
518 
FNUS54 KMRX 221430 AAA
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST 
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
1030 AM EDT THU MAR 22 2012

.DISCUSSION...
THE UPPER RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE AREA WILL DRIFT 
EAST...ALLOWING AN UPPER LEVEL LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM TO APPROACH FROM 
THE WEST TONIGHT AND FRIDAY.  THIS SLOW MOVING SYSTEM WILL AFFECT 
THE REGION INTO THE WEEKEND.  


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-231430-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
1030 AM EDT THU MAR 22 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      75-80 (-4)   53-58 (0)    74-79        
RH % (24H TREND)      38-43 (0)    87-92 (-6)   39-44        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  5         LGT/VAR      S  6         
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           30           60           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            2            
PRECIP BEGIN          2 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.04         0.19         
LAL                   3            3            5            
LASI                  4                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    7800                      7800         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S  7                      S 13         
DISPERSION            34 FAIR                   62 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE 50S. 
SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH...SHIFTING TO THE EAST AFTER 
MIDNIGHT. 
.SATURDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S 
TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. COLDER. LOWS IN 
THE 40S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 60S. 
NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S 
TO LOWER 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 
60S TO MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND 
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. 
SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-231430-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
1030 AM EDT THU MAR 22 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      73-78 (-2)   52-57 (-1)   71-76        
RH % (24H TREND)      40-45 (-2)   88-93 (-7)   43-48        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  6                      LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  6         S  5         S  6         
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           30           60           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            2            
PRECIP BEGIN          2 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.03         0.03         0.21         
LAL                   3            3            5            
LASI                  4                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    8400                      7600         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S  9                      S 12         
DISPERSION            42 GEN GOOD               50 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 
TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO 
LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. COLDER. LOWS IN 
THE 40S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO
MID 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S 
TO LOWER 70S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 
60S TO MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND 
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 
70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-231430-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
1030 AM EDT THU MAR 22 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       
TEMP (24H TREND)      72-77 (0)    52-57 (-2)   69-74        
RH % (24H TREND)      41-46 (0)    87-92 (-6)   42-47        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  7 G15                  S  6         
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      S  5         S  7 G16     
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           40           80           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            8            
PRECIP BEGIN          2 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.04         0.08         0.42         
LAL                   3            3            5            
LASI                  4                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    8000                      6800         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S  9                      S 18         
DISPERSION            37 FAIR                   58 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 
TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. 
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND 
THUNDERSTORMS. COLDER. LOWS IN THE 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 
LOWER 50S TO UPPER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO 
MID 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO 
MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND 
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S TO MID 70S. 
SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-231430-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
1030 AM EDT THU MAR 22 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       
TEMP (24H TREND)      75-80 (-2)   53-58 (-3)   72-77        
RH % (24H TREND)      41-46 (+1)   90-95 (-3)   48-53        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SE  8 G16                 S  6 G15     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  8 G15     SE  7 G16    S  8 G18     
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           50           90           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            8            
PRECIP BEGIN          2 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.06         0.18         0.60         
LAL                   3            4            5            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6200                      5900         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 15                      S 22         
DISPERSION            54 GEN GOOD               73 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. 
LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. 
HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND 
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 
60S TO LOWER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 
60S TO MID 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 
60S TO MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND 
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 
70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-231430-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
1030 AM EDT THU MAR 22 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       
TEMP (24H TREND)      74-79 (-3)   53-58 (-1)   71-76        
RH % (24H TREND)      41-46 (+2)   93-98 (-2)   48-53        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SE  7                     S  5         
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE  8        SE  6        S  8 G16     
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           50           90           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            8            
PRECIP BEGIN          2 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.05         0.17         0.66         
LAL                   3            3            5            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6600                      6900         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 15                      S 21         
DISPERSION            54 GEN GOOD               81 GOOD      
MAX LVORI             4                         4            

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. 
LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. 
HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND 
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 
60S TO LOWER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 
60S TO MID 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S
TO MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND 
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 
70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-231430-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
1030 AM EDT THU MAR 22 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       
TEMP (24H TREND)      76-81 (-3)   52-57 (-1)   75-80        
RH % (24H TREND)      38-43 (-1)   92-97 (0)    39-44        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  5         LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           30           70           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            3            
PRECIP BEGIN          2 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.04         0.25         
LAL                   3            3            5            
LASI                  4                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6600                      6600         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S  7                      S 12         
DISPERSION            29 FAIR                   53 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE 50S. 
WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH...SHIFTING TO THE NORTHEAST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.SATURDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO
LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND 
THUNDERSTORMS. COLDER. LOWS IN THE 40S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO 
LOWER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S 
TO MID 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 
60S TO MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND 
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S. SOUTHWEST 
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-231430-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
1030 AM EDT THU MAR 22 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       
TEMP (24H TREND)      77-82 (-2)   55-60 (0)    75-80        
RH % (24H TREND)      39-44 (+4)   86-91 (+1)   41-46        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SE  6                     S  6         
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  6         LGT/VAR      SW  7 G15    
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           50           90           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            8            
PRECIP BEGIN          2 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.04         0.18         0.41         
LAL                   3            4            5            
LASI                  4                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6400                      6100         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 12                      S 21         
DISPERSION            50 GEN GOOD               87 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. 
LOWS IN THE MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. 
HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND 
THUNDERSTORMS. COLDER. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST 
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 
60S TO LOWER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S
TO MID 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S. 
SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND 
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S. SOUTHWEST 
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-231430-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
1030 AM EDT THU MAR 22 2012 /930 AM CDT THU MAR 22 2012/

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       
TEMP (24H TREND)      77-82 (-3)   55-60 (-5)   73-78        
RH % (24H TREND)      41-46 (+6)   89-94 (+1)   47-52        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SE  9 G18                 S  7 G15     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  9 G17     S  6         SW  7 G15    
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           60           90           
PRECIP DURATION       1            3            8            
PRECIP BEGIN          2 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.09         0.38         0.49         
LAL                   3            4            5            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6200                      5400         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 18                      SW 21        
DISPERSION            81 GOOD                   76 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. 
LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS 
IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND 
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP 
TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 
UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 70S. 
NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S. 
SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND 
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S. SOUTHWEST 
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

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