
575 
FNUS54 KMRX 230800
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
400 AM EDT FRI MAR 23 2012

.DISCUSSION...
A SLOW MOVING COLD FRONT WILL TRACK ACROSS THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIAN 
REGION TODAY. THE SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL BECOME WIDESPREAD 
TODAY. SOME STORMS THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING COULD BECOME SEVERE 
WITH DAMAGING WINDS AND LARGE HAIL. AN UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE 
BEHIND THIS COLD FRONT WILL CONTINUE TO PRODUCE SHOWERS AND 
THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH THE WEEKEND. TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TO BE 
SLIGHTLY COOLER THIS WEEKEND BEHIND THE PASSAGE OF THE COLD 
FRONT...BUT THEY WILL STILL REMAIN ABOVE NORMAL THROUGH NEXT WEEK.


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-240900-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
400 AM EDT FRI MAR 23 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      71-76 (-4)   52-57 (-2)   66-71        
RH % (24H TREND)      50-55 (+10)  90-95 (+9)   43-48        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  6                      SW  5        
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  7         S  5         SW  6        
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           70           60           
PRECIP DURATION       5            3            3            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.20         0.18         0.24         
LAL                   5            4            4            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4500                      4000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S  9                      SW 15        
DISPERSION            20 GEN POOR               26 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE
MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 60S.
NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. NORTHEAST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S
TO MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO MID 70S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER
70S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-240900-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
400 AM EDT FRI MAR 23 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      68-73 (-5)   51-56 (-1)   64-69        
RH % (24H TREND)      51-56 (+9)   95-100 (+8)  44-49        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  6                      LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  8 G17     S  5         SW  5        
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           70           60           
PRECIP DURATION       5            3            3            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.28         0.22         0.24         
LAL                   5            4            4            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5000                      4100         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 10                      SW 15        
DISPERSION            20 GEN POOR               17 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE
40S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S
TO UPPER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. NORTH
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
60S TO MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO
LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER
70S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-240900-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
400 AM EDT FRI MAR 23 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      65-70 (-7)   49-54 (-3)   63-68        
RH % (24H TREND)      55-60 (+11)  91-96 (-3)   42-47        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  8 G16                  S  6         
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  7 G16     S  5         SW  8 G17    
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           60           60           
PRECIP DURATION       5            2            3            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.43         0.14         0.13         
LAL                   5            4            4            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4900                      4200         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 16                      SW 18        
DISPERSION            24 FAIR                   17 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH SHIFTING
TO THE NORTHWEST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO
LOWER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE 40S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. EAST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO MID
70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO
LOWER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-240900-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
400 AM EDT FRI MAR 23 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      69-74 (-6)   50-55 (-5)   66-71        
RH % (24H TREND)      59-64 (+16)  91-96 (-2)   41-46        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  8 G16                  S  7 G15     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  8 G16     S  6         S  9 G17     
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           50           50           
PRECIP DURATION       8            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.52         0.08         0.07         
LAL                   5            4            4            
LASI                  3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4400                      4200         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 17                      SW 18        
DISPERSION            35 FAIR                   33 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH
SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
60S TO LOWER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S.
NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO MID 70S. EAST WINDS
UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S
TO MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S TO MID 70S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO
MID 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-240900-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
400 AM EDT FRI MAR 23 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      68-73 (-6)   50-55 (-4)   65-70        
RH % (24H TREND)      61-66 (+17)  91-96 (-6)   41-46        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  7 G15                  S  5         
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  8 G16     S  5         S  8         
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           60           50           
PRECIP DURATION       8            2            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.53         0.12         0.07         
LAL                   5            4            4            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4500                      4300         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 16                      SW 18        
DISPERSION            31 FAIR                   31 FAIR      
MAX LVORI             4                         3            

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH
SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
60S TO LOWER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S.
NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S.
NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S
TO MID 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S TO
MID 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO
MID 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-240900-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
400 AM EDT FRI MAR 23 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      72-77 (-4)   52-57 (-3)   67-72        
RH % (24H TREND)      52-57 (+12)  92-97 (+3)   41-46        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  5                      LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  7 G15     LGT/VAR      SW  5        
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           70           60           
PRECIP DURATION       5            2            3            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.29         0.16         0.20         
LAL                   5            4            4            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4500                      3900         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 10                      SW 14        
DISPERSION            27 FAIR                   30 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO
LOWER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS
UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S.
NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO
MID 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO
LOWER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-240900-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
400 AM EDT FRI MAR 23 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      71-76 (-6)   51-56 (-5)   66-71        
RH % (24H TREND)      53-58 (+12)  87-92 (-2)   42-47        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  6                      S  6 G16     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  7         S  6         SW  8 G17    
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           50           60           
PRECIP DURATION       8            1            3            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.38         0.08         0.13         
LAL                   5            4            4            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4100                      4100         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 17                      SW 15        
DISPERSION            42 GEN GOOD               37 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S.
NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S.
NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE
70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO MID
70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S.
NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-240900-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
400 AM EDT FRI MAR 23 2012 /300 AM CDT FRI MAR 23 2012/

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      71-76 (-6)   50-55 (-6)   68-73        
RH % (24H TREND)      57-62 (+14)  89-94 (-2)   41-46        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  7                      S  7 G16     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  8         S  8         SW  9 G18    
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           40           50           
PRECIP DURATION       8            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.45         0.04         0.06         
LAL                   5            3            4            
LASI                  3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3700                      4200         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 18                     SW 14        
DISPERSION            42 GEN GOOD               37 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS NEAR 70.
NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS NEAR 50. NORTH WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID
70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO MID
70S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

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