
886 
FNUS54 KMRX 221906
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
305 PM EDT THU MAR 22 2012

.DISCUSSION...
A SLOW MOVING COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIAN 
REGION TONIGHT...WITH SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS BECOMING WIDESPREAD 
ON FRIDAY. SOME STORMS ON FRIDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING COULD BECOME 
SEVERE WITH DAMAGING WINDS AND LARGE HAIL. AN UPPER LEVEL 
DISTURBANCE BEHIND THIS COLD FRONT WILL CONTINUE TO PRODUCE SHOWERS 
AND THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH THE WEEKEND. TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TO 
BE SLIGHTLY COOLER THIS WEEKEND BEHIND THE PASSAGE OF THE COLD 
FRONT...BUT THEY WILL STILL REMAIN ABOVE NORMAL THROUGH NEXT WEEK.


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-232000-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
305 PM EDT THU MAR 22 2012

                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      53-58 (0)    71-76 (-4)   50-55        66-71        
RH % (24H TREND)      82-87 (-11)  46-51 (+6)   83-88        43-48        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   SW  5        
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      S  6         LGT/VAR      SW  6        
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           90           60           60           
PRECIP DURATION       1            5            3            3            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.21         0.11         0.25         
LAL                   3            5            4            4            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4900                      4700         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 12                      SW 14        
DISPERSION                         29 FAIR                   31 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 
40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 60S. 
NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 
MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. NORTHEAST 
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 
60S TO MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND 
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 
70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 
IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS 
UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-232000-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
305 PM EDT THU MAR 22 2012

                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      51-56 (-2)   69-74 (-4)   49-54        64-69        
RH % (24H TREND)      85-90 (-10)  47-52 (+5)   83-88        43-48        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  5         S  6         LGT/VAR      SW  5        
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           90           70           60           
PRECIP DURATION       1            5            3            3            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.22         0.13         0.23         
LAL                   3            5            4            4            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4800                      4700         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 12                      SW 12        
DISPERSION                         21 FAIR                   20 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE 40S. 
NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 60S. 
NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 
40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. NORTH 
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S
TO MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND 
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 
70S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 
IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS 
UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-232000-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
305 PM EDT THU MAR 22 2012

                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      52-57 (-2)   67-72 (-5)   48-53        63-68        
RH % (24H TREND)      89-94 (-4)   52-57 (+8)   83-88        43-48        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S  7 G16                  S  6         
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  5         S  8 G16     LGT/VAR      SW  8 G17    
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           90           60           60           
PRECIP DURATION       3            5            3            3            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.08         0.39         0.09         0.12         
LAL                   4            5            4            4            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4800                      4700         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 16                      SW 17        
DISPERSION                         24 FAIR                   23 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND 
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S TO
LOWER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 
40S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S TO LOWER 70S. EAST 
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S TO 
MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND 
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S TO MID 70S. 
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 
IN THE 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S TO LOWER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP 
TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-232000-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
305 PM EDT THU MAR 22 2012

                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      54-59 (-2)   70-75 (-5)   49-54        66-71        
RH % (24H TREND)      89-94 (-4)   51-56 (+8)   83-88        41-46        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S  8 G17                  S  7 G15     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE  7 G15    S  9 G17     SW  5        S  9 G17     
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           90           50           50           
PRECIP DURATION       8            8            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.18         0.43         0.05         0.07         
LAL                   5            5            4            4            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4600                      4900         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 21                      SW 18        
DISPERSION                         44 GEN GOOD               44 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND 
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 
60S TO LOWER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. 
NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. EAST WINDS
UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 
60S TO MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND 
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 
70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 
IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS 
UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-232000-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
305 PM EDT THU MAR 22 2012

                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      53-58 (-1)   69-74 (-5)   48-53        65-70        
RH % (24H TREND)      93-98 (-2)   52-57 (+8)   83-88        40-45        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SE  6 G15                 S  5         
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE  6        S  8 G16     LGT/VAR      S  8         
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           90           60           50           
PRECIP DURATION       3            8            3            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.17         0.51         0.08         0.07         
LAL                   5            5            4            4            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4800                      4900         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 18                      SW 16        
DISPERSION                         40 FAIR                   38 FAIR      
MAX LVORI                          4                         4            

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND 
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 40S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 
60S TO LOWER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S.
NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. NORTHEAST 
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 
60S TO MID 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND 
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. 
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 
IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS 
UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-232000-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
305 PM EDT THU MAR 22 2012

                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      53-58 (0)    72-77 (-4)   51-56        67-72        
RH % (24H TREND)      86-91 (-6)   46-51 (+6)   83-88        41-46        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      S  6         LGT/VAR      SW  5        
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           90           60           60           
PRECIP DURATION       1            5            3            3            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.03         0.28         0.10         0.20         
LAL                   4            5            4            4            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4800                      4600         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 12                      SW 13        
DISPERSION                         33 FAIR                   36 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE 
UPPER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO 
LOWER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP 
TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. NORTHEAST 
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 
60S TO MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND 
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 
70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 
IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS 
UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-232000-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
305 PM EDT THU MAR 22 2012

                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      56-61 (+1)   71-76 (-6)   50-55        67-72        
RH % (24H TREND)      85-90 (0)    50-55 (+9)   83-88        40-45        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SE  6                     S  6 G16     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  5         S  6         LGT/VAR      SW  8 G17    
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           90           50           60           
PRECIP DURATION       3            8            1            3            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.18         0.33         0.06         0.11         
LAL                   5            5            4            4            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4600                      4800         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 18                      SW 18        
DISPERSION                         52 GEN GOOD               57 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND 
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 
60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. 
NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. NORTHEAST 
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S. 
SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND 
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO MID 70S. 
SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 
IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS 
UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-232000-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
305 PM EDT THU MAR 22 2012 /205 PM CDT THU MAR 22 2012/

                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      56-61 (-4)   72-77 (-5)   51-56        68-73        
RH % (24H TREND)      84-89 (-4)   51-56 (+8)   83-88        41-46        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S  5                      S  7 G16     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE  6        S  7         LGT/VAR      SW  9 G18    
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           90           40           50           
PRECIP DURATION       8            8            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.38         0.24         0.02         0.06         
LAL                   5            5            3            4            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4300                      4900         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 20                      SW 20        
DISPERSION                         52 GEN GOOD               63 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND 
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 
MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS NEAR 70. 
NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS NEAR 50. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 
MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 
MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 
70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND 
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. 
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 
IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO MID 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP 
TO 10 MPH. 

$$

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