GOOD               54 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. 
NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 70S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 40S. EAST WINDS UP TO 10 
MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 70S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. 
LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND 
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S. NORTHEAST 
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 
AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 
MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-242000-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
255 PM EDT FRI MAR 23 2012

                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      49-54 (-7)   64-69 (-4)   43-48        66-71        
RH % (24H TREND)      85-90 (-12)  42-47 (-17)  81-86        38-43        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW  6 G17                 N  8 G18     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  7         SW  9 G19    LGT/VAR      N 11 G19     
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           60           40           20           
PRECIP DURATION       1            2            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   8 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.17         0.07         0.11         0.02         
LAL                   4            4            3            1            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5000                      5500         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 17                     N 18         
DISPERSION                         41 GEN GOOD               51 GEN GOOD  
MAX LVORI                          4                         3            

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 40S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 
MPH. 
.MONDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 
10 MPH. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS 
THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTH 
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. 
LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND 
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS 
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 
IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-242000-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
255 PM EDT FRI MAR 23 2012

                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      50-55 (-7)   67-72 (-5)   47-52        66-71        
RH % (24H TREND)      94-99 (+3)   39-44 (-12)  80-85        43-48        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SW  7 G15    LGT/VAR      NW  9 G16    
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           70           50           30           
PRECIP DURATION       3            2            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.20         0.17         0.12         0.07         
LAL                   4            4            3            1            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5000                      5000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 15                     N 14         
DISPERSION                         45 GEN GOOD               43 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 
40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. NORTH 
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS 
THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. 
LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. WEST WINDS UP TO 
10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND 
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 
70S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 
AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS 
THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-242000-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
255 PM EDT FRI MAR 23 2012

                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      50-55 (-9)   66-71 (-5)   47-52        67-72        
RH % (24H TREND)      84-89 (-11)  40-45 (-14)  79-84        40-45        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW  6 G16                 N  6         
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  8 G16     SW  9 G16    LGT/VAR      N  9 G16     
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           60           40           20           
PRECIP DURATION       1            2            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.19         0.14         0.07         0.02         
LAL                   4            4            3            1            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4900                      5100         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 16                     N 16         
DISPERSION                         51 GEN GOOD               52 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. ISOLATED SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 
40S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO MID 70S. NORTH WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID TO UPPER 40S. 
NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS 
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND 
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO MID 70S. 
NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 
IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS 
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-242000-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
255 PM EDT FRI MAR 23 2012 /155 PM CDT FRI MAR 23 2012/

                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      50-55 (-9)   66-71 (-6)   48-53        69-74        
RH % (24H TREND)      78-83 (-18)  39-44 (-13)  79-84        38-43        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW  7 G19                 N  9         
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  8 G16     SW  9 G18    W  6         N  9 G16     
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           60           40           20           
PRECIP DURATION       1            2            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   8 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.10         0.09         0.07         0.01         
LAL                   3            4            3            1            
LASI                               4                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4900                      5300         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 17                     N 18         
DISPERSION                         55 GEN GOOD               67 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 50. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 
MPH. 
.MONDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 70S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. 
NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 70S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 
MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. 
LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID TO UPPER 70S. WEST WINDS UP TO 
10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND 
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S. NORTHEAST 
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 
IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

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