
203 
FNUS54 KMRX 211906
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
306 PM EDT WED MAR 21 2012

.DISCUSSION...
THE WEATHER SYSTEM OVER THE MISSISSIPPI VALLEY WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE 
OUR WAY...WITH SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS SPREADING ACROSS THE AREA 
THURSDAY NIGHT AND FRIDAY...AND LINGERING INTO SUNDAY. THE WEATHER 
TURNS DRY AGAIN BY EARLY NEXT WEEK.


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-222015-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
306 PM EDT WED MAR 21 2012

                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      52-57 (-1)   76-81 (-3)   54-59        75-80        
RH % (24H TREND)      85-90 (+5)   33-38 (-5)   83-88        38-43        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE  5        LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S  7         
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            20           60           
PRECIP DURATION                                 1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN                                    2 AM         CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.01         0.24         
LAL                   1            1            3            5            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 8000                      8000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S  5                      SW  9        
DISPERSION                         24 FAIR                   48 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
50S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE
40S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S
TO UPPER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 50S TO LOWER 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S
TO MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO MID
70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-222015-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
306 PM EDT WED MAR 21 2012

                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      49-54 (0)    73-78 (-2)   51-56        71-76        
RH % (24H TREND)      86-91 (+4)   38-43 (-4)   84-89        42-47        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE  7 G15    LGT/VAR      S  6         S  7 G15     
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            20           20           60           
PRECIP DURATION                    1            1            2            
PRECIP BEGIN                       8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.01         0.02         0.26         
LAL                   1            3            3            5            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 8600                      7500         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S  7                      SW  8        
DISPERSION                         32 FAIR                   32 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE MID
50S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. COLDER. LOWS
IN THE 40S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO
60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID
50S TO LOWER 70S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 50S TO MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO MID
70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-222015-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
306 PM EDT WED MAR 21 2012

                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        CLOUDY       
TEMP (24H TREND)      50-55 (0)    69-74 (-3)   52-57        69-74        
RH % (24H TREND)      81-86 (+1)   41-46 (0)    80-85        41-46        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S  5                      S  7 G18     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  9 G19     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S 11 G22     
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            20           40           80           
PRECIP DURATION                    1            1            8            
PRECIP BEGIN                       8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.01         0.10         0.47         
LAL                   1            3            3            5            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 7800                      6600         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S  9                      S 13         
DISPERSION                         37 FAIR                   38 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. COLDER. LOWS IN THE 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
40S TO UPPER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
50S TO MID 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S
TO MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S TO MID 70S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-222015-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
306 PM EDT WED MAR 21 2012

                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       
TEMP (24H TREND)      52-57 (+1)   73-78 (-4)   54-59        71-76        
RH % (24H TREND)      88-93 (-1)   47-52 (+7)   88-93        48-53        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SE  8 G15                 S  8 G19     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE  9 G20    S  6         SE  6        S 12 G23     
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            20           50           90           
PRECIP DURATION                    1            1            8            
PRECIP BEGIN                       8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.01         0.18         0.53         
LAL                   1            3            3            5            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6700                      5700         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 16                      S 20         
DISPERSION                         64 GOOD                   62 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS
5 TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
MID 50S TO LOWER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
50S TO MID 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO MID 70S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-222015-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
306 PM EDT WED MAR 21 2012

                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       
TEMP (24H TREND)      51-56 (+1)   72-77 (-5)   53-58        70-75        
RH % (24H TREND)      85-90 (-2)   50-55 (+11)  87-92        48-53        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SE  7                     SE  7 G16    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE  8 G16    S  7         SE  6        S 11 G20     
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            20           40           90           
PRECIP DURATION                    1            1            8            
PRECIP BEGIN                       8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.03         0.15         0.58         
LAL                   1            3            3            5            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6800                      7000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SE 15                     S 17         
DISPERSION                         60 GEN GOOD               69 GOOD      
MAX LVORI                          4                         4            

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
MID 50S TO LOWER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
60S TO MID 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S
TO MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO
MID 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-222015-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
306 PM EDT WED MAR 21 2012

                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        CLOUDY       
TEMP (24H TREND)      50-55 (0)    77-82 (-2)   52-57        75-80        
RH % (24H TREND)      84-89 (+3)   34-39 (-5)   88-93        39-44        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE  5        LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S  6         
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            30           70           
PRECIP DURATION                                 1            3            
PRECIP BEGIN                                    8 PM         CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.03         0.32         
LAL                   1            1            3            5            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6700                      6400         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S  6                      S  9         
DISPERSION                         24 FAIR                   38 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO
LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 40S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S
TO LOWER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
60S TO MID 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO MID
70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO UPPER
70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-222015-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
306 PM EDT WED MAR 21 2012

                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       
TEMP (24H TREND)      55-60 (+2)   77-82 (-2)   55-60        75-80        
RH % (24H TREND)      78-83 (-5)   34-39 (-1)   84-89        40-45        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SE  5                     SE  7 G17    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE  5        S  5         LGT/VAR      S 10 G20     
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            20           50           90           
PRECIP DURATION                    1            1            8            
PRECIP BEGIN                       2 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.01         0.16         0.43         
LAL                   1            2            4            5            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6400                      6200         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 13                      S 21         
DISPERSION                         55 GEN GOOD               84 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP
TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
60S TO LOWER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S
TO MID 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S
TO UPPER 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-222015-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
306 PM EDT WED MAR 21 2012 /206 PM CDT WED MAR 21 2012/

                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       
TEMP (24H TREND)      55-60 (+1)   77-82 (-3)   56-61        72-77        
RH % (24H TREND)      83-88 (-5)   37-42 (+2)   87-92        48-53        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SE  8 G16                 S  9 G20     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE  8 G18    S  8 G17     S  7 G15     S 11 G22     
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            20           70           90           
PRECIP DURATION                    1            2            8            
PRECIP BEGIN                       2 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.03         0.34         0.31         
LAL                   1            3            5            5            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6500                      5200         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 22                      S 26         
DISPERSION                         102 VERY GOOD             91 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP
TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS
UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
60S TO MID 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S
TO UPPER 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE
70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

